Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1202.83 FARTCOIN at 0.186$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2024 (8.99 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1791 (3.55 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 01:12:24
hyperliquid
FARTCOIN
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 01:12
→ 13:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1857$
Qty 1202.8285 FARTCOIN
Size 223.4134$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2024 (+8.99%)
TP $ 20.09$
SL 0.1791 (-3.55%)
SL $ 7.94$
RR 2.53
Status
loss
PnL
-1.73%
/ -3.87$
MAE -1.77%
MFE +3.34%
0.9R
expires
02 Oct 13:12
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171417)
#33 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 01:00
score du 02/10/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6670
Quality Score
0.555
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#33 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#33 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.77×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.70×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.14×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
12.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 01:01
02/10 01:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4621
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
mature
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
mature
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
78.3%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 51.7% |
| 1h | 96.7% |
| 4h | 95.0% |
| 24h | 56.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 51.7% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 46.7% | +1.94% |
| 24h | 16.7% | +0.30% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.183
Universe :
60
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 01:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4456
Score SMA
0.4857
Rank
#67
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1316
Rank Norm SMA
0.1322
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6100 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.29% · r3d: 5.37% · ema21_slope: 0.8991% · dist_ema21: 0.905% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4596 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.76% · rs_3d: 3.71% · beta_24h: 2.310 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2659 | rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: -0.448 · trend: -12.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6302 | ADX: 22.4 (weak) · Chop: 45.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.156% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.5549
Score SMA
0.5078
Rank
#33
/ 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6670
Rank Norm SMA
0.3879
Calculé le
02/10/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7293 | r1h: 4.748% · r4h: 5.522% · r1d: 5.21% · r3d: 13.74% · ema21_slope: 0.0870% · dist_ema21: 5.312% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8012 | rs_1h: 3.407% · rs_4h: 3.306% · rs_1d: 2.20% · rs_3d: 9.58% · beta_24h: 2.755 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4240 | rvol_20: 1.38× · zscore_50: 0.590 · trend: -16.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6364 | ADX: 16.4 (weak) · Chop: 34.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.986% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4353
Score SMA
0.4625
Rank
#63
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2356
Rank Norm SMA
0.2185
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5292 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.081% · r1d: -0.09% · r3d: 9.00% · ema21_slope: -0.0770% · dist_ema21: 0.380% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5030 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.322% · rs_1d: -2.18% · rs_3d: 6.05% · beta_24h: 2.749 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1633 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.960 · trend: -29.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3121 | ADX: 14.6 (weak) · Chop: 76.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7136 | ATR%: 3.859% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.554%
(0.0066)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.578% | 0.4R | -0.587% | 0.2R | 2.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.578% | 0.4R | -0.587% | 0.2R | 2.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.558% | 0.7R | -0.587% | 0.2R | 4.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.339% | 0.9R | -0.587% | 0.2R | 5.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.339% | 0.9R | -1.766% | 0.5R | 1.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.339% | 0.9R | -9.607% | 2.7R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.339% | 0.9R | -9.607% | 2.7R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.339% | 0.9R | -9.607% | 2.7R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.339% | 0.9R | -9.607% | 2.7R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 462 min
MAE in 812 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.53
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.65 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.81 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.59 | bull_high | +3.48% | +0.42 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.57 | bull_medium_confirmed | +3.06% | +0.17 | 02/10 00:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
51%
|
choppy 49% | late | — | — | 0.72 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.45% | +0.37 | 02/10 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197670
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.691 | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 8b 0.1ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.79 | 47% | ↑ +0.59 | above_value | +0.32 | — | #105816 | 0.65 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.81 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:25
|
|
4h
#199233
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.645 | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early 13b 0.1ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.34 | 13% | ↓ -0.36 | above_value | +0.12 | — | #106518 | 0.59 | bull_high | +3.48% | +0.42 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:17
|
|
1h
anchor #199627
