Long Trade on BNB (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.06 BNB at 774.9$ per unit. Take profit: 793.7755 (2.44 %) & Stop Loss: 767.3498 (0.97 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 23:07:28
hyperliquid
BNB
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 23:07
→ 11:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 774.9$
Qty 1.0596 BNB
Size 821.0641$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 793.7755 (+2.44%)
TP $ 20$
SL 767.3498 (-0.97%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.07%
/ -0.56$
MAE -0.31%
MFE +1.17%
1.2R
expires
02 Oct 11:07
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171135)
#55 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 23:00
score du 01/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4924
Quality Score
0.471
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#55 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#55 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.43×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.88×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.67×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 23:00
01/10 23:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 01/10 21:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4613
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
66.7%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 50.0% |
| 1h | 53.3% |
| 4h | 83.3% |
| 24h | 38.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 50.0% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 63.3% | +0.63% |
| 24h | 16.7% | -0.75% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.116
Universe :
60
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 23:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5372
Score SMA
0.5676
Rank
#43
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4474
Rank Norm SMA
0.3449
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6641 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.28% · r3d: 0.98% · ema21_slope: 0.3179% · dist_ema21: 1.936% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4856 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.19% · rs_3d: -0.67% · beta_24h: 0.588 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1517 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.867 · trend: -42.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5748 | ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 58.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.953% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4714
Score SMA
—
Rank
—
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4924
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
01/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5409 | r1h: 0.292% · r4h: 0.445% · r1d: 0.74% · r3d: 2.42% · ema21_slope: 0.0189% · dist_ema21: 0.540% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4778 | rs_1h: -0.047% · rs_4h: -0.084% · rs_1d: -1.29% · rs_3d: -0.28% · beta_24h: 0.915 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1460 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -1.098 · trend: -35.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4029 | ADX: 11.7 (weak) · Chop: 62.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.446% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4761
Score SMA
0.4927
Rank
#31
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4737
Rank Norm SMA
0.3241
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5283 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.303% · r1d: 0.28% · r3d: 0.98% · ema21_slope: 0.0145% · dist_ema21: 0.582% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4726 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.050% · rs_1d: -1.19% · rs_3d: -0.67% · beta_24h: 1.006 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1465 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.902 · trend: -45.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4676 | ADX: 13.5 (weak) · Chop: 56.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.096% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.974%
(7.5502)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.186% | 0.2R | -0.213% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.052% | 1.1R | -0.213% | 0.2R | 4.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.052% | 1.1R | -0.213% | 0.2R | 4.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.052% | 1.1R | -0.213% | 0.2R | 4.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.168% | 1.2R | -0.308% | 0.3R | 3.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.168% | 1.2R | -1.923% | 2.0R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.168% | 1.2R | -1.923% | 2.0R | 0.6× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.310% | 2.4R | -1.923% | 2.0R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.530% | 4.7R | -1.923% | 2.0R | 2.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 627 min
MAE in 937 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 6.41
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.82 | bull_high | +13.92% | -0.33 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.69 | bull_high | +2.78% | -0.06 | 01/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.79 | bull_medium | +1.10% | -0.07 | 01/10 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.83 | bull_low | +0.99% | -0.03 | 01/10 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197492
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.619 | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 21b 0.6ATR | — | — | 0.46 | 33% | ↓ -0.25 | value | -0.74 | — | #105769 | 0.82 | bull_high | +13.92% | -0.33 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:16
|
|
4h
#197400
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.504 | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 13b 0.6ATR | — | — | 0.44 | 10% | ↓ -0.23 | value | -0.74 | — | #105769 | 0.69 | bull_high | +2.78% | -0.06 |
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 20:12
|
|
1h
anchor #198344
