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Long Trade on AAVE

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01 Oct 2026 at 22:15:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 0.97 AAVE at 175.76$ per unit. Take profit: 180.154 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 167.4922 (4.7 %)

AAVE LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 22:15 → 00:25 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 175.76$

Qty 0.9676 AAVE

Size 170.066$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 180.154 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.25$

SL 167.4922 (-4.7%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.53

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.25$ MAE -1.16% MFE +6.81% 1.5R expires 02 Oct 04:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171071)
#1 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9392

Quality Score
0.814
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -1.33×ATR
1d near -0.59×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.47
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
66.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 22:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 21:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4609
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 61.6%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 62.7%
1h 40.7%
4h 76.3%
24h 39.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 78.0% +0.09%
4h 69.5% +0.47%
24h 18.6% -0.49%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.128
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 22:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8135
Score SMA
0.6801
Rank
#4 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9605
Rank Norm SMA
0.6193
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9655 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 7.44% · r3d: 14.67% · ema21_slope: 1.2788% · dist_ema21: 17.343%
Force Relative 25% 0.8858 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.97% · rs_3d: 13.01% · beta_24h: 1.397
Volume 20% 0.9008 rvol_20: 2.75× · zscore_50: 2.121 · trend: 130.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8150 ADX: 37.8 (trend) · Chop: 38.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.530% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.8140
Score SMA
0.5870
Rank
#1 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9392
Rank Norm SMA
0.6354
Calculé le
01/10/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8645 r1h: 1.961% · r4h: 3.927% · r1d: 9.30% · r3d: 19.22% · ema21_slope: 0.2439% · dist_ema21: 4.523%
Force Relative 25% 0.8686 rs_1h: 1.811% · rs_4h: 3.482% · rs_1d: 7.65% · rs_3d: 16.99% · beta_24h: 2.663
Volume 20% 0.8661 rvol_20: 2.80× · zscore_50: 1.852 · trend: 81.37%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7417 ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 39.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.989% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6992
Score SMA
0.6484
Rank
#2 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9737
Rank Norm SMA
0.7103
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8346 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.241% · r1d: 7.44% · r3d: 14.67% · ema21_slope: 0.3082% · dist_ema21: 5.617%
Force Relative 25% 0.8042 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.988% · rs_1d: 5.97% · rs_3d: 13.01% · beta_24h: 2.737
Volume 20% 0.3406 rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.221 · trend: 66.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6058 ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 60.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.8878 ATR%: 3.337% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.704% (8.2678)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.330% 0.1R -1.081% 0.2R 0.3× 12
2h +1.166% 0.3R -1.155% 0.3R 1.0× 24
4h +6.810% 1.5R -1.155% 0.3R 5.9× 48
6h ★ +6.810% 1.5R -1.155% 0.3R 5.9× 72
8h +6.810% 1.5R -1.155% 0.3R 5.9× 96
12h +6.810% 1.5R -1.155% 0.3R 5.9× 144
24h +6.810% 1.5R -1.155% 0.3R 5.9× 288
48h +6.810% 1.5R -1.155% 0.3R 5.9× 576
72h +6.810% 1.5R -1.155% 0.3R 5.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 154 min MAE in 64 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.39
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 41% late — near -0.6ATR 0.68 bull_high +13.92% +0.98 30/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 45% mid — near -1.3ATR 0.55 bull_high +2.78% +0.89 01/10 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 33% late — — 0.55 bull_medium +1.10% +0.40 01/10 21:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.52 range_low +0.71% +0.32 01/10 21:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197562
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.562 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 41% late 15b 2.0ATR — near -0.6ATR 2.75 97% ↑ +0.77 value +1.58 — #105783 0.68 bull_high +13.92% +0.98
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:19
4h
#197428
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.634 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 45% mid 8b 1.6ATR — near -1.3ATR 0.43 82% ↑ +0.42 value +1.58 — #105783 0.55 bull_high +2.78% +0.89
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 20:13
1h anchor
#198359
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.585 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 33% late 8b 1.9ATR — — 2.80 99% ↑ +0.43 above_value +2.85 inside #106172 0.55 bull_medium +1.10% +0.40
01/10 21:00
upd 01/10 22:10
15m
#198286
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate explosive 0.693 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 39% late 3b 2.0ATR — — 1.58 90% ↑ +0.91 value +1.99 — #106017 0.52 range_low +0.71% +0.32
01/10 21:45
upd 01/10 22:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 15b — 5.206×ATR p71 +2.019×ATR p90
4h ↑ up mid 8b — 2.461×ATR p10 +1.62×ATR p78
1h ↑ up late 8b — 3.565×ATR p83 +1.893×ATR p88
15m ↑ up late 3b — 2.333×ATR p23 +1.983×ATR p90

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 167.49215208
  2. tp_price: 180.154
  3. atr: 3.30713917
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T08:15:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.8758
  4. delta_2h: 0.1712
  5. extension_atr: 1.91
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9408
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
175.76 167.4922 180.154 0.53 131.7
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 175.76
  • Stop Loss: 167.4922
  • Take Profit: 180.154

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 167.4922 - 175.76 = -8.2678

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 175.76 - 180.154 = -4.394

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.394 / -8.2678 = 0.5315

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
170.066 100 0.9676 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -8.2678

Taille de position = 8 / -8.2678 = -0.97

Taille de position USD = -0.97 x 175.76 = -170.49

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.97 avec un stoploss a 167.4922

Avec un position size USD de -170.49$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.97 x -8.2678 = 8.02

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.97 x -4.394 = 4.26

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.26$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -0.97
  • Taille de position USD -170.49
  • Perte potentielle 8.02
  • Gain potentiel 4.26
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5315

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.25 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.7 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
4.25 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.155 % 24.55 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
175.76 167.4922 180.154 0.53 131.7
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 175.76
  • Stop Loss: 167.4922
  • Take Profit: 180.154

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 167.4922 - 175.76 = -8.2678

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 175.76 - 180.154 = -4.394

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.394 / -8.2678 = 0.5315

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.704% (8.2678)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.330% 0.1R -1.081% 0.2R 0.3× 12
2h +1.166% 0.3R -1.155% 0.3R 1.0× 24
4h +6.810% 1.5R -1.155% 0.3R 5.9× 48
6h ★ +6.810% 1.5R -1.155% 0.3R 5.9× 72
8h +6.810% 1.5R -1.155% 0.3R 5.9× 96
12h +6.810% 1.5R -1.155% 0.3R 5.9× 144
24h +6.810% 1.5R -1.155% 0.3R 5.9× 288
48h +6.810% 1.5R -1.155% 0.3R 5.9× 576
72h +6.810% 1.5R -1.155% 0.3R 5.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 154 min MAE in 64 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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