Long Trade on XRP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 244.46 XRP at 1.525$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6068 (5.36 %) & Stop Loss: 1.4923 (2.14 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 01:05:47
hyperliquid
XRP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 01:05
→ 13:00
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.525$
Qty 244.4627 XRP
Size 372.8056$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 1.6068 (+5.36%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1.4923 (-2.14%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.36%
/ -5.06$
MAE -1.72%
MFE +2.02%
0.9R
expires
02 Oct 13:05
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171381)
#20 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 01:00
score du 02/10/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5541
Quality Score
0.661
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#20 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#20 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.62×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.32×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.55×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
93.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 01:00
02/10 01:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 01/10 23:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4621
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
mature
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
mature
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
78.3%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 51.7% |
| 1h | 96.7% |
| 4h | 95.0% |
| 24h | 56.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 51.7% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 46.7% | +1.94% |
| 24h | 16.7% | +0.30% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.183
Universe :
60
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 01:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4907
Score SMA
0.5453
Rank
#56
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2763
Rank Norm SMA
0.2595
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6497 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.35% · r3d: -0.13% · ema21_slope: 0.6175% · dist_ema21: 2.394% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4561 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.12% · rs_3d: -1.78% · beta_24h: 1.578 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2602 | rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: -0.376 · trend: 2.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7868 | ADX: 42.0 (trend) · Chop: 46.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1167 | ATR%: 5.650% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.6606
Score SMA
—
Rank
—
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5541
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
02/10/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6268 | r1h: 1.484% · r4h: 2.434% · r1d: 1.76% · r3d: 3.10% · ema21_slope: 0.0426% · dist_ema21: 2.110% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4860 | rs_1h: 0.144% · rs_4h: 0.218% · rs_1d: -1.25% · rs_3d: -1.06% · beta_24h: 1.276 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8199 | rvol_20: 2.74× · zscore_50: 2.194 · trend: 36.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5807 | ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 43.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.845% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4809
Score SMA
0.5264
Rank
#39
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4704
Rank Norm SMA
0.4063
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5361 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.930% · r1d: 0.53% · r3d: 1.40% · ema21_slope: -0.0366% · dist_ema21: 0.563% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4531 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.170% · rs_1d: -1.55% · rs_3d: -1.55% · beta_24h: 0.664 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2134 | rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: -0.587 · trend: -41.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4272 | ADX: 21.5 (weak) · Chop: 69.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.890% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.144%
(0.0327)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.164% | 0.1R | -0.839% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.262% | 0.1R | -0.839% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.233% | 0.6R | -0.839% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.020% | 0.9R | -0.839% | 0.4R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.020% | 0.9R | -1.718% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.020% | 0.9R | -5.475% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 287 |
| 36h | +2.020% | 0.9R | -5.475% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.020% | 0.9R | -5.475% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.020% | 0.9R | -5.475% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 444 min
MAE in 814 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.59
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.87 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.03 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near -0.4ATR | near 0.3ATR | 0.72 | bull_high | +3.48% | -0.08 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.72 | bull_medium | +1.75% | -0.10 | 01/10 23:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.89 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.45% | +0.03 | 02/10 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197547
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.672 | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 15b 0.4ATR | — | — | 0.60 | 86% | ↑ +0.36 | above_value | -1.98 | — | #105780 | 0.87 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.03 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:18
|
|
4h
#199146