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.718 | compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 8b 0.7ATR | — | near 0.4ATR | 1.30 | 66% | ↓ -0.47 | value | -0.61 | — | #106158 | 0.79 | bull_medium | +1.10% | -0.07 |
01/10 21:00
upd 01/10 22:09
|
|
15m
#198658
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.684 | expansion | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 6b 1.9ATR | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.50 | 27% | ↑ +0.18 | value | -0.61 | — | #106158 | 0.83 | bull_low | +0.99% | -0.03 |
01/10 22:45
upd 01/10 23:00
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 21b | — | 2.99×ATR | p26 | +0.612×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.503×ATR | p19 | +0.55×ATR | p35 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 0.712×ATR | p0 | +0.679×ATR | p54 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 3.992×ATR | p74 | +1.944×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8854
- reason: up_bo width=2.82×ATR dur=38b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 767.34979745
- tp_price: 793.77550637
- atr:
- score: 0.88535626422104
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T15:07:19.802400
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.88535626422104
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0089
- obi_top10 : 0.0672
- micro_price : 773.86626829
- spread_pct : 0.001292
- mid_price : 773.865
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0085
- obi_top5_std : 0.0008
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7153
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
772.33
- balance_zone_bottom:
763.03
- balance_zone_mid:
767.68
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790776800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790910000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8165
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
38
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8854
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790906400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
772.33
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9211
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.7783
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 3.30202548 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
38
inside_close_ratio
0.9211
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7783
Signaux confirmants (20)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:07 | 774.90000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:19 | 774.90000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 23:30 | 774.90000000 | 0% |
| 4 | 23:41 | 775.34000000 | +0.057% |
| 5 | 23:52 | 775.34000000 | +0.057% |
| 6 | 00:05 | 775.34000000 | +0.057% |
| 7 | 00:19 | 775.92000000 | +0.132% |
| 8 | 00:30 | 775.92000000 | +0.132% |
| 9 | 02:06 | 777.75000000 | +0.368% |
| 10 | 02:20 | 777.75000000 | +0.368% |
| 11 | 02:32 | 777.75000000 | +0.368% |
| 12 | 03:08 | 777.15000000 | +0.29% |
| 13 | 03:19 | 777.15000000 | +0.29% |
| 14 | 03:31 | 777.15000000 | +0.29% |
| 15 | 03:43 | 774.81000000 | -0.012% |
| 16 | 03:55 | 774.81000000 | -0.012% |
| 17 | 04:09 | 777.08000000 | +0.281% |
| 18 | 04:21 | 777.08000000 | +0.281% |
| 19 | 04:32 | 777.08000000 | +0.281% |
| 20 | 05:05 | 775.54000000 | +0.083% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7153ms
Confidence avant OB :
89%
→
89%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.009
avg -0.009
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.067
Microstructure
Mid Price
773.8650
Micro Price
773.8663
Spread
0.0013%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 774.9 | 767.3498 | 793.7755 | 2.5 | 712.25 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 774.9
- Stop Loss: 767.3498
- Take Profit: 793.7755
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 767.3498 - 774.9 = -7.5502
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 774.9 - 793.7755 = -18.8755
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -18.8755 / -7.5502 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 821.0641 | 100 | 1.0596 | 8.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -7.5502
Taille de position = 8 / -7.5502 = -1.06
Taille de position USD = -1.06 x 774.9 = -821.39
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.06 avec un stoploss a 767.3498
Avec un position size USD de -821.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.06 x -7.5502 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.06 x -18.8755 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.06
- Taille de position USD -821.39
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.44 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.97 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.56 $ | -0.07 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3084 % | 31.65 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 774.9 | 767.3498 | 793.7755 | 2.5 | 712.25 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 774.9
- Stop Loss: 767.3498
- Take Profit: 793.7755
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 767.3498 - 774.9 = -7.5502
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 774.9 - 793.7755 = -18.8755
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -18.8755 / -7.5502 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.974%
(7.5502)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.186% | 0.2R | -0.213% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.052% | 1.1R | -0.213% | 0.2R | 4.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.052% | 1.1R | -0.213% | 0.2R | 4.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.052% | 1.1R | -0.213% | 0.2R | 4.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.168% | 1.2R | -0.308% | 0.3R | 3.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.168% | 1.2R | -1.923% | 2.0R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.168% | 1.2R | -1.923% | 2.0R | 0.6× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.310% | 2.4R | -1.923% | 2.0R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.530% | 4.7R | -1.923% | 2.0R | 2.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 627 min
MAE in 937 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.