Long Trade on SOL

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01 Oct 2026 at 23:06:57 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SOL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 5 SOL at 120.2$ per unit. Take profit: 124.2035 (3.33 %) & Stop Loss: 118.5986 (1.33 %)

SOL LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 23:06 → 11:05 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 120.2$

Qty 4.9956 SOL

Size 600.4718$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)

Risk Setup

TP 124.2035 (+3.33%)

TP $ 20$

SL 118.5986 (-1.33%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -0.23% / -1.4$ MAE -0.49% MFE +2.95% 2.2R expires 02 Oct 11:06 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171133)

#16 / 79

OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5928

Quality Score

0.568

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#16 / 79

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

86 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.33 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#16 / 79

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

86 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.33 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.42×ATR
4h	clear	0.52×ATR
1d	clear	3.76×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

219.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 23:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 01/10 21:00 Score : +5 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

01/10 21:00

Score : +5 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4613

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion +2
Operational	bull 0.55	expansion +1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 66.7%

Macro broad_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	50.0%
1h	53.3%
4h	83.3%
24h	38.3%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	50.0%	+0.01%
4h	63.3%	+0.63%
24h	16.7%	-0.75%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.116

Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 23:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5782

Score SMA

0.6273

Rank

#29 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6316

Rank Norm SMA

0.5551

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7326	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.25% · r3d: -0.42% · ema21_slope: 0.8933% · dist_ema21: 4.484%
Force Relative	25%	0.5081	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.22% · rs_3d: -2.07% · beta_24h: 1.411
Volume	20%	0.2641	rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: -0.469 · trend: -6.80%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8278	ADX: 43.6 (trend) · Chop: 42.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.5442	ATR%: 4.367% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 23:00

Score brut

0.5683

Score SMA

—

Rank

—

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5928

Rank Norm SMA

—

Calculé le

01/10/2026 23:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5580	r1h: 0.485% · r4h: 1.531% · r1d: 1.63% · r3d: 2.69% · ema21_slope: 0.0184% · dist_ema21: 1.379%
Force Relative	25%	0.5219	rs_1h: 0.147% · rs_4h: 1.002% · rs_1d: -0.41% · rs_3d: -0.01% · beta_24h: 1.390
Volume	20%	0.4798	rvol_20: 1.55× · zscore_50: 0.497 · trend: 8.97%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4961	ADX: 13.4 (weak) · Chop: 52.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 0.838% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4856

Score SMA

0.5639

Rank

#26 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6316

Rank Norm SMA

0.5640

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5322	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.093% · r1d: 0.25% · r3d: -0.42% · ema21_slope: -0.0582% · dist_ema21: -0.179%
Force Relative	25%	0.4679	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.160% · rs_1d: -1.22% · rs_3d: -2.07% · beta_24h: 1.273
Volume	20%	0.2008	rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.742 · trend: -21.09%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4584	ADX: 19.2 (weak) · Chop: 63.1 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.775% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.332% (1.6014)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.032%	0.8R	-0.233%	0.2R	4.4×	12
2h	+2.945%	2.2R	-0.233%	0.2R	12.7×	24
4h	+2.945%	2.2R	-0.233%	0.2R	12.7×	48
8h	+2.945%	2.2R	-0.233%	0.2R	12.7×	96
12h ★	+2.945%	2.2R	-0.491%	0.4R	6.0×	144
24h	+2.945%	2.2R	-2.687%	2.0R	1.1×	287
36h	+2.945%	2.2R	-2.687%	2.0R	1.1×	432
48h	+2.945%	2.2R	-2.687%	2.0R	1.1×	576
72h	+2.945%	2.2R	-2.687%	2.0R	1.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 113 min MAE in 933 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 6.88

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	—	0.88	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.46	30/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 30%	early	—	—	0.80	bull_high	+2.78%	-0.20	01/10 16:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	normal	range_high	37%	noisy_chop 36%	mid	—	—	0.83	bull_medium	+1.10%	-0.06	01/10 21:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion	bull_low_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 47%	late	—	near -1.3ATR	0.87	bull_low	+0.99%	+0.13	01/10 22:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197482	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.585	normal	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 16b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.74	49%	↑ +0.34	above_value	-1.98	—	#105767	0.88	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.46	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:16
4h #197396	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.575	compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 30%	early 8b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.57	29%	↔ +0.02	above_value	-1.98	—	#105767	0.80	bull_high	+2.78%	-0.20	01/10 16:00 upd 01/10 20:12
1h anchor #198342	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.396	normal	range_high	37%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 4b 1.2ATR	—	—	1.17	65%	↔ +0.07	above_value	-0.79	—	#106156	0.83	bull_medium	+1.10%	-0.06	01/10 21:00 upd 01/10 22:09
15m #198656	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.709	expansion	bull_low_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 47%	late 3b 2.5ATR	—	near -1.3ATR	2.04	88%	↑ +0.37	above_value	-0.79	—	#106156	0.87	bull_low	+0.99%	+0.13	01/10 22:45 upd 01/10 23:00
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	16b	—	4.372×ATR	p63	+0.873×ATR	p52
4h	↓ down	early	8b	—	2.09×ATR	p6	-0.107×ATR	p6
1h	↑ up	mid	4b	—	2.09×ATR	p27	+1.165×ATR	p70
15m	↓ down	late	3b	—	0.605×ATR	p3	+2.531×ATR	p96

