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Long Trade on MEGA

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02 Oct 2026 at 02:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1254.76 MEGA at 0.0535$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04717 (11.91 %)

MEGA LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 02:15 → 05:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.05355$

Qty 1254.7622 MEGA

Size 67.1925$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 67.19$

SL 0.04717 (-11.91%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status loss PnL -9.71% / -6.52$ MAE -11.51% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 02 Oct 05:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171510)
#4 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9583

Quality Score
0.697
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.51×ATR
4h near 0.00×ATR
1d clear 2.02×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down late OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.92
OK
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
6.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 02:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

02/10 01:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4625
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 77.6%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 39.3%
1h 16.4%
4h 86.9%
24h 49.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 49.2% -0.03%
4h 59.0% +1.92%
24h 19.7% -0.27%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.234
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 02:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8158
Score SMA
0.5564
Rank
#3 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9737
Rank Norm SMA
0.4089
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9141 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 19.93% · r3d: 18.81% · ema21_slope: 0.8967% · dist_ema21: 18.111%
Force Relative 25% 0.9215 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 18.45% · rs_3d: 17.16% · beta_24h: 1.786
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.81× · zscore_50: 4.120 · trend: 111.30%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7411 ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 29.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.911% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.6969
Score SMA
0.6373
Rank
#4 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9583
Rank Norm SMA
0.7231
Calculé le
02/10/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8556 r1h: 0.051% · r4h: -1.340% · r1d: 18.23% · r3d: 27.62% · ema21_slope: 0.7036% · dist_ema21: 4.492%
Force Relative 25% 0.7288 rs_1h: 0.807% · rs_4h: -2.631% · rs_1d: 16.22% · rs_3d: 24.53% · beta_24h: 0.156
Volume 20% 0.2786 rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.156 · trend: 16.77%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8531 ADX: 58.0 (trend) · Chop: 54.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.6468 ATR%: 4.060% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.8722
Score SMA
0.6993
Rank
#2 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9935
Rank Norm SMA
0.7973
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9312 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.602% · r1d: 17.75% · r3d: 27.71% · ema21_slope: 0.5958% · dist_ema21: 14.416%
Force Relative 25% 0.9324 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.843% · rs_1d: 15.66% · rs_3d: 24.76% · beta_24h: 2.594
Volume 20% 0.9929 rvol_20: 3.69× · zscore_50: 2.893 · trend: 252.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7934 ADX: 35.2 (trend) · Chop: 15.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.4213 ATR%: 4.736% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.914% (0.0064)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -10.116% 0.9R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -11.507% 1.0R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -11.507% 1.0R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -11.507% 1.0R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -11.871% 1.0R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -11.871% 1.0R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -15.716% 1.3R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -15.716% 1.3R 0.0× 576
72h +0.000% 0.0R -15.716% 1.3R 0.0× 864

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
70%
noisy_chop 47% mid — — 0.38 bull_high +13.92% +0.96 30/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 46% late — near 0.0ATR 0.45 bull_high +3.48% +0.97 01/10 20:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
72%
noisy_chop 44% early — near -0.5ATR 0.37 bull_medium_confirmed +2.23% +0.83 02/10 01:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate explosive compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.26 bull_low_confirmed +1.72% -0.23 02/10 01:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197713
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.593 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
70%
noisy_chop 47% mid 2b 1.7ATR — — 4.81 95% ↑ +0.40 value +3.06 — #105836 0.38 bull_high +13.92% +0.96
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:27
4h
#199293
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.863 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 46% late 2b 2.5ATR — near 0.0ATR 3.69 98% ↑ +0.95 above_value +0.18 — #106538 0.45 bull_high +3.48% +0.97
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:19
1h anchor
#200026
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.704 expansion_after_compression bull_high
72%
noisy_chop 44% early 5b 0.9ATR — near -0.5ATR 0.39 93% ↑ +0.16 above_value +0.28 — #106925 0.37 bull_medium_confirmed +2.23% +0.83
02/10 01:00
upd 02/10 02:12
15m
#199874
 ↑ up range range moderate explosive 0.690 compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 40% early 4b 0.2ATR — — 0.12 36% ↓ -0.56 above_value +0.27 — #106771 0.26 bull_low_confirmed +1.72% -0.23
02/10 01:30
upd 02/10 01:48
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 2b — 2.441×ATR p0 +1.701×ATR p79
4h ↓ down late 2b — 1.314×ATR p0 +2.501×ATR p93
1h ↑ up early 5b — 1.606×ATR p3 +0.859×ATR p46
15m ↓ down early 4b — 1.306×ATR p3 +0.237×ATR p16

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.04717429
  2. atr: 0.00212524
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-02T09:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.8755
  4. confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05355 0.04717 0.04931
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05355
  • Stop Loss: 0.04717
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04717 - 0.05355 = -0.00638

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05355 - = 0.05355

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05355 / -0.00638 = -8.3934

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
67.1925 67.1925 1254.7622 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00638

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00638 = -1253.92

Taille de position USD = -1253.92 x 0.05355 = -67.15

Donc, tu peux acheter -1253.92 avec un stoploss a 0.04717

Avec un position size USD de -67.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1253.92 x -0.00638 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1253.92 x 0.05355 = -67.15

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -67.15$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1253.92
  • Taille de position USD -67.15
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -67.15
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -8.3934

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 67.19 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
11.91 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-6.52 $ -9.71
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-11.507 % 96.58 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05355 0.04717 0.04931
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05355
  • Stop Loss: 0.04717
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04717 - 0.05355 = -0.00638

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05355 - = 0.05355

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05355 / -0.00638 = -8.3934

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.05355
            [stop_loss] => 0.046532
            [rr_ratio] => 7.63
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 06:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.05355
            [stop_loss] => 0.045894
            [rr_ratio] => 6.99
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 06:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.05355
            [stop_loss] => 0.045256
            [rr_ratio] => 6.46
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 06:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.05355
            [stop_loss] => 0.04398
            [rr_ratio] => 5.6
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 06:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.914% (0.0064)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -10.116% 0.9R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -11.507% 1.0R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -11.507% 1.0R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -11.507% 1.0R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -11.871% 1.0R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -11.871% 1.0R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -15.716% 1.3R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -15.716% 1.3R 0.0× 576
72h +0.000% 0.0R -15.716% 1.3R 0.0× 864

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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