Short Trade on FIL (CatchTheWave)
With 1408.37 FIL at 1.039$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0272 (1.1 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0443 (0.55 %)
Short Trade on FIL (CatchTheWave)
With 1408.37 FIL at 1.039$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0272 (1.1 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0443 (0.55 %)
Position
Entry 1.0386$
Qty 1408.3664 FIL
Size 1462.7293$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 1.0272 (+1.1%)
TP $ 16.06$
SL 1.0443 (-0.55%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3047
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.26×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.49×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 23:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.782685 15m : 0.827054 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
exhaustion
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 80.0% |
| 1h | 28.3% |
| 4h | 78.3% |
| 24h | 38.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 75.0% | +0.60% |
| 4h | 45.0% | +0.82% |
| 24h | 15.0% | -0.56% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7234 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.15% · r3d: -4.06% · ema21_slope: 1.4133% · dist_ema21: 4.574% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5119 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.62% · rs_3d: -5.72% · beta_24h: 1.561 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2141 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.376 · trend: -20.65% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7152 | ADX: 30.6 (trend) · Chop: 43.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.129% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4240 | r1h: -0.264% · r4h: 0.088% · r1d: -3.50% · r3d: -0.99% · ema21_slope: -0.0680% · dist_ema21: -0.054% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3569 | rs_1h: -0.637% · rs_4h: -0.671% · rs_1d: -5.58% · rs_3d: -3.94% · beta_24h: 1.993 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1555 | rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.668 · trend: -55.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4959 | ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 62.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.208% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4756 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.088% · r1d: -3.50% · r3d: -0.99% · ema21_slope: -0.2033% · dist_ema21: -2.136% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3967 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.671% · rs_1d: -5.58% · rs_3d: -3.94% · beta_24h: 1.500 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1388 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.918 · trend: -53.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4384 | ADX: 16.4 (weak) · Chop: 62.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9016 | ATR%: 3.295% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.549% | 1.0R | -0.636% | 1.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.549% | 1.0R | -0.636% | 1.2R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.587% | 1.1R | -0.751% | 1.4R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.127% | 2.1R | -0.751% | 1.4R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.127% | 2.1R | -2.109% | 3.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.808% | 14.2R | -2.715% | 5.0R | 2.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.808% | 14.2R | -4.265% | 7.8R | 1.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.808% | 14.2R | -4.265% | 7.8R | 1.8× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.61 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.93 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.38 | bull_high | +3.48% | -0.37 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.44 | bull_medium | +1.75% | -0.27 | 01/10 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.76 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.71% | +0.02 | 02/10 00:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197611
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | 0.690 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 5b 0.4ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.34 | 82% | ↓ -0.22 | value | -0.99 | — | #105795 | 0.61 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.93 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:22
|
|
4h
#199176
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | 0.580 | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 15b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.45 | 24% | ↓ -0.37 | above_value | -1.03 | — | #106496 | 0.38 | bull_high | +3.48% | -0.37 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:14
|
|
1h
anchor #199175
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.495 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 6b 0.0ATR | — | — | 0.20 | 5% | ↓ -0.60 | above_value | -1.03 | — | #106496 | 0.44 | bull_medium | +1.75% | -0.27 |
01/10 23:00
upd 02/10 00:14
|
|
15m
#199384
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.487 | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late 3b 3.6ATR | — | — | 9.83 | 98% | ↔ -0.00 | above_value | -1.03 | — | #106496 | 0.76 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.71% | +0.02 |
02/10 00:15
upd 02/10 00:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.248×ATR | p0 | +0.411×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 15b | — | 2.79×ATR | p41 | -0.751×ATR | p39 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.216×ATR | p2 | -0.045×ATR | p4 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 4.34×ATR | p88 | +3.623×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
85086.5
0.0167532
86512
0.782685
84522.6
0.0231102
86476
0.827054
83966.7
0.03061
86537
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1.0062
192
0.4484
0.5602
0.3703
0.2353
0.4808
0.6083
0.4255
0.4267
0.3057
0.2717
0.551
0.2576
0.0123
-0.0395
0.6667
1.1489
0.2086
0.4
0.6
-1
14
1
0.5294
0.3338
5.0046
0.6
0.6083
1.4836
0.2086
0.843
0.2803
0.18
-0.0544
0.4772
0.5217
0.6991
0.2576
-10.2679
3.5622
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 22:50:00 | 1.0102 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 23:45:00 | 1.0157 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 00:20:00 | 1.0234 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 01:20:00 | 1.0092 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 02:15:00 | 1.0236 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 02:40:00 | 1.0185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 03:00:00 | 1.0273 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 03:35:00 | 1.0163 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 04:10:00 | 1.0178 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 04:30:00 | 1.0438 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 11:45:00 | 1.0259 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 14:45:00 | 0.99152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 17:45:00 | 1.029 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 19:30:00 | 1.0106 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 20:00:00 | 1.0272 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 21:45:00 | 1.0062 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 00:15:00 | 1.0234 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 01:15:00 | 1.0092 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 03:30:00 | 1.0163 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 04:30:00 | 1.0438 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 14:00:00 | 1.1151 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 1.0526 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 23:00:00 | 1.0522 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 06:00:00 | 1.0492 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 12:00:00 | 1.094 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 19:00:00 | 1.0247 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 01:00:00 | 1.0641 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 14:00:00 | 0.99152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 17:00:00 | 1.029 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 04:00:00 | 1.0438 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0386 | 1.0443 | 1.0272 | 2 | 0.827 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0443 - 1.0386 = 0.0057
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0386 - 1.0272 = 0.0114
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0114 / 0.0057 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1462.7293 | 100 | 1408.3664 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0057 = 1403.51
Taille de position USD = 1403.51 x 1.0386 = 1457.69
Donc, tu peux acheter 1403.51 avec un stoploss a 1.0443
Avec un position size USD de 1457.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1403.51 x 0.0057 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1403.51 x 0.0114 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.1 % | 16.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.55 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -0.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6355 % | 115.8 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0386 | 1.0443 | 1.0272 | 2 | 0.827 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0443 - 1.0386 = 0.0057
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0386 - 1.0272 = 0.0114
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0114 / 0.0057 = 2
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(
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[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0272
[entry_price] => 1.0386
[stop_loss] => 1.04601
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 08:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.549% | 1.0R | -0.636% | 1.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.549% | 1.0R | -0.636% | 1.2R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.587% | 1.1R | -0.751% | 1.4R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.127% | 2.1R | -0.751% | 1.4R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.127% | 2.1R | -2.109% | 3.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.808% | 14.2R | -2.715% | 5.0R | 2.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.808% | 14.2R | -4.265% | 7.8R | 1.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.808% | 14.2R | -4.265% | 7.8R | 1.8× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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