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.645 | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early 9b 0.4ATR | near -0.4ATR | near 0.3ATR | 0.76 | 50% | ↔ -0.07 | above_value | -0.94 | — | #106481 | 0.72 | bull_high | +3.48% | -0.08 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:13
|
|
1h
anchor #199145
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.490 | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 2b 1.0ATR | near 0.5ATR | — | 1.02 | 46% | ↓ -0.17 | above_value | -0.94 | — | #106481 | 0.72 | bull_medium | +1.75% | -0.10 |
01/10 23:00
upd 02/10 00:13
|
|
15m
#199521
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.326 | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 13b 3.0ATR | — | — | 2.11 | 92% | ↑ +0.83 | above_value | -0.94 | — | #106481 | 0.89 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.45% | +0.03 |
02/10 00:45
upd 02/10 01:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 2.92×ATR | p5 | +0.376×ATR | p20 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.252×ATR | p0 | +0.353×ATR | p29 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.96×ATR | p19 | +1.043×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 6.061×ATR | p100 | +3.025×ATR | p99 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8532
- reason: up_bo width=2.72×ATR dur=61b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.49227517
- tp_price: 1.60681207
- atr:
- score: 0.85317256551874
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T17:05:39.582933
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.85317256551874
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0713
- obi_top10 : -0.0713
- micro_price : 1.52464737
- spread_pct : 0.006559
- mid_price : 1.52465
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0571
- obi_top5_std : 0.0119
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6891
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.51055
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.4765
- balance_zone_mid:
1.493525
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790701200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790917200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.7244
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
61
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8532
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790913600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.51055
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8852
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1562
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.01249828 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
61
inside_close_ratio
0.8852
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1562
Signaux confirmants (15)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:05 | 1.52500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:18 | 1.52500000 | 0% |
| 3 | 01:29 | 1.52500000 | 0% |
| 4 | 01:42 | 1.52240000 | -0.17% |
| 5 | 01:54 | 1.52240000 | -0.17% |
| 6 | 02:09 | 1.52530000 | +0.02% |
| 7 | 02:22 | 1.52530000 | +0.02% |
| 8 | 02:33 | 1.52530000 | +0.02% |
| 9 | 02:45 | 1.52850000 | +0.23% |
| 10 | 02:56 | 1.52850000 | +0.23% |
| 11 | 03:09 | 1.52420000 | -0.052% |
| 12 | 03:21 | 1.52420000 | -0.052% |
| 13 | 03:33 | 1.52420000 | -0.052% |
| 14 | 03:45 | 1.52210000 | -0.19% |
| 15 | 03:56 | 1.52210000 | -0.19% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6891ms
Confidence avant OB :
85%
→
85%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.071
avg -0.057
± 0.012
OBI Top 10
-0.071
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.5247
Micro Price
1.5246
Spread
0.0066%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.525 | 1.4923 | 1.6068 | 2.5 | 1.1737 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.525
- Stop Loss: 1.4923
- Take Profit: 1.6068
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4923 - 1.525 = -0.0327
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.525 - 1.6068 = -0.0818
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0818 / -0.0327 = 2.5015
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 372.8056 | 100 | 244.4627 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0327
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0327 = -244.65
Taille de position USD = -244.65 x 1.525 = -373.09
Donc, tu peux acheter -244.65 avec un stoploss a 1.4923
Avec un position size USD de -373.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -244.65 x -0.0327 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -244.65 x -0.0818 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position -244.65
- Taille de position USD -373.09
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5015
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.36 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.14 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.06 $ | -1.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.718 % | 80.12 % | 20 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.525 | 1.4923 | 1.6068 | 2.5 | 1.1737 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.525
- Stop Loss: 1.4923
- Take Profit: 1.6068
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4923 - 1.525 = -0.0327
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.525 - 1.6068 = -0.0818
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0818 / -0.0327 = 2.5015
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.144%
(0.0327)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.164% | 0.1R | -0.839% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.262% | 0.1R | -0.839% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.233% | 0.6R | -0.839% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.020% | 0.9R | -0.839% | 0.4R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.020% | 0.9R | -1.718% | 0.8R | 1.2× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.020% | 0.9R | -5.475% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 287 |
| 36h | +2.020% | 0.9R | -5.475% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.020% | 0.9R | -5.475% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.020% | 0.9R | -5.475% | 2.6R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 444 min
MAE in 814 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.