Long Trade on ALGO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1411.13 ALGO at 0.131$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1453 (10.83 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1254 (4.35 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 03:14:49
hyperliquid
ALGO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 03:14
→ 14:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1311$
Qty 1411.1338 ALGO
Size 184.9855$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1453 (+10.83%)
TP $ 20.04$
SL 0.1254 (-4.35%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 2.49
Status
loss
PnL
-4.35%
/ -8.04$
MAE -5.28%
MFE +2.04%
0.5R
expires
02 Oct 15:14
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171258)
#16 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 00:00
score du 02/10/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3088
Quality Score
0.563
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#16 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
N/A
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#16 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
983,168 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 03:01
02/10 03:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
— |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4629
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
79.8%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 27.9% |
| 1h | 83.6% |
| 4h | 86.9% |
| 24h | 50.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 49.2% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 60.7% | +1.58% |
| 24h | 24.6% | +0.06% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.190
Universe :
61
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 03:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5626
Score SMA
0.5638
Rank
#16
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3088
Rank Norm SMA
0.5038
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5167 | r1h: 0.375% · r4h: 2.579% · r1d: -3.48% · r3d: -7.31% · ema21_slope: -0.1044% · dist_ema21: 0.846% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3829 | rs_1h: 0.002% · rs_4h: 1.820% · rs_1d: -5.57% · rs_3d: -10.26% · beta_24h: 1.046 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7740 | rvol_20: 2.78× · zscore_50: 2.239 · trend: -5.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3804 | ADX: 12.6 (weak) · Chop: 65.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.395% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4698
Score SMA
0.6483
Rank
#46
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5345
Rank Norm SMA
0.6773
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6270 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.554% · r1d: -3.50% · r3d: -7.34% · ema21_slope: 0.0153% · dist_ema21: 0.468% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4625 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.102% · rs_1d: -5.28% · rs_3d: -9.97% · beta_24h: 1.022 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1610 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.586 · trend: -60.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3843 | ADX: 25.4 (trend) · Chop: 78.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7621 | ATR%: 3.714% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.348%
(0.0057)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.533% | 0.4R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.533% | 0.4R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.533% | 0.4R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.533% | 0.4R | -1.945% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.037% | 0.5R | -5.278% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.037% | 0.5R | -5.278% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.037% | 0.5R | -5.278% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.037% | 0.5R | -5.278% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.426% | 0.6R | -5.278% | 1.2R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 520 min
MAE in 690 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.66
Prediction Score: N/A
No context market snapshot
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.831
- reason: up_bo width=2.93×ATR dur=48b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.1254208
- tp_price: 0.145263
- atr:
- score: 0.83099316586373
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T19:14:41.673174
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83099316586373
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0848
- obi_top10 : -0.0254
- micro_price : 0.13144581
- spread_pct : 0.045662
- mid_price : 0.13143
- bid_wall_price : 0.13
- bid_wall_size : 1605831.9
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.132
- ask_wall_size : 1153977.56
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0884
- obi_top5_std : 0.0098
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7100
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.12858
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.122665
- balance_zone_mid:
0.1256225
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790755200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790924400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9326
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
48
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.831
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790920800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.12858
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.875
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2444
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00201699 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
48
inside_close_ratio
0.875
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2444
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:14 | 0.13109000 | -0.008% |
| 2 | 03:26 | 0.13109000 | -0.008% |
| 3 | 03:38 | 0.13008000 | -0.778% |
| 4 | 03:50 | 0.13008000 | -0.778% |
| 5 | 04:02 | 0.13008000 | -0.778% |
| 6 | 05:12 | 0.13102000 | -0.061% |
| 7 | 05:23 | 0.13102000 | -0.061% |
| 8 | 05:35 | 0.13102000 | -0.061% |
| 9 | 05:46 | 0.13087000 | -0.175% |
| 10 | 05:57 | 0.13087000 | -0.175% |
| 11 | 06:45 | 0.13125000 | +0.114% |
| 12 | 06:56 | 0.13125000 | +0.114% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7100ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.085
avg 0.088
± 0.010
OBI Top 10
-0.025
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1314
Micro Price
0.1314
Spread
0.0457%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1300
Size
1,605,831.90
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1320
Size
1,153,977.56
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1311 | 0.1254 | 0.1453 | 2.49 | 0.09569 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1311
- Stop Loss: 0.1254
- Take Profit: 0.1453
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1254 - 0.1311 = -0.0057
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1311 - 0.1453 = -0.0142
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0142 / -0.0057 = 2.4912
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 184.9855 | 100 | 1411.1338 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0057
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0057 = -1403.51
Taille de position USD = -1403.51 x 0.1311 = -184
Donc, tu peux acheter -1403.51 avec un stoploss a 0.1254
Avec un position size USD de -184$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1403.51 x -0.0057 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1403.51 x -0.0142 = 19.93
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.93$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1403.51
- Taille de position USD -184
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.93
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4912
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.83 % | 20.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.35 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.04 $ | -4.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.2098 % | 119.83 % | 27 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1311 | 0.1254 | 0.1453 | 2.49 | 0.09569 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1311
- Stop Loss: 0.1254
- Take Profit: 0.1453
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1254 - 0.1311 = -0.0057
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1311 - 0.1453 = -0.0142
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0142 / -0.0057 = 2.4912
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.348%
(0.0057)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.533% | 0.4R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.533% | 0.4R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.533% | 0.4R | -1.068% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.533% | 0.4R | -1.945% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.037% | 0.5R | -5.278% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.037% | 0.5R | -5.278% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.037% | 0.5R | -5.278% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.037% | 0.5R | -5.278% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.426% | 0.6R | -5.278% | 1.2R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 520 min
MAE in 690 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.