Long Trade on UNI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 38.19 UNI at 9.095$ per unit. Take profit: 9.6191 (5.76 %) & Stop Loss: 8.8859 (2.3 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 23:09:57
hyperliquid
UNI
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 23:09
→ 11:00
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 9.0954$
Qty 38.188 UNI
Size 347.3356$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 9.6191 (+5.76%)
TP $ 20$
SL 8.8859 (-2.3%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.25%
/ -4.34$
MAE -1.84%
MFE +2.43%
1.1R
expires
02 Oct 11:09
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171152)
#38 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 23:00
score du 01/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5228
Quality Score
0.493
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#38 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#38 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.75×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.22×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.57×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
30.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 23:00
01/10 23:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 01/10 22:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4613
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
66.7%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 50.0% |
| 1h | 53.3% |
| 4h | 83.3% |
| 24h | 38.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 50.0% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 63.3% | +0.63% |
| 24h | 16.7% | -0.75% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.116
Universe :
60
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 23:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5591
Score SMA
0.5963
Rank
#33
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5789
Rank Norm SMA
0.4577
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7286 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.27% · r3d: 2.23% · ema21_slope: 1.9941% · dist_ema21: 7.479% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6126 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.21% · rs_3d: 0.58% · beta_24h: 1.494 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2476 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.210 · trend: -6.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9187 | ADX: 57.9 (trend) · Chop: 46.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.839% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4927
Score SMA
0.5113
Rank
#38
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5228
Rank Norm SMA
0.4088
Calculé le
01/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5449 | r1h: 0.637% · r4h: -0.085% · r1d: 2.29% · r3d: 6.02% · ema21_slope: 0.0433% · dist_ema21: 0.368% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5306 | rs_1h: 0.299% · rs_4h: -0.614% · rs_1d: 0.26% · rs_3d: 3.32% · beta_24h: 1.992 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2053 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.405 · trend: -34.87% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3702 | ADX: 10.0 (weak) · Chop: 64.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.465% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4295
Score SMA
0.4997
Rank
#52
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3421
Rank Norm SMA
0.3131
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4830 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.217% · r1d: 1.27% · r3d: 2.23% · ema21_slope: -0.1147% · dist_ema21: -0.229% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4570 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.470% · rs_1d: -0.21% · rs_3d: 0.58% · beta_24h: 2.756 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1624 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.829 · trend: -36.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2997 | ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 80.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9295 | ATR%: 3.212% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.303%
(0.2095)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.172% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.428% | 1.1R | -1.172% | 0.5R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.428% | 1.1R | -1.172% | 0.5R | 2.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.428% | 1.1R | -1.172% | 0.5R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.428% | 1.1R | -1.836% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.428% | 1.1R | -5.725% | 2.5R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.587% | 1.1R | -5.725% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.587% | 1.1R | -5.725% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.587% | 1.1R | -5.725% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1860 min
MAE in 935 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.9
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.64 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.40 | bull_high | +2.78% | +0.00 | 01/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.40 | bull_medium | +1.41% | -0.06 | 01/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.72 | bull_low | +0.99% | -0.06 | 01/10 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197575
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.624 | expansion | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 8b 0.7ATR | — | — | 0.52 | 89% | ↔ +0.02 | above_value | +0.97 | — | #105786 | 0.64 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:20
|
|
4h
#197434
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.367 | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 17b -0.1ATR | — | — | 0.50 | 18% | ↓ -0.21 | above_value | +0.97 | — | #105786 | 0.40 | bull_high | +2.78% | +0.00 |
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 20:14
|
|
1h
anchor #198747
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.671 | normal | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early 12b 0.2ATR | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.58 | 29% | ↓ -0.36 | above_value | +1.33 | — | #106330 | 0.40 | bull_medium | +1.41% | -0.06 |
