Long Trade on RENDER (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 253.92 RENDER at 1.945$ per unit. Take profit: 2.0236 (4.05 %) & Stop Loss: 1.9133 (1.62 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 23:36:20
hyperliquid
RENDER
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 23:36
→ 11:30
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.9448$
Qty 253.9193 RENDER
Size 493.8223$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 2.0236 (+4.05%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 1.9133 (-1.62%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.79%
/ +8.84$
MAE -0.39%
MFE +3.34%
2.1R
expires
02 Oct 11:36
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171019)
#39 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 21:00
score du 01/10/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4506
Quality Score
0.469
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#39 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.62 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#39 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.62 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.38×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.59×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
916,735 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 23:31
01/10 23:31
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 16:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4615
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
76.1%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 28.3% |
| 1h | 55.0% |
| 4h | 86.7% |
| 24h | 36.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 28.3% | -0.07% |
| 4h | 65.0% | +0.99% |
| 24h | 18.3% | -0.43% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.126
Universe :
60
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 23:31
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5443
Score SMA
0.6457
Rank
#41
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4737
Rank Norm SMA
0.6010
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7699 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.10% · r3d: -2.07% · ema21_slope: 1.6980% · dist_ema21: 8.536% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5669 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.58% · rs_3d: -3.73% · beta_24h: 1.397 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2878 | rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.107 · trend: 0.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7605 | ADX: 31.3 (trend) · Chop: 34.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.507% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.4694
Score SMA
0.5476
Rank
#39
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4506
Rank Norm SMA
0.5436
Calculé le
01/10/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4817 | r1h: 0.131% · r4h: 0.272% · r1d: -0.04% · r3d: -0.66% · ema21_slope: -0.0471% · dist_ema21: -0.035% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4705 | rs_1h: 0.235% · rs_4h: 0.081% · rs_1d: -1.55% · rs_3d: -2.59% · beta_24h: 1.848 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1874 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.492 · trend: -34.83% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4651 | ADX: 27.3 (trend) · Chop: 70.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.206% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4669
Score SMA
0.6015
Rank
#36
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4868
Rank Norm SMA
0.6689
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5635 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.245% · r1d: -0.10% · r3d: -2.07% · ema21_slope: -0.0571% · dist_ema21: -0.874% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4539 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.498% · rs_1d: -1.58% · rs_3d: -3.73% · beta_24h: 2.157 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1783 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.761 · trend: -36.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3245 | ADX: 14.2 (weak) · Chop: 74.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.953% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.620%
(0.0315)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.501% | 0.9R | -0.386% | 0.2R | 3.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.406% | 1.5R | -0.386% | 0.2R | 6.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.406% | 1.5R | -0.386% | 0.2R | 6.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.900% | 1.8R | -0.386% | 0.2R | 7.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.337% | 2.1R | -0.386% | 0.2R | 8.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.445% | 2.1R | -4.324% | 2.7R | 0.8× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.856% | 2.4R | -4.324% | 2.7R | 0.9× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.093% | 2.5R | -4.324% | 2.7R | 1.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.093% | 2.5R | -4.324% | 2.7R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2113 min
MAE in 908 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.82
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.98 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +2.78% | -0.19 | 01/10 16:00 |
| 1h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 15m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197655
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.503 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid 15b 1.0ATR | — | — | 0.68 | 72% | ↑ +0.46 | above_value | -1.03 | — | #105809 | 0.65 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.98 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:24
|
|
4h
#197498
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.571 | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early 8b -0.3ATR | — | — | 0.57 | 40% | ↓ -0.19 | above_value | -1.03 | — | #105809 | 0.57 | bull_high | +2.78% | -0.19 |
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 20:16
|
| 1h anchor | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 5.048×ATR | p68 | +0.985×ATR | p53 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.57×ATR | p0 | -0.33×ATR | p20 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9357
- reason: up_bo width=2.44×ATR dur=30b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.91329393
- tp_price: 2.02356517
- atr:
- score: 0.93572031651482
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T15:36:12.362827
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.93572031651482
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0329
- obi_top10 : -0.0661
- micro_price : 1.94240009
- spread_pct : 0.036045
- mid_price : 1.94235
- bid_wall_price : 1.94
- bid_wall_size : 118068.88
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 1.95
- ask_wall_size : 126910.48
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0292
- obi_top5_std : 0.0034
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6960
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.9437
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.8875
- balance_zone_mid:
1.9156
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790805600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790910000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.437
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
30
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9357
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790906400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.9437
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0477
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.02306067 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
30
inside_close_ratio
0.9
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0477
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:36 | 1.94480000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:47 | 1.94480000 | 0% |
| 3 | 23:58 | 1.94480000 | 0% |
| 4 | 00:36 | 1.96720000 | +1.152% |
| 5 | 00:47 | 1.96720000 | +1.152% |
| 6 | 00:58 | 1.96720000 | +1.152% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6960ms
Confidence avant OB :
94%
→
94%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.033
avg -0.029
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
-0.066
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.9424
Micro Price
1.9424
Spread
0.0360%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
1.9400
Size
118,068.88
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
1.9500
Size
126,910.48
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9448 | 1.9133 | 2.0236 | 2.5 | 1.5248 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.9448
- Stop Loss: 1.9133
- Take Profit: 2.0236
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.9133 - 1.9448 = -0.0315
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.9448 - 2.0236 = -0.0788
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0788 / -0.0315 = 2.5016
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 493.8223 | 100 | 253.9193 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0315
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0315 = -253.97
Taille de position USD = -253.97 x 1.9448 = -493.92
Donc, tu peux acheter -253.97 avec un stoploss a 1.9133
Avec un position size USD de -493.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -253.97 x -0.0315 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -253.97 x -0.0788 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position -253.97
- Taille de position USD -493.92
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5016
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.05 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.62 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 8.84 $ | 1.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3856 % | 23.81 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9448 | 1.9133 | 2.0236 | 2.5 | 1.5248 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.9448
- Stop Loss: 1.9133
- Take Profit: 2.0236
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.9133 - 1.9448 = -0.0315
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.9448 - 2.0236 = -0.0788
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0788 / -0.0315 = 2.5016
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.620%
(0.0315)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.501% | 0.9R | -0.386% | 0.2R | 3.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.406% | 1.5R | -0.386% | 0.2R | 6.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.406% | 1.5R | -0.386% | 0.2R | 6.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.900% | 1.8R | -0.386% | 0.2R | 7.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.337% | 2.1R | -0.386% | 0.2R | 8.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.445% | 2.1R | -4.324% | 2.7R | 0.8× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.856% | 2.4R | -4.324% | 2.7R | 0.9× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.093% | 2.5R | -4.324% | 2.7R | 1.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.093% | 2.5R | -4.324% | 2.7R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2113 min
MAE in 908 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.