Long Trade on WIF (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1533.43 WIF at 0.253$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2663 (5.17 %) & Stop Loss: 0.248 (2.05 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 22:14:17
hyperliquid
WIF
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 22:14
→ 00:45
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.2532$
Qty 1533.4278 WIF
Size 388.2946$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2663 (+5.17%)
TP $ 20.09$
SL 0.248 (-2.05%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.52
Status
win
PnL
+5.17%
/ +20.09$
MAE -0.41%
MFE +6.25%
3.0R
expires
02 Oct 10:14
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171087)
#14 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 22:00
score du 01/10/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7616
Quality Score
0.540
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#14 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.05 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#14 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.05 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.47×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.37×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.26×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 22:01
01/10 22:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4609
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
61.6%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 62.7% |
| 1h | 40.7% |
| 4h | 76.3% |
| 24h | 39.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 78.0% | +0.09% |
| 4h | 69.5% | +0.47% |
| 24h | 18.6% | -0.49% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.128
Universe :
59
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 22:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5794
Score SMA
0.5787
Rank
#28
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6447
Rank Norm SMA
0.3997
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8210 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.18% · r3d: 6.32% · ema21_slope: 1.3573% · dist_ema21: 9.708% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6326 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.29% · rs_3d: 4.66% · beta_24h: 2.513 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2880 | rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.027 · trend: -0.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7821 | ADX: 34.3 (trend) · Chop: 38.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.977% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.5398
Score SMA
0.5304
Rank
#14
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7616
Rank Norm SMA
0.4890
Calculé le
01/10/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6141 | r1h: 0.621% · r4h: 2.754% · r1d: 1.62% · r3d: 10.42% · ema21_slope: 0.0229% · dist_ema21: 1.313% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6357 | rs_1h: 0.471% · rs_4h: 2.309% · rs_1d: -0.02% · rs_3d: 8.19% · beta_24h: 1.916 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1585 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.623 · trend: -60.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5428 | ADX: 15.9 (weak) · Chop: 49.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.643% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5305
Score SMA
0.5352
Rank
#16
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8618
Rank Norm SMA
0.4459
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6620 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.941% · r1d: 0.18% · r3d: 6.32% · ema21_slope: 0.2551% · dist_ema21: 1.470% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5274 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.193% · rs_1d: -1.29% · rs_3d: 4.66% · beta_24h: 2.320 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1950 | rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.650 · trend: -21.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5108 | ADX: 18.7 (weak) · Chop: 56.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8440 | ATR%: 3.468% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.054%
(0.0052)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.256% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.800% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +6.252% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +6.252% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.252% | 3.0R | -0.407% | 0.2R | 15.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.252% | 3.0R | -7.472% | 3.6R | 0.8× | 288 |
| 36h | +6.252% | 3.0R | -7.472% | 3.6R | 0.8× | 432 |
| 48h | +6.252% | 3.0R | -7.472% | 3.6R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.252% | 3.0R | -7.472% | 3.6R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 155 min
MAE in 1020 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 1.22
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.69 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.93 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.63 | bull_high | +2.78% | +0.62 | 01/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.50 | bull_medium | +1.10% | +0.07 | 01/10 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | weak | fading | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.58 | range_low | +0.71% | +0.12 | 01/10 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197627
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.676 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 9b 0.9ATR | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.65 | 78% | ↑ +0.57 | above_value | +0.69 | — | #105799 | 0.69 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.93 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:22
|
|
4h
#197460
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.571 | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 20b 0.4ATR | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.25 | 26% | ↔ +0.08 | above_value | +0.69 | — | #105799 | 0.63 | bull_high | +2.78% | +0.62 |
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 20:15
|
|
1h
anchor #198375
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.635 | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 4b 0.7ATR | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.24 | 19% | ↓ -0.54 | value | +1.52 | — | #106188 | 0.50 | bull_medium | +1.10% | +0.07 |
01/10 21:00
upd 01/10 22:11
|
|
15m
#198302
|
↔ neutral | range | range | weak | fading | 0.398 | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 16b 1.7ATR | — | — | 0.64 | 24% | ↔ -0.00 | value | +1.13 | — | #106033 | 0.58 | range_low | +0.71% | +0.12 |
01/10 21:45
upd 01/10 22:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.539×ATR | p0 | +0.887×ATR | p49 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 20b | — | 2.98×ATR | p29 | +0.423×ATR | p32 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.757×ATR | p15 | +0.705×ATR | p50 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 4.168×ATR | p90 | +1.678×ATR | p84 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.933
- reason: up_bo width=2.17×ATR dur=29b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.24800293
- tp_price: 0.26626269
- atr:
- score: 0.93295895987363
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T14:14:09.852284
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.93295895987363
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0615
- obi_top10 : 0.0579
- micro_price : 0.25439004
- spread_pct : 0.078678
- mid_price : 0.2543
- bid_wall_price : 0.252
- bid_wall_size : 1428906.8
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.255
- ask_wall_size : 1247362.24
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0612
- obi_top5_std : 0.0008
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7115
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.25264
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.24415
- balance_zone_mid:
0.248395
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790805600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790906400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1654
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
29
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.933
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790902800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.25264
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8966
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.1479
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00392074 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
29
inside_close_ratio
0.8966
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.1479
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:14 | 0.25322000 | +0.008% |
| 2 | 22:25 | 0.25322000 | +0.008% |
| 3 | 22:37 | 0.25370000 | +0.197% |
| 4 | 22:48 | 0.25370000 | +0.197% |
| 5 | 22:59 | 0.25370000 | +0.197% |
| 6 | 23:11 | 0.25515000 | +0.77% |
| 7 | 23:23 | 0.25515000 | +0.77% |
| 8 | 23:34 | 0.25515000 | +0.77% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7115ms
Confidence avant OB :
93%
→
93%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.062
avg 0.061
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.058
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2543
Micro Price
0.2544
Spread
0.0787%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2520
Size
1,428,906.80
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2550
Size
1,247,362.24
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2532 | 0.248 | 0.2663 | 2.52 | 0.1697 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2532
- Stop Loss: 0.248
- Take Profit: 0.2663
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.248 - 0.2532 = -0.0052
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2532 - 0.2663 = -0.0131
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0131 / -0.0052 = 2.5192
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 388.2946 | 100 | 1533.4278 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0052
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0052 = -1538.46
Taille de position USD = -1538.46 x 0.2532 = -389.54
Donc, tu peux acheter -1538.46 avec un stoploss a 0.248
Avec un position size USD de -389.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1538.46 x -0.0052 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1538.46 x -0.0131 = 20.15
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.15$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1538.46
- Taille de position USD -389.54
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.15
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5192
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.17 % | 20.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.05 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20.09 $ | 5.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2532 | 0.248 | 0.2663 | 2.52 | 0.1697 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2532
- Stop Loss: 0.248
- Take Profit: 0.2663
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.248 - 0.2532 = -0.0052
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2532 - 0.2663 = -0.0131
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0131 / -0.0052 = 2.5192
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2636
[stop_loss] => 0.248
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 04:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2662
[stop_loss] => 0.248
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 04:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2688
[stop_loss] => 0.248
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 04:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.054%
(0.0052)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.256% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.800% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +6.252% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +6.252% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +6.252% | 3.0R | -0.407% | 0.2R | 15.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.252% | 3.0R | -7.472% | 3.6R | 0.8× | 288 |
| 36h | +6.252% | 3.0R | -7.472% | 3.6R | 0.8× | 432 |
| 48h | +6.252% | 3.0R | -7.472% | 3.6R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.252% | 3.0R | -7.472% | 3.6R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 155 min
MAE in 1020 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
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