01/10 22:00
upd 01/10 23:09
|
|
15m
#198675
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.638 | normal | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 6b 1.0ATR | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.38 | 26% | ↔ -0.13 | above_value | +0.89 | — | #106175 | 0.72 | bull_low | +0.99% | -0.06 |
01/10 22:45
upd 01/10 23:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.459×ATR | p0 | +0.651×ATR | p35 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 17b | — | 1.922×ATR | p0 | -0.085×ATR | p8 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 1.551×ATR | p5 | +0.232×ATR | p18 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.947×ATR | p64 | +0.955×ATR | p76 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8325
- reason: up_bo width=2.35×ATR dur=57b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 8.88591036
- tp_price: 9.61912411
- atr:
- score: 0.83247849139124
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T15:09:49.464085
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83247849139124
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1224
- obi_top10 : 0.0277
- micro_price : 9.02281481
- spread_pct : 0.022168
- mid_price : 9.023
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 9.07
- ask_wall_size : 48666.4
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0984
- obi_top5_std : 0.0277
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7025
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
9.0482
- balance_zone_bottom:
8.74905
- balance_zone_mid:
8.898625
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790708400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790910000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3528
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
57
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8325
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790906400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
9.0482
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7895
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3712
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
11
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.12714643 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
57
inside_close_ratio
0.7895
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3712
Signaux confirmants (18)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:09 | 9.09540000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:21 | 9.09540000 | 0% |
| 3 | 23:32 | 9.09540000 | 0% |
| 4 | 00:09 | 9.05450000 | -0.45% |
| 5 | 00:21 | 9.05450000 | -0.45% |
| 6 | 00:32 | 9.05450000 | -0.45% |
| 7 | 00:43 | 9.22190000 | +1.391% |
| 8 | 00:54 | 9.22190000 | +1.391% |
| 9 | 01:43 | 9.19930000 | +1.142% |
| 10 | 01:55 | 9.19930000 | +1.142% |
| 11 | 02:10 | 9.16050000 | +0.716% |
| 12 | 02:23 | 9.16050000 | +0.716% |
| 13 | 02:34 | 9.22740000 | +1.451% |
| 14 | 02:46 | 9.22740000 | +1.451% |
| 15 | 02:57 | 9.22740000 | +1.451% |
| 16 | 03:11 | 9.14480000 | +0.543% |
| 17 | 03:22 | 9.14480000 | +0.543% |
| 18 | 03:34 | 9.14480000 | +0.543% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7025ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.122
avg 0.098
± 0.028
OBI Top 10
0.028
Microstructure
Mid Price
9.0230
Micro Price
9.0228
Spread
0.0222%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
9.0700
Size
48,666.40
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0954 | 8.8859 | 9.6191 | 2.5 | 7.6117 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 9.0954
- Stop Loss: 8.8859
- Take Profit: 9.6191
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.8859 - 9.0954 = -0.2095
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.0954 - 9.6191 = -0.5237
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.5237 / -0.2095 = 2.4998
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 347.3356 | 100 | 38.188 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.2095
Taille de position = 8 / -0.2095 = -38.19
Taille de position USD = -38.19 x 9.0954 = -347.35
Donc, tu peux acheter -38.19 avec un stoploss a 8.8859
Avec un position size USD de -347.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -38.19 x -0.2095 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -38.19 x -0.5237 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -38.19
- Taille de position USD -347.35
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4998
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.76 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.3 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.34 $ | -1.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5436 % | 67.01 % | 18 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0954 | 8.8859 | 9.6191 | 2.5 | 7.6117 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 9.0954
- Stop Loss: 8.8859
- Take Profit: 9.6191
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.8859 - 9.0954 = -0.2095
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.0954 - 9.6191 = -0.5237
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.5237 / -0.2095 = 2.4998
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.303%
(0.2095)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.172% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.428% | 1.1R | -1.172% | 0.5R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.428% | 1.1R | -1.172% | 0.5R | 2.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.428% | 1.1R | -1.172% | 0.5R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.428% | 1.1R | -1.836% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.428% | 1.1R | -5.725% | 2.5R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.587% | 1.1R | -5.725% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.587% | 1.1R | -5.725% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.587% | 1.1R | -5.725% | 2.5R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1860 min
MAE in 935 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.