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Short Trade on APEX

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01 Oct 2026 at 23:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on APEX (momentum_rotation_score)

With 339.17 APEX at 0.255$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2782 (9.27 %)

APEX SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 23:15 → 02:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.2546$

Qty 339.1689 APEX

Size 86.3456$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 86.35$

SL 0.2782 (-9.27%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +0.46% / +0.4$ MAE -2.65% MFE +2.07% 0.2R expires 02 Oct 02:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171197)
#78 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3517

Quality Score
0.304
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#78 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#78 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.22×ATR
4h near 0.42×ATR
1d clear 1.83×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.63
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 23:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 22:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4613
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 66.7%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 50.0%
1h 53.3%
4h 83.3%
24h 38.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 50.0% +0.01%
4h 63.3% +0.63%
24h 16.7% -0.75%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.116
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 23:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4844
Score SMA
0.5444
Rank
#59 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2368
Rank Norm SMA
0.4579
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5539 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.66% · r3d: -14.86% · ema21_slope: 0.8229% · dist_ema21: -1.716%
Force Relative 25% 0.1690 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -15.13% · rs_3d: -16.51% · beta_24h: 1.043
Volume 20% 0.9277 rvol_20: 3.07× · zscore_50: 1.916 · trend: 131.67%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6032 ADX: 19.6 (weak) · Chop: 45.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.035% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.3038
Score SMA
0.5321
Rank
#78 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3517
Rank Norm SMA
0.5201
Calculé le
01/10/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1294 r1h: -0.740% · r4h: -2.064% · r1d: -16.15% · r3d: -12.63% · ema21_slope: -0.5672% · dist_ema21: -7.314%
Force Relative 25% 0.1511 rs_1h: -1.078% · rs_4h: -2.593% · rs_1d: -18.19% · rs_3d: -15.33% · beta_24h: 0.190
Volume 20% 0.3393 rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.080 · trend: 43.49%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7818 ADX: 33.8 (trend) · Chop: 32.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9392 ATR%: 3.183% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3972
Score SMA
0.5632
Rank
#67 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4783
Rank Norm SMA
0.6149
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3620 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -7.731% · r1d: -13.66% · r3d: -14.86% · ema21_slope: 0.1192% · dist_ema21: -9.745%
Force Relative 25% 0.0743 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -7.984% · rs_1d: -15.13% · rs_3d: -16.51% · beta_24h: 1.805
Volume 20% 0.9139 rvol_20: 2.56× · zscore_50: 2.764 · trend: 110.34%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5818 ADX: 25.3 (trend) · Chop: 54.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.180% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.269% (0.0236)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.070% 0.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.070% 0.2R -2.647% 0.3R 0.8× 24
3h ★ +2.070% 0.2R -2.647% 0.3R 0.8× 36
4h +2.247% 0.2R -2.647% 0.3R 0.9× 48
8h +2.266% 0.2R -2.647% 0.3R 0.9× 96
12h +2.266% 0.2R -2.647% 0.3R 0.9× 144
24h +5.793% 0.6R -2.647% 0.3R 2.2× 288
48h +12.687% 1.4R -2.647% 0.3R 4.8× 576
72h +12.687% 1.4R -2.647% 0.3R 4.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 964 min MAE in 114 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.06
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.41 bull_high +13.92% +0.00 30/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 42% late near 0.4ATR — 0.30 bull_high +2.78% -0.97 01/10 16:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 42% late near 0.2ATR — 0.32 bull_medium +1.41% -0.92 01/10 22:00
15m ↓ down pullback bear_trend strong balanced normal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 45% late near -1.5ATR — 0.16 range_low +0.76% -0.50 01/10 22:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197702
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.667 expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 36% early 23b -0.1ATR — — 3.07 98% ↑ +0.78 below_value -4.62 — #105831 0.41 bull_high +13.92% +0.00
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
4h
#197600
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.571 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 42% late 5b -1.8ATR near 0.4ATR — 2.56 99% ↔ -0.12 below_value -4.62 — #105831 0.30 bull_high +2.78% -0.97
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 20:21
1h anchor
#198793
 ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.488 expansion bear_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 42% late 9b -2.3ATR near 0.2ATR — 0.62 74% ↑ +0.49 below_value -5.04 — #106375 0.32 bull_medium +1.41% -0.92
01/10 22:00
upd 01/10 23:11
15m
#198639
 ↓ down pullback bear_trend strong balanced 0.489 normal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 45% late 4b -2.3ATR near -1.5ATR — 0.09 15% ↓ -0.75 below_value -4.51 — #106219 0.16 range_low +0.76% -0.50
01/10 22:30
upd 01/10 22:48
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 23b — 2.452×ATR p0 -0.143×ATR p11
4h ↓ down late 5b — 3.02×ATR p27 -1.801×ATR p85
1h ↓ down late 9b — 4.013×ATR p75 -2.27×ATR p86
15m ↓ down late 4b — 3.462×ATR p55 -2.324×ATR p86

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.27816707
  2. atr: 0.00786236
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-02T06:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 79
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.0656
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2546 0.2782 0.2121
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2546
  • Stop Loss: 0.2782
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2782 - 0.2546 = 0.0236

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2546 - = 0.2546

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2546 / 0.0236 = 10.7881

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
86.3456 86.3456 339.1689 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0236

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0236 = 338.98

Taille de position USD = 338.98 x 0.2546 = 86.3

Donc, tu peux acheter 338.98 avec un stoploss a 0.2782

Avec un position size USD de 86.3$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 338.98 x 0.0236 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 338.98 x 0.2546 = 86.3

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 86.3$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 338.98
  • Taille de position USD 86.3
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 86.3
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 10.7881

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 86.35 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
9.27 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.4 $ 0.46
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.6473 % 28.56 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2546 0.2782 0.2121
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2546
  • Stop Loss: 0.2782
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2782 - 0.2546 = 0.0236

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2546 - = 0.2546

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2546 / 0.0236 = 10.7881

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.269% (0.0236)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.070% 0.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.070% 0.2R -2.647% 0.3R 0.8× 24
3h ★ +2.070% 0.2R -2.647% 0.3R 0.8× 36
4h +2.247% 0.2R -2.647% 0.3R 0.9× 48
8h +2.266% 0.2R -2.647% 0.3R 0.9× 96
12h +2.266% 0.2R -2.647% 0.3R 0.9× 144
24h +5.793% 0.6R -2.647% 0.3R 2.2× 288
48h +12.687% 1.4R -2.647% 0.3R 4.8× 576
72h +12.687% 1.4R -2.647% 0.3R 4.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 964 min MAE in 114 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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