02 Oct 2026 at 01:17:13 hyperliquid

Long Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 3889.01 DOGE at 0.0964$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1016 (5.34 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0944 (2.13 %)

DOGE LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 01:17 → 13:10 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.09645$

Qty 3889.0077 DOGE

Size 375.1104$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1016 (+5.34%)

TP $ 20.03$

SL 0.0944 (-2.13%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 2.51

Status loss PnL -1.57% / -5.88$ MAE -2.01% MFE +1.59% 0.8R expires 02 Oct 13:17 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171373)
#15 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5086

Quality Score
0.682
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#15 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#15 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.78×ATR
4h near 0.23×ATR
1d clear 2.78×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
15.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 01:15
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 00:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4622
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.55

mature

+1

Micro bull

0.90

mature

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 79.5%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 18.3%
1h 21.7%
4h 91.7%
24h 50.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 18.3% -0.42%
4h 56.7% +2.16%
24h 23.3% -0.01%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.173
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 01:16 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4849
Score SMA
0.5316
Rank
#58 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2500
Rank Norm SMA
0.2228
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6700 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.18% · r3d: 0.46% · ema21_slope: 0.6863% · dist_ema21: 2.772%
Force Relative 25% 0.4818 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.65% · rs_3d: -1.19% · beta_24h: 1.696
Volume 20% 0.2344 rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.408 · trend: -14.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7243 ADX: 31.6 (trend) · Chop: 43.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0794 ATR%: 5.762% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.6824
Score SMA
0.5156
Rank
#15 / 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5086
Rank Norm SMA
0.4404
Calculé le
02/10/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6345 r1h: 2.087% · r4h: 2.922% · r1d: 1.07% · r3d: 3.96% · ema21_slope: 0.0050% · dist_ema21: 2.234%
Force Relative 25% 0.5199 rs_1h: 0.747% · rs_4h: 0.706% · rs_1d: -1.94% · rs_3d: -0.20% · beta_24h: 1.559
Volume 20% 0.8326 rvol_20: 3.23× · zscore_50: 1.511 · trend: 48.87%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6369 ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 45.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.972% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4802
Score SMA
0.5205
Rank
#40 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4770
Rank Norm SMA
0.3993
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5280 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.471% · r1d: -0.99% · r3d: 1.86% · ema21_slope: -0.0004% · dist_ema21: 0.102%
Force Relative 25% 0.4345 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.288% · rs_1d: -3.08% · rs_3d: -1.09% · beta_24h: 1.597
Volume 20% 0.2535 rvol_20: 0.91× · zscore_50: -0.386 · trend: -39.94%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4167 ADX: 16.5 (weak) · Chop: 65.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.080% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.126% (0.0021)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -0.938% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -0.938% 0.4R 0.0× 24
4h +1.585% 0.8R -1.018% 0.5R 1.6× 48
8h +1.585% 0.8R -1.018% 0.5R 1.6× 96
12h ★ +1.585% 0.8R -2.008% 0.9R 0.8× 144
24h +1.585% 0.8R -6.404% 3.0R 0.3× 288
36h +1.585% 0.8R -6.404% 3.0R 0.3× 432
48h +1.585% 0.8R -6.404% 3.0R 0.3× 576
72h +1.585% 0.8R -6.404% 3.0R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 182 min MAE in 807 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.92
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.80 bull_high +13.92% +0.19 30/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 29% early near 0.0ATR near 0.2ATR 0.72 bull_high +3.48% -0.09 01/10 20:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 40% late — — 0.71 bull_medium_confirmed +3.06% -0.12 02/10 00:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_medium_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.86 bull_low_confirmed +2.30% +0.02 02/10 01:00
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197507
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.566 normal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 36% early 15b 0.4ATR — — 0.59 61% ↑ +0.47 above_value -0.05 — #105772 0.80 bull_high +13.92% +0.19
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:17
4h
#199130
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.505 compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 29% early 9b 0.1ATR near 0.0ATR near 0.2ATR 0.91 57% ↓ -0.16 above_value +0.65 — #106473 0.72 bull_high +3.48% -0.09
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:12
1h anchor
#199582
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.651 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 40% late 3b 2.3ATR — — 3.23 91% ↔ -0.04 value +2.67 — #106708 0.71 bull_medium_confirmed +3.06% -0.12
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 01:09
15m
#199660
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.450 volatile_reversal bull_medium_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 46% late 10b 2.4ATR — — 0.63 76% ↑ +0.26 value +2.67 — #106708 0.86 bull_low_confirmed +2.30% +0.02
02/10 01:00
upd 02/10 01:15
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 15b — 2.962×ATR p26 +0.391×ATR p20
4h ↓ down early 9b — 1.694×ATR p0 +0.053×ATR p4
1h ↑ up late 3b — 3.918×ATR p82 +2.305×ATR p92
15m ↑ up late 10b — 5.354×ATR p97 +2.408×ATR p91

