Long Trade on OP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2335.71 OP at 0.133$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1419 (6.45 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1299 (2.55 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 01:16:42
hyperliquid
OP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 01:16
→ 13:00
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1333$
Qty 2335.7119 OP
Size 311.327$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1419 (+6.45%)
TP $ 20.09$
SL 0.1299 (-2.55%)
SL $ 7.94$
RR 2.53
Status
loss
PnL
-0.43%
/ -1.33$
MAE -1.55%
MFE +1.32%
0.5R
expires
02 Oct 13:16
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: )
#52 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Avg Rank 8h:
Quality Score
N/A
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#52 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#52 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 3.73×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
973,830 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 01:15
02/10 01:15
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/09 20:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4622
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
mature
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
mature
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
79.5%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 18.3% |
| 1h | 21.7% |
| 4h | 91.7% |
| 24h | 50.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 18.3% | -0.42% |
| 4h | 56.7% | +2.16% |
| 24h | 23.3% | -0.01% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.173
Universe :
60
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 01:16
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5453
Score SMA
0.6139
Rank
#48
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3733
Rank Norm SMA
0.4971
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7379 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.70% · r3d: -13.09% · ema21_slope: 1.8286% · dist_ema21: 5.242% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5736 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.71% · rs_3d: -12.11% · beta_24h: 1.943 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2908 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.132 · trend: 2.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8160 | ADX: 37.9 (trend) · Chop: 35.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.744% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.551%
(0.0034)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.545% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.545% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.125% | 0.4R | -1.545% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.125% | 0.4R | -1.545% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.320% | 0.5R | -1.545% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.320% | 0.5R | -7.427% | 2.9R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.269% | 1.7R | -7.427% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.269% | 1.7R | -7.427% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.269% | 1.7R | -7.427% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2013 min
MAE in 1018 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.5
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.60 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.98 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 1h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 15m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187516
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.601 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 14b 0.5ATR | — | — | 0.69 | 74% | ↑ +0.42 | above_value | -0.44 | — | #101561 | 0.60 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.98 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:17
|
| 4h | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1h anchor | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 3.446×ATR | p35 | +0.467×ATR | p24 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8117
- reason: up_bo width=2.11×ATR dur=39b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.12986492
- tp_price: 0.14185269
- atr:
- score: 0.81174769879769
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T17:16:34.137210
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81174769879769
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1328
- obi_top10 : 0.1052
- micro_price : 0.13252852
- spread_pct : 0.075472
- mid_price : 0.13255
- bid_wall_price : 0.132
- bid_wall_size : 4493493.86
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.134
- ask_wall_size : 2940954.12
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1491
- obi_top5_std : 0.0157
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7116
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.13212
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.128
- balance_zone_mid:
0.13006
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790780400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790917200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.112
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
39
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8117
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790913600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.13212
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7949
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.5998
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00195075 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
39
inside_close_ratio
0.7949
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5998
Signaux confirmants (16)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:16 | 0.13329000 | -0.008% |
| 2 | 01:28 | 0.13329000 | -0.008% |
| 3 | 01:40 | 0.13237000 | -0.698% |
| 4 | 01:52 | 0.13237000 | -0.698% |
| 5 | 04:09 | 0.13420000 | +0.675% |
| 6 | 04:21 | 0.13420000 | +0.675% |
| 7 | 04:32 | 0.13420000 | +0.675% |
| 8 | 04:43 | 0.13383000 | +0.398% |
| 9 | 04:54 | 0.13383000 | +0.398% |
| 10 | 05:06 | 0.13269000 | -0.458% |
| 11 | 05:17 | 0.13269000 | -0.458% |
| 12 | 05:28 | 0.13269000 | -0.458% |
| 13 | 05:40 | 0.13311000 | -0.143% |
| 14 | 05:51 | 0.13311000 | -0.143% |
| 15 | 06:03 | 0.13311000 | -0.143% |
| 16 | 06:17 | 0.13275000 | -0.413% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7116ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.133
avg 0.149
± 0.016
OBI Top 10
0.105
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1326
Micro Price
0.1325
Spread
0.0755%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1320
Size
4,493,493.86
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1340
Size
2,940,954.12
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1333 | 0.1299 | 0.1419 | 2.53 | 0.1031 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1333
- Stop Loss: 0.1299
- Take Profit: 0.1419
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1299 - 0.1333 = -0.0034
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1333 - 0.1419 = -0.0086
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0086 / -0.0034 = 2.5294
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 311.327 | 100 | 2335.7119 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0034
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0034 = -2352.94
Taille de position USD = -2352.94 x 0.1333 = -313.65
Donc, tu peux acheter -2352.94 avec un stoploss a 0.1299
Avec un position size USD de -313.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2352.94 x -0.0034 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2352.94 x -0.0086 = 20.24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.24$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2352.94
- Taille de position USD -313.65
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.24
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5294
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.45 % | 20.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.55 % | 7.94 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.33 $ | -0.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5454 % | 60.59 % | 23 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1333 | 0.1299 | 0.1419 | 2.53 | 0.1031 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1333
- Stop Loss: 0.1299
- Take Profit: 0.1419
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1299 - 0.1333 = -0.0034
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1333 - 0.1419 = -0.0086
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0086 / -0.0034 = 2.5294
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.551%
(0.0034)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.545% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.545% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.125% | 0.4R | -1.545% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.125% | 0.4R | -1.545% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.320% | 0.5R | -1.545% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.320% | 0.5R | -7.427% | 2.9R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.269% | 1.7R | -7.427% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.269% | 1.7R | -7.427% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.269% | 1.7R | -7.427% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2013 min
MAE in 1018 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.