Short Trade on LIT

Previous Trade Next Trade

02 Oct 2026 at 02:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 38.09 LIT at 3.84$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 4.0504 (5.47 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 02:15 → 05:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 3.8404$

Qty 38.0919 LIT

Size 146.2881$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 146.29$

SL 4.0504 (-5.47%)

SL $ 8$

Status loss PnL -0.59% / -0.86$ MAE -1.57% MFE +0.17% 0.0R expires 02 Oct 05:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171514)

#76 / 76

seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0017

Quality Score

0.332

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#76 / 76

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-4

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-4

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.47 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#76 / 76

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-4

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.47 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.58×ATR
4h	near	0.26×ATR
1d	clear	3.22×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↑ up	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-4

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

alts

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-4

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

1.92

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

28.0M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 02:03

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/10 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/10 01:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4625

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	expansion -1
Tactical	bull 0.55	expansion -1
Micro	bull 0.90	expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -4

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 77.6%

Macro broad_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	39.3%
1h	16.4%
4h	86.9%
24h	49.2%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	49.2%	-0.03%
4h	59.0%	+1.92%
24h	19.7%	-0.27%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.234

Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 02/10 02:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3261

Score SMA

0.4613

Rank

#75 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0263

Rank Norm SMA

0.0850

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3555	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.67% · r3d: -14.30% · ema21_slope: 0.1503% · dist_ema21: -13.809%
Force Relative	25%	0.1798	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.14% · rs_3d: -15.96% · beta_24h: 0.465
Volume	20%	0.2937	rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.599 · trend: 39.56%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7715	ADX: 39.3 (trend) · Chop: 45.1 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 12.306% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 02:00

Score brut

0.3319

Score SMA

0.4370

Rank

#76 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0017

Rank Norm SMA

0.1621

Calculé le

02/10/2026 02:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3023	r1h: -0.584% · r4h: 0.761% · r1d: -5.69% · r3d: -11.80% · ema21_slope: -0.1829% · dist_ema21: -0.892%
Force Relative	25%	0.2758	rs_1h: 0.172% · rs_4h: -0.531% · rs_1d: -7.70% · rs_3d: -14.89% · beta_24h: 1.585
Volume	20%	0.1546	rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.817 · trend: -59.04%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4742	ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 58.9 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.994% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.2406

Score SMA

0.3660

Rank

#78 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0000

Rank Norm SMA

0.0469

Calculé le

02/10/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1439	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.648% · r1d: -6.43% · r3d: -13.09% · ema21_slope: -0.6925% · dist_ema21: -7.040%
Force Relative	25%	0.1141	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.408% · rs_1d: -8.52% · rs_3d: -16.04% · beta_24h: 2.168
Volume	20%	0.1536	rvol_20: 0.13× · zscore_50: -0.696 · trend: -51.41%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7847	ADX: 39.5 (trend) · Chop: 43.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.2046	ATR%: 5.386% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.468% (0.2100)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.026%	0.0R	-1.560%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.172%	0.0R	-1.560%	0.3R	0.1×	24
3h ★	+0.172%	0.0R	-1.570%	0.3R	0.1×	36
4h	+0.172%	0.0R	-1.570%	0.3R	0.1×	48
8h	+3.862%	0.7R	-1.570%	0.3R	2.5×	96
12h	+5.822%	1.1R	-1.570%	0.3R	3.7×	144
24h	+10.507%	1.9R	-1.570%	0.3R	6.7×	288
48h	+10.965%	2.0R	-1.570%	0.3R	7.0×	576
72h	+10.965%	2.0R	-1.570%	0.3R	7.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 1434 min MAE in 139 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 1.08

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	expansion	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 36%	mid	—	—	—	bull_high	+13.92%	-0.98	30/09 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	near 0.3ATR	—	0.34	bull_high	+3.48%	-0.96	01/10 20:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	near 0.2ATR	0.35	bull_medium_confirmed	+2.23%	-0.58	02/10 01:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bear_high	45%	noisy_chop 37%	early	—	—	0.35	bull_low	+1.52%	-0.09	02/10 01:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197722	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.460	expansion	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 7b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.59	68%	↑ +0.26	above_value	-1.67	—	#105840	—	bull_high	+13.92%	-0.98	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:27
4h #199305	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.415	normal	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 13b -1.1ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.13	5%	↓ -0.31	above_value	-2.60	—	#106542	0.34	bull_high	+3.48%	-0.96	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 00:19
1h anchor #200030	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.523	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 38%	early 2b -0.5ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	0.56	26%	↓ -0.18	above_value	-2.08	—	#106929	0.35	bull_medium_confirmed	+2.23%	-0.58	02/10 01:00 upd 02/10 02:12
15m #199952	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.570	volatile_reversal	bear_high	45%	noisy_chop 37%	early 1b 0.4ATR	—	—	0.80	24%	↑ +0.69	above_value	-1.36	—	#106775	0.35	bull_low	+1.52%	-0.09	02/10 01:45 upd 02/10 02:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	7b	—	3.789×ATR	p50	-1.295×ATR	p69
4h	↑ up	mid	13b	—	0.821×ATR	p0	-1.089×ATR	p64
1h	↑ up	early	2b	—	1.161×ATR	p2	-0.496×ATR	p31
15m	↑ up	early	1b	—	1.562×ATR	p3	+0.401×ATR	p19

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 4.05041851
atr: 0.07000617
expires_at: 2026-10-02T09:15:06+00:00

Details

rank: 78
total: 79
score: 0.2599
confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
3.8404	4.0504			3.1602

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 3.8404
Stop Loss: 4.0504
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 4.0504 - 3.8404 = 0.21
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 3.8404 - = 3.8404
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.8404 / 0.21 = 18.2876

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
146.2881	100	38.0919	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.21

Taille de position = 8 / 0.21 = 38.1

Taille de position USD = 38.1 x 3.8404 = 146.32

Donc, tu peux acheter 38.1 avec un stoploss a 4.0504

Avec un position size USD de 146.32$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 38.1 x 0.21 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 38.1 x 3.8404 = 146.32

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 146.32$

Résumé

Taille de position 38.1
Taille de position USD 146.32
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 146.32
Risk-Reward Ratio 18.2876

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	146.29 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.47 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-0.86 $	-0.59

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.5701 %	28.71 %	7

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
3.8404	4.0504			3.1602

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 3.8404
Stop Loss: 4.0504
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 4.0504 - 3.8404 = 0.21
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 3.8404 - = 3.8404
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.8404 / 0.21 = 18.2876

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.468% (0.2100)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.026%	0.0R	-1.560%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.172%	0.0R	-1.560%	0.3R	0.1×	24
3h ★	+0.172%	0.0R	-1.570%	0.3R	0.1×	36
4h	+0.172%	0.0R	-1.570%	0.3R	0.1×	48
8h	+3.862%	0.7R	-1.570%	0.3R	2.5×	96
12h	+5.822%	1.1R	-1.570%	0.3R	3.7×	144
24h	+10.507%	1.9R	-1.570%	0.3R	6.7×	288
48h	+10.965%	2.0R	-1.570%	0.3R	7.0×	576
72h	+10.965%	2.0R	-1.570%	0.3R	7.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 1434 min MAE in 139 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.