Long Trade on LINK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 28.25 LINK at 14.594$ per unit. Take profit: 15.3021 (4.85 %) & Stop Loss: 14.3108 (1.94 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 01:05:29
hyperliquid
LINK
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 01:05
→ 03:20
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 14.594$
Qty 28.2458 LINK
Size 412.2198$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 15.3021 (+4.85%)
TP $ 20$
SL 14.3108 (-1.94%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.94%
/ -8$
MAE -3.18%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
02 Oct 13:05
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171223)
#57 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 00:00
score du 02/10/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4397
Quality Score
0.454
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#57 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#57 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.30×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.57×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
28.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 01:00
02/10 01:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 01/10 23:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4621
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
mature
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
mature
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
78.3%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 51.7% |
| 1h | 96.7% |
| 4h | 95.0% |
| 24h | 56.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 51.7% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 46.7% | +1.94% |
| 24h | 16.7% | +0.30% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.183
Universe :
60
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 01:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6108
Score SMA
0.7075
Rank
#20
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7500
Rank Norm SMA
0.7395
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7505 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.17% · r3d: -6.90% · ema21_slope: 1.2183% · dist_ema21: 8.799% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5403 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.30% · rs_3d: -8.55% · beta_24h: 1.048 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5813 | rvol_20: 1.41× · zscore_50: 0.857 · trend: 83.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8556 | ADX: 42.7 (trend) · Chop: 32.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0601 | ATR%: 5.820% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4536
Score SMA
0.5761
Rank
#57
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4397
Rank Norm SMA
0.6041
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4976 | r1h: -0.090% · r4h: 0.501% · r1d: -0.33% · r3d: -2.65% · ema21_slope: -0.0022% · dist_ema21: 0.682% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3984 | rs_1h: -0.463% · rs_4h: -0.258% · rs_1d: -2.42% · rs_3d: -5.60% · beta_24h: 1.426 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2157 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.529 · trend: -11.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4108 | ADX: 18.4 (weak) · Chop: 68.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.167% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5002
Score SMA
0.6613
Rank
#33
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6540
Rank Norm SMA
0.8026
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5776 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.501% · r1d: -0.33% · r3d: -2.65% · ema21_slope: -0.0355% · dist_ema21: 0.408% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4562 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.258% · rs_1d: -2.42% · rs_3d: -5.60% · beta_24h: 2.133 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2770 | rvol_20: 0.72× · zscore_50: -0.278 · trend: -4.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3834 | ADX: 25.0 (weak) · Chop: 78.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.697% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.941%
(0.2832)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.247% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.487% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.323% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 47 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.323% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.179% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 143 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -9.614% | 5.0R | 0.0× | 287 |
| 36h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -9.614% | 5.0R | 0.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -9.614% | 5.0R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -9.614% | 5.0R | 0.0× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.83 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.85 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bull_high | +3.48% | -0.59 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -1.7ATR | near 0.3ATR | 0.64 | bull_medium | +1.75% | -0.09 | 01/10 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
53%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.79 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.45% | -0.02 | 02/10 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197537
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.651 | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid 15b 1.2ATR | — | — | 1.41 | 97% | ↑ +0.79 | above_value | +0.25 | — | #105778 | 0.83 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.85 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:18
|
|
4h
#199142
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.633 | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 18b 0.2ATR | — | — | 0.72 | 77% | ↓ -0.47 | above_value | +0.68 | — | #106479 | 0.61 | bull_high | +3.48% | -0.59 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:13
|
|
1h
anchor #199141
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.597 | normal | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 2b 0.5ATR | near -1.7ATR | near 0.3ATR | 0.27 | 25% | ↑ +0.16 | above_value | +0.68 | — | #106479 | 0.64 | bull_medium | +1.75% | -0.09 |
01/10 23:00
upd 02/10 00:13
|
|
15m
#199519
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | 0.525 | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
53%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late 6b 2.5ATR | — | near 0.2ATR | 2.42 | 93% | ↑ +0.51 | above_value | +0.68 | — | #106479 | 0.79 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.45% | -0.02 |
02/10 00:45
upd 02/10 01:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 4.501×ATR | p53 | +1.249×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 3.396×ATR | p46 | +0.183×ATR | p10 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.737×ATR | p5 | +0.547×ATR | p33 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 3.463×ATR | p68 | +2.521×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9029
- reason: up_bo width=2.30×ATR dur=46b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 14.31077248
- tp_price: 15.30206879
- atr:
- score: 0.90287434937877
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T17:05:21.791181
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.90287434937877
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0308
- obi_top10 : 0.037
- micro_price : 14.58697661
- spread_pct : 0.006856
- mid_price : 14.5865
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0242
- obi_top5_std : 0.0072
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6974
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
14.52
- balance_zone_bottom:
14.135
- balance_zone_mid:
14.3275
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790755200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790917200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3016
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
46
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9029
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790913600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
14.52
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.913
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.4424
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.16727517 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.913
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4424
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:05 | 14.59400000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:18 | 14.59400000 | 0% |
| 3 | 01:29 | 14.59400000 | 0% |
| 4 | 01:42 | 14.54000000 | -0.37% |
| 5 | 01:54 | 14.54000000 | -0.37% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6974ms
Confidence avant OB :
90%
→
90%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.031
avg 0.024
± 0.007
OBI Top 10
0.037
Microstructure
Mid Price
14.5865
Micro Price
14.5870
Spread
0.0069%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.594 | 14.3108 | 15.3021 | 2.5 | 10.834 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 14.594
- Stop Loss: 14.3108
- Take Profit: 15.3021
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.3108 - 14.594 = -0.2832
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.594 - 15.3021 = -0.7081
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.7081 / -0.2832 = 2.5004
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 412.2198 | 100 | 28.2458 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.2832
Taille de position = 8 / -0.2832 = -28.25
Taille de position USD = -28.25 x 14.594 = -412.28
Donc, tu peux acheter -28.25 avec un stoploss a 14.3108
Avec un position size USD de -412.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -28.25 x -0.2832 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -28.25 x -0.7081 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -28.25
- Taille de position USD -412.28
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5004
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.85 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.94 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.94 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.994 % | 102.76 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.594 | 14.3108 | 15.3021 | 2.5 | 10.834 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 14.594
- Stop Loss: 14.3108
- Take Profit: 15.3021
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.3108 - 14.594 = -0.2832
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.594 - 15.3021 = -0.7081
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.7081 / -0.2832 = 2.5004
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 15.3021
[entry_price] => 14.594
[stop_loss] => 14.28248
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 07:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.941%
(0.2832)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.247% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.487% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.323% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 47 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.323% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.179% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 143 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -9.614% | 5.0R | 0.0× | 287 |
| 36h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -9.614% | 5.0R | 0.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -9.614% | 5.0R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -9.614% | 5.0R | 0.0× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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