Short Trade on ZEC

Previous Trade Next Trade

02 Oct 2026 at 00:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 0.14 ZEC at 1335.3$ per unit. Take profit: 1301.9175 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1391.7591 (4.23 %)

ZEC SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 00:15 → 00:40 · 24 minutes

Position

Entry 1335.3$

Qty 0.1417 ZEC

Size 189.206$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 1301.9175 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.73$

SL 1391.7591 (-4.23%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.59

Status loss PnL -4.23% / -8$ MAE -5.14% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 02 Oct 06:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171278)

#74 / 78

seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1552

Quality Score

0.403

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#74 / 78

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-4

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-4

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.23 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#74 / 78

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-4

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.23 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	3.08×ATR
1d	clear	6.21×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-4

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

mixed

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-4

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

0.79

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

470.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 00:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 22:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4617

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	expansion -1
Tactical	bull 0.55	expansion -1
Micro	bull 0.90	expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -4

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 69.4%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : mixed

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	60.0%
1h	28.3%
4h	81.7%
24h	36.7%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	36.7%	+0.02%
4h	53.3%	+0.79%
24h	13.3%	-0.64%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.102

Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 02/10 00:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4110

Score SMA

0.5640

Rank

#72 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0658

Rank Norm SMA

0.3467

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4731	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -7.14% · r3d: -9.96% · ema21_slope: 1.4344% · dist_ema21: -3.596%
Force Relative	25%	0.3319	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.61% · rs_3d: -11.61% · beta_24h: 1.058
Volume	20%	0.3561	rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: 0.186 · trend: 17.37%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7657	ADX: 51.5 (trend) · Chop: 58.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.948% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.4032

Score SMA

0.5032

Rank

#74 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1552

Rank Norm SMA

0.3690

Calculé le

02/10/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3281	r1h: -0.149% · r4h: 0.120% · r1d: -6.13% · r3d: -2.92% · ema21_slope: -0.2929% · dist_ema21: -1.662%
Force Relative	25%	0.3132	rs_1h: -0.523% · rs_4h: -0.639% · rs_1d: -8.22% · rs_3d: -5.87% · beta_24h: 1.780
Volume	20%	0.1757	rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.527 · trend: -41.84%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7333	ADX: 39.8 (trend) · Chop: 50.3 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.767% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.3511

Score SMA

0.4864

Rank

#77 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0262

Rank Norm SMA

0.2916

Calculé le

02/10/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3344	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.120% · r1d: -6.13% · r3d: -2.92% · ema21_slope: -0.3774% · dist_ema21: -5.538%
Force Relative	25%	0.2371	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.639% · rs_1d: -8.22% · rs_3d: -5.87% · beta_24h: 2.297
Volume	20%	0.1894	rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.842 · trend: -15.84%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5314	ADX: 18.8 (weak) · Chop: 53.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.6893	ATR%: 3.932% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.228% (56.4591)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.845%	1.2R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.845%	1.2R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.845%	1.2R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.145%	1.2R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.145%	1.2R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.826%	1.4R	0.0×	144
24h	+4.778%	1.1R	-5.826%	1.4R	0.8×	288
48h	+4.778%	1.1R	-5.826%	1.4R	0.8×	576
72h	+4.778%	1.1R	-5.826%	1.4R	0.8×	864

⏱ MFE in 869 min MAE in 559 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.56	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.40	30/09 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	—	—	0.53	bull_high	+2.78%	-0.91	01/10 16:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 33%	early	—	—	0.45	bull_medium	+1.41%	-0.69	01/10 22:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 37%	early	—	near -0.5ATR	0.68	bull_low	+1.27%	-0.07	01/10 23:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197707	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.676	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 38%	early 5b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.84	88%	↔ +0.13	value	-2.43	inside	#105833	0.56	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.40	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:26
4h #197608	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.510	normal	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 8b -1.7ATR	—	—	0.58	42%	↓ -0.34	value	-2.43	—	#105833	0.53	bull_high	+2.78%	-0.91	01/10 16:00 upd 01/10 20:21
1h anchor #198795	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.514	normal	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 33%	early 7b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.34	22%	↓ -0.24	value	-2.58	inside	#106377	0.45	bull_medium	+1.41%	-0.69	01/10 22:00 upd 01/10 23:11
15m #199105	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.563	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 37%	early 3b 0.2ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	0.73	35%	↓ -0.17	value	-2.58	—	#106377	0.68	bull_low	+1.27%	-0.07	01/10 23:45 upd 02/10 00:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	5b	—	2.702×ATR	p0	-0.351×ATR	p16
4h	↓ down	mid	8b	—	2.917×ATR	p43	-1.734×ATR	p71
1h	↑ up	early	7b	—	1.423×ATR	p0	-0.892×ATR	p45
15m	↓ down	early	3b	—	1.008×ATR	p0	+0.205×ATR	p11

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 1391.75909887
tp_price: 1301.9175
atr: 22.58363955
expires_at: 2026-10-02T10:15:09+00:00

Details

rank: 76
total: 79
score: 0.3052
delta_2h: -0.0371
extension_atr: -0.93
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1455
confidence: 0.962

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1335.3	1391.7591	1301.9175	0.59	1349.4

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1335.3
Stop Loss: 1391.7591
Take Profit: 1301.9175

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1391.7591 - 1335.3 = 56.4591
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1335.3 - 1301.9175 = 33.3825
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 33.3825 / 56.4591 = 0.5913

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
189.206	100	0.1417	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 56.4591

Taille de position = 8 / 56.4591 = 0.14

Taille de position USD = 0.14 x 1335.3 = 186.94

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.14 avec un stoploss a 1391.7591

Avec un position size USD de 186.94$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.14 x 56.4591 = 7.9

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.9$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.14 x 33.3825 = 4.67

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.67$

Résumé

Taille de position 0.14
Taille de position USD 186.94
Perte potentielle 7.9
Gain potentiel 4.67
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5913

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.73 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.23 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-4.23

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.411 %	104.32 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1335.3	1391.7591	1301.9175	0.59	1349.4

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1335.3
Stop Loss: 1391.7591
Take Profit: 1301.9175

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1391.7591 - 1335.3 = 56.4591
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1335.3 - 1301.9175 = 33.3825
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 33.3825 / 56.4591 = 0.5913

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1301.9175
            [entry_price] => 1335.3
            [stop_loss] => 1397.40501
            [rr_ratio] => 0.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 04:55:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1301.9175
            [entry_price] => 1335.3
            [stop_loss] => 1403.05092
            [rr_ratio] => 0.49
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 10:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.228% (56.4591)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.845%	1.2R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.845%	1.2R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.845%	1.2R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.145%	1.2R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.145%	1.2R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.826%	1.4R	0.0×	144
24h	+4.778%	1.1R	-5.826%	1.4R	0.8×	288
48h	+4.778%	1.1R	-5.826%	1.4R	0.8×	576
72h	+4.778%	1.1R	-5.826%	1.4R	0.8×	864

⏱ MFE in 869 min MAE in 559 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.