02 Oct 2026 at 01:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on kPEPE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 42605.32 kPEPE at 0.00464$ per unit. Take profit: 0.004756 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.004452 (4.05 %)

kPEPE LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 01:15 → 07:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.00464$

Qty 42605.315 kPEPE

Size 197.6887$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.004756 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.94$

SL 0.004452 (-4.05%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.62

Status loss PnL -2.52% / -4.98$ MAE -3.15% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 02 Oct 07:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171376)
#3 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8062

Quality Score
0.807
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.05 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.05 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.80×ATR
4h near -0.88×ATR
1d clear 1.63×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.94
OK
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
12.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 01:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 00:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4621
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.55

mature

+1

Micro bull

0.90

mature

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 78.3%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 51.7%
1h 96.7%
4h 95.0%
24h 56.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 51.7% +0.01%
4h 46.7% +1.94%
24h 16.7% +0.30%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.183
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 01:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5470
Score SMA
0.5241
Rank
#39 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5000
Rank Norm SMA
0.2018
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7638 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.69% · r3d: 5.34% · ema21_slope: 1.1392% · dist_ema21: 7.658%
Force Relative 25% 0.6327 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.22% · rs_3d: 3.69% · beta_24h: 2.048
Volume 20% 0.2069 rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.517 · trend: -18.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7884 ADX: 34.6 (trend) · Chop: 37.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.617% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.8072
Score SMA
0.5087
Rank
#3 / 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8062
Rank Norm SMA
0.4290
Calculé le
02/10/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7845 r1h: 4.691% · r4h: 6.113% · r1d: 7.35% · r3d: 12.51% · ema21_slope: 0.1600% · dist_ema21: 5.699%
Force Relative 25% 0.8300 rs_1h: 3.350% · rs_4h: 3.897% · rs_1d: 4.34% · rs_3d: 8.35% · beta_24h: 2.478
Volume 20% 0.8641 rvol_20: 2.97× · zscore_50: 2.018 · trend: 50.39%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6102 ADX: 13.2 (weak) · Chop: 29.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.641% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5442
Score SMA
0.4855
Rank
#16 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7842
Rank Norm SMA
0.3037
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6347 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.902% · r1d: 2.38% · r3d: 7.47% · ema21_slope: 0.1358% · dist_ema21: 2.822%
Force Relative 25% 0.5454 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.142% · rs_1d: 0.29% · rs_3d: 4.52% · beta_24h: 1.470
Volume 20% 0.2629 rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.262 · trend: -41.53%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4323 ADX: 21.8 (weak) · Chop: 69.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.777% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.052% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.789% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.263% 0.6R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.147% 0.8R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.147% 0.8R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -5.474% 1.4R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -6.272% 1.6R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -12.263% 3.0R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -12.263% 3.0R 0.0× 576
72h +0.000% 0.0R -12.263% 3.0R 0.0× 864

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong grind expansion bull_high
70%
noisy_chop 39% early — — 0.69 bull_high +13.92% +0.96 30/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong grind compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 35% mid — near -0.9ATR 0.60 bull_high +3.48% +0.46 01/10 20:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition weak fading expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.49 bull_medium_confirmed +3.06% +0.39 02/10 00:00
15m ↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
51%
choppy 54% late — — 0.71 bull_low_confirmed +2.45% +0.40 02/10 00:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197522
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong grind 0.629 expansion bull_high
70%
noisy_chop 39% early 9b 0.7ATR — — 0.35 51% ↔ +0.07 above_value +2.71 — #105775 0.69 bull_high +13.92% +0.96
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:18
4h
#199136
↔ neutral range range strong grind 0.604 compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 35% mid 8b 1.1ATR — near -0.9ATR 0.93 55% ↓ -0.32 above_value +3.47 — #106476 0.60 bull_high +3.48% +0.46
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:13
1h anchor
#199585
↑ up transition bullish_transition weak fading 0.335 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 41% late 3b 3.2ATR — — 2.97 93% ↔ +0.14 above_value +4.14 — #106711 0.49 bull_medium_confirmed +3.06% +0.39
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 01:09
15m
#199516
↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.338 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
51%
choppy 54% late 9b 5.0ATR — — 3.50 96% ↑ +0.59 above_value +3.47 — #106476 0.71 bull_low_confirmed +2.45% +0.40
02/10 00:45
upd 02/10 01:00
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 9b — 2.764×ATR p0 +0.746×ATR p46
4h ↑ up mid 8b — 1.939×ATR p0 +1.054×ATR p63
1h ↑ up late 3b — 4.004×ATR p89 +3.234×ATR p98
15m ↑ up late 9b — 7.167×ATR p100 +4.997×ATR p100

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00445223
  2. tp_price: 0.004756
  3. atr: 7.511E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T11:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 7
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.7845
  4. delta_2h: 0.1824
  5. extension_atr: 2.44
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8079
  9. confidence: 0.973

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.00464 0.004452 0.004756 0.62 0.00496
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.00464
  • Stop Loss: 0.004452
  • Take Profit: 0.004756

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.004452 - 0.00464 = -0.000188

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.00464 - 0.004756 = -0.000116

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000116 / -0.000188 = 0.617

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
197.6887 100 42605.315 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000188

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000188 = -42553.19

Taille de position USD = -42553.19 x 0.00464 = -197.45

Donc, tu peux acheter -42553.19 avec un stoploss a 0.004452

Avec un position size USD de -197.45$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -42553.19 x -0.000188 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -42553.19 x -0.000116 = 4.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -42553.19
  • Taille de position USD -197.45
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.617

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.94 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.05 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-4.98 $ -2.52
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.1466 % 77.66 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.00464 0.004452 0.004756 0.62 0.00496
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.00464
  • Stop Loss: 0.004452
  • Take Profit: 0.004756

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.004452 - 0.00464 = -0.000188

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.00464 - 0.004756 = -0.000116

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000116 / -0.000188 = 0.617

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.052% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.789% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.263% 0.6R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.147% 0.8R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.147% 0.8R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -5.474% 1.4R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -6.272% 1.6R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -12.263% 3.0R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -12.263% 3.0R 0.0× 576
72h +0.000% 0.0R -12.263% 3.0R 0.0× 864

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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