Web3Way Logo

Long Trade on AAVE

Previous Trade Next Trade
01 Oct 2026 at 23:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_score)

With 0.83 AAVE at 176.18$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 166.5393 (5.47 %)

AAVE LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 23:15 → 02:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 176.18$

Qty 0.8298 AAVE

Size 146.1966$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 146.2$

SL 166.5393 (-5.47%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +3.06% / +4.47$ MAE -1.39% MFE +6.56% 1.2R expires 02 Oct 02:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171149)
#3 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9491

Quality Score
0.674
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -1.33×ATR
1d near -0.59×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.63
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
66.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 23:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 22:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4613
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 66.7%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 50.0%
1h 53.3%
4h 83.3%
24h 38.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 50.0% +0.01%
4h 63.3% +0.63%
24h 16.7% -0.75%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.116
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 23:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8135
Score SMA
0.6801
Rank
#4 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9605
Rank Norm SMA
0.6193
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9655 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 7.44% · r3d: 14.67% · ema21_slope: 1.2788% · dist_ema21: 17.343%
Force Relative 25% 0.8858 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.97% · rs_3d: 13.01% · beta_24h: 1.397
Volume 20% 0.9008 rvol_20: 2.75× · zscore_50: 2.121 · trend: 130.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8150 ADX: 37.8 (trend) · Chop: 38.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.530% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.6744
Score SMA
0.5880
Rank
#3 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9491
Rank Norm SMA
0.6376
Calculé le
01/10/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7414 r1h: -0.709% · r4h: 1.691% · r1d: 7.43% · r3d: 19.29% · ema21_slope: 0.2621% · dist_ema21: 3.426%
Force Relative 25% 0.6731 rs_1h: -1.047% · rs_4h: 1.162% · rs_1d: 5.40% · rs_3d: 16.59% · beta_24h: 2.507
Volume 20% 0.3520 rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: -0.083 · trend: 48.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7557 ADX: 32.7 (trend) · Chop: 40.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.938% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6992
Score SMA
0.6484
Rank
#2 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9737
Rank Norm SMA
0.7103
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8346 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.241% · r1d: 7.44% · r3d: 14.67% · ema21_slope: 0.3082% · dist_ema21: 5.617%
Force Relative 25% 0.8042 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.988% · rs_1d: 5.97% · rs_3d: 13.01% · beta_24h: 2.737
Volume 20% 0.3406 rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.221 · trend: 66.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6058 ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 60.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.8878 ATR%: 3.337% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.472% (9.6407)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.925% 0.2R -1.391% 0.3R 0.7× 12
2h +6.556% 1.2R -1.391% 0.3R 4.7× 24
3h ★ +6.556% 1.2R -1.391% 0.3R 4.7× 36
4h +6.556% 1.2R -1.391% 0.3R 4.7× 48
8h +6.556% 1.2R -1.391% 0.3R 4.7× 96
12h +6.556% 1.2R -1.391% 0.3R 4.7× 144
24h +6.556% 1.2R -1.391% 0.3R 4.7× 288
48h +6.556% 1.2R -1.391% 0.3R 4.7× 576
72h +6.556% 1.2R -1.391% 0.3R 4.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 94 min MAE in 4 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.13
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 41% late — near -0.6ATR 0.68 bull_high +13.92% +0.98 30/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 45% mid — near -1.3ATR 0.55 bull_high +2.78% +0.89 01/10 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 35% late — — 0.55 bull_medium +1.41% +0.28 01/10 22:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.51 bull_low +0.99% +0.23 01/10 22:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197562
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.562 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 41% late 15b 2.0ATR — near -0.6ATR 2.75 97% ↑ +0.77 value +1.58 — #105783 0.68 bull_high +13.92% +0.98
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:19
4h
#197428
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.634 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 45% mid 8b 1.6ATR — near -1.3ATR 0.43 82% ↑ +0.42 value +1.58 — #105783 0.55 bull_high +2.78% +0.89
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 20:13
1h anchor
#198744
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.582 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 35% late 9b 1.5ATR — — 0.66 85% ↑ +0.42 value +2.57 inside #106327 0.55 bull_medium +1.41% +0.28
01/10 22:00
upd 01/10 23:09
15m
#198672
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate explosive 0.689 volatile_reversal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% early 7b 0.9ATR — — 0.13 31% ↑ +0.71 above_value +2.85 — #106172 0.51 bull_low +0.99% +0.23
01/10 22:45
upd 01/10 23:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 15b — 5.206×ATR p71 +2.019×ATR p90
4h ↑ up mid 8b — 2.461×ATR p10 +1.62×ATR p78
1h ↑ up late 9b — 3.316×ATR p82 +1.483×ATR p75
15m ↑ up early 7b — 1.852×ATR p7 +0.922×ATR p59

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 166.53928432
  2. atr: 3.21357189
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-02T06:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.7414
  4. confidence: 0.962

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
176.18 166.5393 132.38
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 176.18
  • Stop Loss: 166.5393
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 166.5393 - 176.18 = -9.6407

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 176.18 - = 176.18

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 176.18 / -9.6407 = -18.2746

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
146.1966 100 0.8298 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -9.6407

Taille de position = 8 / -9.6407 = -0.83

Taille de position USD = -0.83 x 176.18 = -146.23

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.83 avec un stoploss a 166.5393

Avec un position size USD de -146.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.83 x -9.6407 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.83 x 176.18 = -146.23

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -146.23$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -0.83
  • Taille de position USD -146.23
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -146.23
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -18.2746

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 146.2 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.47 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
4.47 $ 3.06
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3906 % 25.41 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
176.18 166.5393 132.38
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 176.18
  • Stop Loss: 166.5393
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 166.5393 - 176.18 = -9.6407

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 176.18 - = 176.18

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 176.18 / -9.6407 = -18.2746

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.472% (9.6407)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.925% 0.2R -1.391% 0.3R 0.7× 12
2h +6.556% 1.2R -1.391% 0.3R 4.7× 24
3h ★ +6.556% 1.2R -1.391% 0.3R 4.7× 36
4h +6.556% 1.2R -1.391% 0.3R 4.7× 48
8h +6.556% 1.2R -1.391% 0.3R 4.7× 96
12h +6.556% 1.2R -1.391% 0.3R 4.7× 144
24h +6.556% 1.2R -1.391% 0.3R 4.7× 288
48h +6.556% 1.2R -1.391% 0.3R 4.7× 576
72h +6.556% 1.2R -1.391% 0.3R 4.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 94 min MAE in 4 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.