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8458
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.20×ATR dur=48b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.09439692
  5. tp_price: 0.10159671
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.84582012869649
  8. expires_at: 2026-10-02T17:17:05.756142
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.84582012869649
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.0807
  14. obi_top10 : -0.033
  15. micro_price : 0.09626272
  16. spread_pct : 0.010389
  17. mid_price : 0.096265
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.0964
  22. ask_wall_size : 28355409
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0172
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0358
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6923
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.095477
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.093497
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.094487
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1790748000
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1790917200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.198
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    48
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8458
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1790913600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.095477
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.7917
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.0846
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    9
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    6
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00090083
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
48
inside_close_ratio
0.7917
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0846

Signaux confirmants (21)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 01:17 0.09645400 +0.004%
2 01:28 0.09645400 +0.004%
3 01:41 0.09630700 -0.148%
4 01:53 0.09630700 -0.148%
5 02:07 0.09614000 -0.321%
6 02:20 0.09614000 -0.321%
7 02:32 0.09614000 -0.321%
8 02:44 0.09624600 -0.212%
9 02:55 0.09624600 -0.212%
10 03:08 0.09587200 -0.599%
11 03:20 0.09587200 -0.599%
12 03:32 0.09587200 -0.599%
13 04:10 0.09647200 +0.023%
14 04:22 0.09647200 +0.023%
15 04:33 0.09647200 +0.023%
16 05:06 0.09705500 +0.627%
17 05:18 0.09705500 +0.627%
18 05:29 0.09705500 +0.627%
19 05:40 0.09699500 +0.565%
20 05:51 0.09699500 +0.565%
21 06:04 0.09699500 +0.565%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6923ms Confidence avant OB : 85% → 85%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.081
avg -0.017 ± 0.036
OBI Top 10 -0.033

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0963
Micro Price
0.0963
Spread
0.0104%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.0964
Size
28,355,409.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09645 0.0944 0.1016 2.51 0.07182
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09645
  • Stop Loss: 0.0944
  • Take Profit: 0.1016

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0944 - 0.09645 = -0.00205

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09645 - 0.1016 = -0.00515

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00515 / -0.00205 = 2.5122

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
375.1104 100 3889.0077 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00205

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00205 = -3902.44

Taille de position USD = -3902.44 x 0.09645 = -376.39

Donc, tu peux acheter -3902.44 avec un stoploss a 0.0944

Avec un position size USD de -376.39$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3902.44 x -0.00205 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3902.44 x -0.00515 = 20.1

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.1$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -3902.44
  • Taille de position USD -376.39
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.1
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5122

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.34 % 20.03 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.13 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
-5.88 $ -1.57
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.7418 % 81.95 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09645 0.0944 0.1016 2.51 0.07182
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09645
  • Stop Loss: 0.0944
  • Take Profit: 0.1016

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0944 - 0.09645 = -0.00205

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09645 - 0.1016 = -0.00515

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00515 / -0.00205 = 2.5122

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.126% (0.0021)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -0.938% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -0.938% 0.4R 0.0× 24
4h +1.585% 0.8R -1.018% 0.5R 1.6× 48
8h +1.585% 0.8R -1.018% 0.5R 1.6× 96
12h ★ +1.585% 0.8R -2.008% 0.9R 0.8× 144
24h +1.585% 0.8R -6.404% 3.0R 0.3× 288
36h +1.585% 0.8R -6.404% 3.0R 0.3× 432
48h +1.585% 0.8R -6.404% 3.0R 0.3× 576
72h +1.585% 0.8R -6.404% 3.0R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 182 min MAE in 807 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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