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
confidence: 0.8562
reason: up_bo width=2.71×ATR dur=50b phase=fresh
stop_price: 118.59859268
tp_price: 124.20351831
atr:
score: 0.85623504900264
expires_at: 2026-10-02T15:06:49.572716
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.85623504900264

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.0442
obi_top10 : 0.0442
micro_price : 119.92772835
spread_pct : 0.000834
mid_price : 119.9275
bid_wall_price :
bid_wall_size :
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price :
ask_wall_size :
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : -0.0223
obi_top5_std : 0.0509
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 6934
aggregation_tick : 1
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
120
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
117.39
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
118.695
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1790733600
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1790910000
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.7073
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
50
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.8562
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1790906400
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
120
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.8
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
0.2075
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
5
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
13
```
regime : bull_high
atr_entry : 0.96407323

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.8

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

0.2075

Signaux confirmants (21)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	23:06	120.20000000	0%
2	23:18	120.20000000	0%
3	23:29	120.20000000	0%
4	23:41	120.17000000	-0.025%
5	23:52	120.17000000	-0.025%
6	00:04	120.17000000	-0.025%
7	00:18	121.11000000	+0.757%
8	00:29	121.11000000	+0.757%
9	02:06	121.91000000	+1.423%
10	02:19	121.91000000	+1.423%
11	02:31	121.91000000	+1.423%
12	02:43	122.00000000	+1.498%
13	02:54	122.00000000	+1.498%
14	03:07	121.47000000	+1.057%
15	03:19	121.47000000	+1.057%
16	03:30	121.47000000	+1.057%
17	03:43	121.18000000	+0.815%
18	03:54	121.18000000	+0.815%
19	04:08	121.82000000	+1.348%
20	04:21	121.82000000	+1.348%
21	04:32	121.82000000	+1.348%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6934ms Confidence avant OB : 86% → 86%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.044

avg -0.022 ± 0.051

OBI Top 10 0.044

Microstructure

Mid Price

119.9275

Micro Price

119.9277

Spread

0.0008%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
120.2	118.5986	124.2035	2.5	96.165

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 120.2
Stop Loss: 118.5986
Take Profit: 124.2035

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 118.5986 - 120.2 = -1.6014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 120.2 - 124.2035 = -4.0035
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.0035 / -1.6014 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
600.4718	100	4.9956	6.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -1.6014

Taille de position = 8 / -1.6014 = -5

Taille de position USD = -5 x 120.2 = -601

Donc, tu peux acheter -5 avec un stoploss a 118.5986

Avec un position size USD de -601$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -5 x -1.6014 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -5 x -4.0035 = 20.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$

Résumé

Taille de position -5
Taille de position USD -601
Perte potentielle 8.01
Gain potentiel 20.02
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
3.33 %	20 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
1.33 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.4 $	-0.23

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.4908 %	36.84 %	6

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
120.2	118.5986	124.2035	2.5	96.165

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 120.2
Stop Loss: 118.5986
Take Profit: 124.2035

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 118.5986 - 120.2 = -1.6014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 120.2 - 124.2035 = -4.0035
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.0035 / -1.6014 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.332% (1.6014)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.032%	0.8R	-0.233%	0.2R	4.4×	12
2h	+2.945%	2.2R	-0.233%	0.2R	12.7×	24
4h	+2.945%	2.2R	-0.233%	0.2R	12.7×	48
8h	+2.945%	2.2R	-0.233%	0.2R	12.7×	96
12h ★	+2.945%	2.2R	-0.491%	0.4R	6.0×	144
24h	+2.945%	2.2R	-2.687%	2.0R	1.1×	287
36h	+2.945%	2.2R	-2.687%	2.0R	1.1×	432
48h	+2.945%	2.2R	-2.687%	2.0R	1.1×	576
72h	+2.945%	2.2R	-2.687%	2.0R	1.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 113 min MAE in 933 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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