Short Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.55 ZEC at 1391.6$ per unit. Take profit: 1362.5861 (2.08 %) & Stop Loss: 1406.1069 (1.04 %)
Short Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.55 ZEC at 1391.6$ per unit. Take profit: 1362.5861 (2.08 %) & Stop Loss: 1406.1069 (1.04 %)
Position
Entry 1391.6$
Qty 0.5515 ZEC
Size 767.4118$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 1362.5861 (+2.08%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1406.1069 (-1.04%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2214
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.88×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.20×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.21×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/10 00:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.782802 15m : 0.802218 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
mature
-1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
mature
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 51.7% |
| 1h | 96.7% |
| 4h | 95.0% |
| 24h | 56.7% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 51.7% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 46.7% | +1.94% |
| 24h | 16.7% | +0.30% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4731 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -7.14% · r3d: -9.96% · ema21_slope: 1.4344% · dist_ema21: -3.596% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3319 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.61% · rs_3d: -11.61% · beta_24h: 1.058 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3561 | rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: 0.186 · trend: 17.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7657 | ADX: 51.5 (trend) · Chop: 58.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.948% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5082 | r1h: 4.576% · r4h: 4.287% · r1d: -2.74% · r3d: 2.54% · ema21_slope: -0.2374% · dist_ema21: 2.573% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5827 | rs_1h: 3.235% · rs_4h: 2.071% · rs_1d: -5.75% · rs_3d: -1.62% · beta_24h: 2.573 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5473 | rvol_20: 1.69× · zscore_50: 1.293 · trend: 2.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7024 | ADX: 37.2 (trend) · Chop: 51.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.926% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3344 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.120% · r1d: -6.13% · r3d: -2.92% · ema21_slope: -0.3774% · dist_ema21: -5.538% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2371 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.639% · rs_1d: -8.22% · rs_3d: -5.87% · beta_24h: 2.297 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1894 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.842 · trend: -15.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5314 | ADX: 18.8 (weak) · Chop: 53.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6893 | ATR%: 3.932% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.179% | 1.1R | -0.503% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.207% | 1.2R | -0.503% | 0.5R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.495% | 1.4R | -0.575% | 0.6R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.926% | 1.9R | -1.100% | 1.1R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.738% | 2.6R | -1.545% | 1.5R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.630% | 8.3R | -1.545% | 1.5R | 5.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.630% | 8.3R | -1.545% | 1.5R | 5.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.630% | 8.3R | -1.545% | 1.5R | 5.6× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.40 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +3.48% | -0.79 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 28% | mid | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.47 | bull_medium_confirmed | +3.06% | -0.42 | 02/10 00:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.75 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.45% | +0.25 | 02/10 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197707
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.676 | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 5b -0.4ATR | — | — | 0.84 | 88% | ↔ +0.13 | value | -2.43 | inside | #105833 | 0.56 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.40 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
|
|
4h
#199284
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.507 | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 9b -1.6ATR | — | — | 0.42 | 25% | ↓ -0.31 | value | -2.96 | — | #106535 | 0.53 | bull_high | +3.48% | -0.79 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:19
|
|
1h
anchor #199642
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.627 | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 28% | mid 9b 1.3ATR | — | near 0.5ATR | 1.69 | 86% | ↓ -0.29 | above_value | -0.10 | — | #106768 | 0.47 | bull_medium_confirmed | +3.06% | -0.42 |
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 01:11
|
|
15m
#199566
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.438 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 4b 3.2ATR | — | near 0.2ATR | 2.29 | 87% | ↑ +0.54 | value | -2.96 | — | #106535 | 0.75 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.45% | +0.25 |
02/10 00:45
upd 02/10 01:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.702×ATR | p0 | -0.351×ATR | p16 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 2.98×ATR | p43 | -1.6×ATR | p68 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 3.46×ATR | p69 | +1.282×ATR | p64 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 4.811×ATR | p91 | +3.219×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
85237.4
0.0157042
86576
0.782802
84618.7
0.0231305
86576
0.802218
83980.9
0.030389
86533
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1305.5
189
0.4174
0.5311
0.3357
0.2072
0.4408
1
0.2279
0.4736
0.2555
0.6301
0.599
0.2412
-0.0028
-0.0511
0.6667
1.1573
0.1101
0.3
0.7
-1
10
1
0.5856
0.4136
3.8121
0.55
2.559
4.4184
0.1101
0.3062
0.3832
0.56
0.1412
0.4623
0.5929
0.7558
0.2412
-10.9266
3.4739
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:14 | 1391.60000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:25 | 1394.90000000 | +0.237% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 22:50:00 | 1326.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 23:15:00 | 1345 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 23:45:00 | 1332.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 00:55:00 | 1345.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 01:40:00 | 1316.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 02:05:00 | 1344.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 02:25:00 | 1327.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 03:00:00 | 1347.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 03:50:00 | 1327.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 04:55:00 | 1400 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 14:45:00 | 1363.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 16:30:00 | 1330.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 19:30:00 | 1305.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 21:00:00 | 1338.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 21:30:00 | 1314.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 23:15:00 | 1345 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 00:45:00 | 1345.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 01:30:00 | 1316.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 03:45:00 | 1327.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 04:45:00 | 1400 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 12:00:00 | 1601.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 04:00:00 | 1357.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 12:00:00 | 1461.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:00:00 | 1373.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 1390.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:00:00 | 1494.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 22:00:00 | 1395.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 06:00:00 | 1449.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 19:00:00 | 1305.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 04:00:00 | 1400 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1391.6 | 1406.1069 | 1362.5861 | 2 | 1349.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1406.1069 - 1391.6 = 14.5069
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1391.6 - 1362.5861 = 29.0139
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 29.0139 / 14.5069 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 767.4118 | 100 | 0.5515 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 14.5069 = 0.55
Taille de position USD = 0.55 x 1391.6 = 765.38
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.55 avec un stoploss a 1406.1069
Avec un position size USD de 765.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.55 x 14.5069 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.55 x 29.0139 = 15.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.08 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.04 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0995 % | 105.47 % | 21 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1391.6 | 1406.1069 | 1362.5861 | 2 | 1349.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1406.1069 - 1391.6 = 14.5069
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1391.6 - 1362.5861 = 29.0139
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 29.0139 / 14.5069 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.179% | 1.1R | -0.503% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.207% | 1.2R | -0.503% | 0.5R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.495% | 1.4R | -0.575% | 0.6R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.926% | 1.9R | -1.100% | 1.1R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.738% | 2.6R | -1.545% | 1.5R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.630% | 8.3R | -1.545% | 1.5R | 5.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.630% | 8.3R | -1.545% | 1.5R | 5.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.630% | 8.3R | -1.545% | 1.5R | 5.6× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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