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.470 | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 13b 2.5ATR | — | — | 1.38 | 76% | ↓ -0.21 | value | +2.45 | — | #106753 | 0.57 | bull_medium_confirmed | +3.06% | +0.17 |
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 01:10
|
|
15m
#199554
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.364 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
51%
|
choppy 49% | late 5b 4.2ATR | — | — | 5.82 | 95% | ↑ +0.67 | above_value | +0.12 | — | #106518 | 0.72 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.45% | +0.37 |
02/10 00:45
upd 02/10 01:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.355×ATR | p0 | +0.077×ATR | p5 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 0.904×ATR | p0 | +0.116×ATR | p9 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 4.47×ATR | p95 | +2.456×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 5.19×ATR | p100 | +4.194×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8239
- reason: up_bo width=2.72×ATR dur=65b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.17908901
- tp_price: 0.20236748
- atr:
- score: 0.82389243995979
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T17:12:16.419037
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82389243995979
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1471
- obi_top10 : 0.1471
- micro_price : 0.18509706
- spread_pct : 0.03783
- mid_price : 0.185075
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.186
- ask_wall_size : 2332141.9
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1278
- obi_top5_std : 0.0112
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7114
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.18436
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.17454
- balance_zone_mid:
0.17945
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790686800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790917200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.7203
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
65
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8239
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790913600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.18436
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9077
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3823
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
13
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00360991 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
65
inside_close_ratio
0.9077
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3823
Signaux confirmants (17)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:12 | 0.18574000 | +0.022% |
| 2 | 01:24 | 0.18574000 | +0.022% |
| 3 | 01:36 | 0.18574000 | +0.022% |
| 4 | 01:48 | 0.18711000 | +0.759% |
| 5 | 02:00 | 0.18711000 | +0.759% |
| 6 | 02:15 | 0.18707000 | +0.738% |
| 7 | 02:27 | 0.18707000 | +0.738% |
| 8 | 02:39 | 0.18707000 | +0.738% |
| 9 | 02:50 | 0.18707000 | +0.738% |
| 10 | 03:03 | 0.18707000 | +0.738% |
| 11 | 03:15 | 0.18620000 | +0.269% |
| 12 | 03:27 | 0.18620000 | +0.269% |
| 13 | 03:39 | 0.18550000 | -0.108% |
| 14 | 03:51 | 0.18550000 | -0.108% |
| 15 | 04:03 | 0.18550000 | -0.108% |
| 16 | 04:17 | 0.18670000 | +0.539% |
| 17 | 04:28 | 0.18670000 | +0.539% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7114ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.147
avg 0.128
± 0.011
OBI Top 10
0.147
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1851
Micro Price
0.1851
Spread
0.0378%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1860
Size
2,332,141.90
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1857 | 0.1791 | 0.2024 | 2.53 | 0.119 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1857
- Stop Loss: 0.1791
- Take Profit: 0.2024
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1791 - 0.1857 = -0.0066
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1857 - 0.2024 = -0.0167
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0167 / -0.0066 = 2.5303
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 223.4134 | 100 | 1202.8285 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0066
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0066 = -1212.12
Taille de position USD = -1212.12 x 0.1857 = -225.09
Donc, tu peux acheter -1212.12 avec un stoploss a 0.1791
Avec un position size USD de -225.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1212.12 x -0.0066 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1212.12 x -0.0167 = 20.24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.24$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1212.12
- Taille de position USD -225.09
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.24
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5303
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.99 % | 20.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.55 % | 7.94 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.87 $ | -1.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7663 % | 49.7 % | 32 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1857 | 0.1791 | 0.2024 | 2.53 | 0.119 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1857
- Stop Loss: 0.1791
- Take Profit: 0.2024
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1791 - 0.1857 = -0.0066
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1857 - 0.2024 = -0.0167
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0167 / -0.0066 = 2.5303
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.554%
(0.0066)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.578% | 0.4R | -0.587% | 0.2R | 2.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.578% | 0.4R | -0.587% | 0.2R | 2.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.558% | 0.7R | -0.587% | 0.2R | 4.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.339% | 0.9R | -0.587% | 0.2R | 5.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.339% | 0.9R | -1.766% | 0.5R | 1.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.339% | 0.9R | -9.607% | 2.7R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.339% | 0.9R | -9.607% | 2.7R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.339% | 0.9R | -9.607% | 2.7R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.339% | 0.9R | -9.607% | 2.7R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 462 min
MAE in 812 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
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