02 Oct 2026 at 02:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CC (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1893.5 CC at 0.12$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1245 (3.58 %)

CC SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 02:15 → 05:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.1202$

Qty 1893.5046 CC

Size 227.6939$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 227.6$

SL 0.1245 (-3.58%)

SL $ 8.14$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.64% / -1.46$ MAE -0.89% MFE +1.12% 0.3R expires 02 Oct 05:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171511)
#74 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2973

Quality Score
0.381
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#74 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.58 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#74 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.58 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 3.10×ATR
4h clear 3.29×ATR
1d clear 1.69×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
1.92
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 02:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/10 01:00

Score : -1 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4625
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical bull

0.55

expansion

-1

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 77.6%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 39.3%
1h 16.4%
4h 86.9%
24h 49.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 49.2% -0.03%
4h 59.0% +1.92%
24h 19.7% -0.27%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.234
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 02:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4666
Score SMA
0.6306
Rank
#60 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2237
Rank Norm SMA
0.5448
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6166 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.01% · r3d: -8.63% · ema21_slope: 1.0937% · dist_ema21: 1.826%
Force Relative 25% 0.3463 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.48% · rs_3d: -10.28% · beta_24h: 1.499
Volume 20% 0.4375 rvol_20: 1.01× · zscore_50: 0.330 · trend: 50.18%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7172 ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 38.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.390% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.3812
Score SMA
0.5678
Rank
#74 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2973
Rank Norm SMA
0.5347
Calculé le
02/10/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3428 r1h: -1.434% · r4h: -0.257% · r1d: -4.12% · r3d: -8.93% · ema21_slope: -0.1219% · dist_ema21: -0.887%
Force Relative 25% 0.2627 rs_1h: -0.678% · rs_4h: -1.548% · rs_1d: -6.13% · rs_3d: -12.02% · beta_24h: 0.980
Volume 20% 0.3864 rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: 0.161 · trend: 16.68%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3996 ADX: 20.6 (weak) · Chop: 71.8 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.262% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4442
Score SMA
0.6007
Rank
#59 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1826
Rank Norm SMA
0.5859
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4260 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.842% · r1d: -5.07% · r3d: -9.06% · ema21_slope: -0.2914% · dist_ema21: -3.169%
Force Relative 25% 0.3227 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.083% · rs_1d: -7.16% · rs_3d: -12.01% · beta_24h: 0.348
Volume 20% 0.4844 rvol_20: 1.76× · zscore_50: 0.255 · trend: -0.28%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3677 ADX: 17.4 (weak) · Chop: 72.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.8368 ATR%: 3.490% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.577% (0.0043)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.123% 0.3R -0.191% 0.1R 5.9× 12
2h +1.123% 0.3R -0.349% 0.1R 3.2× 24
3h ★ +1.123% 0.3R -0.890% 0.3R 1.3× 36
4h +1.123% 0.3R -2.537% 0.7R 0.4× 48
8h +1.123% 0.3R -5.566% 1.6R 0.2× 96
12h +1.123% 0.3R -5.566% 1.6R 0.2× 144
24h +3.777% 1.1R -5.566% 1.6R 0.7× 288
48h +3.777% 1.1R -5.566% 1.6R 0.7× 576
72h +3.777% 1.1R -8.220% 2.3R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 739 min MAE in 424 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.77
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion range_high
47%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.28 bull_high +13.92% +0.80 30/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong grind compression bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.37 bull_high +3.48% -0.65 01/10 20:00
1h ↔ neutral range bullish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
49%
noisy_chop 33% early — near 0.4ATR 0.36 bull_medium_confirmed +2.23% -0.47 02/10 01:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_medium
49%
noisy_chop 37% early near -0.2ATR — 0.50 bull_low +1.52% -0.16 02/10 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197716
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.710 expansion range_high
47%
noisy_chop 41% early 3b 0.2ATR — — 1.01 91% ↑ +0.73 below_value -12.50 — #105837 0.28 bull_high +13.92% +0.80
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:27
4h
#199296
↔ neutral range range strong grind 0.592 compression bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 43% late 24b -1.2ATR — — 1.76 91% ↑ +0.29 below_value -13.45 — #106539 0.37 bull_high +3.48% -0.65
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:19
1h anchor
#200027
↔ neutral range bullish_transition moderate grind 0.542 compression bear_high
49%
noisy_chop 33% early 1b -0.8ATR — near 0.4ATR 1.04 63% ↑ +0.37 below_value -11.38 — #106926 0.36 bull_medium_confirmed +2.23% -0.47
02/10 01:00
upd 02/10 02:12
15m
#199949
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.640 volatile_reversal bear_medium
49%
noisy_chop 37% early 4b -0.5ATR near -0.2ATR — 0.66 58% ↓ -0.17 below_value -10.40 — #106772 0.50 bull_low +1.52% -0.16
02/10 01:45
upd 02/10 02:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 3b — 2.67×ATR p0 +0.194×ATR p15
4h ↓ down late 24b — 5.776×ATR p80 -1.158×ATR p52
1h ↓ down early 1b — 1.324×ATR p2 -0.836×ATR p39
15m ↓ down early 4b — 2.658×ATR p45 -0.502×ATR p31

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.12447497
  2. atr: 0.00140832
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-02T09:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 77
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.3414
  4. confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1202 0.1245 0.09481
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1202
  • Stop Loss: 0.1245
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1245 - 0.1202 = 0.0043

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1202 - = 0.1202

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1202 / 0.0043 = 27.9535

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
227.6939 100 1893.5046 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0043

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0043 = 1860.47

Taille de position USD = 1860.47 x 0.1202 = 223.63

Donc, tu peux acheter 1860.47 avec un stoploss a 0.1245

Avec un position size USD de 223.63$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1860.47 x 0.0043 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1860.47 x 0.1202 = 223.63

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 223.63$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1860.47
  • Taille de position USD 223.63
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 223.63
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 27.9535

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 227.6 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.58 % 8.14 $
PNL PNL %
-1.46 $ -0.64
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8902 % 24.88 % 11
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1202 0.1245 0.09481
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1202
  • Stop Loss: 0.1245
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1245 - 0.1202 = 0.0043

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1202 - = 0.1202

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1202 / 0.0043 = 27.9535

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.577% (0.0043)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.123% 0.3R -0.191% 0.1R 5.9× 12
2h +1.123% 0.3R -0.349% 0.1R 3.2× 24
3h ★ +1.123% 0.3R -0.890% 0.3R 1.3× 36
4h +1.123% 0.3R -2.537% 0.7R 0.4× 48
8h +1.123% 0.3R -5.566% 1.6R 0.2× 96
12h +1.123% 0.3R -5.566% 1.6R 0.2× 144
24h +3.777% 1.1R -5.566% 1.6R 0.7× 288
48h +3.777% 1.1R -5.566% 1.6R 0.7× 576
72h +3.777% 1.1R -8.220% 2.3R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 739 min MAE in 424 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.