Long Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.8 AAVE at 185.55$ per unit. Take profit: 190.1888 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 175.5566 (5.39 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 03:15:04
hyperliquid
AAVE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 03:15
→ 09:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 185.55$
Qty 0.8005 AAVE
Size 148.5376$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 190.1888 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.71$
SL 175.5566 (-5.39%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.46
Status
loss
PnL
-1.24%
/ -1.85$
MAE -2.57%
MFE +0.53%
0.1R
expires
02 Oct 09:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171536)
#1 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 03:00
score du 02/10/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9804
Quality Score
0.789
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.39 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.39 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.44×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.59×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.58
OK
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
77.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 03:00
02/10 03:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4629
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
79.8%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 27.9% |
| 1h | 83.6% |
| 4h | 86.9% |
| 24h | 50.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 49.2% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 60.7% | +1.58% |
| 24h | 24.6% | +0.06% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.190
Universe :
61
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 03:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8135
Score SMA
0.6801
Rank
#4
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9605
Rank Norm SMA
0.6193
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9655 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 7.44% · r3d: 14.67% · ema21_slope: 1.2788% · dist_ema21: 17.343% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8858 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.97% · rs_3d: 13.01% · beta_24h: 1.397 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9008 | rvol_20: 2.75× · zscore_50: 2.121 · trend: 130.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8150 | ADX: 37.8 (trend) · Chop: 38.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.530% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.7886
Score SMA
0.5945
Rank
#1
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9804
Rank Norm SMA
0.6495
Calculé le
02/10/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9453 | r1h: 1.746% · r4h: 5.548% · r1d: 10.01% · r3d: 18.21% · ema21_slope: 0.4051% · dist_ema21: 6.492% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8916 | rs_1h: 1.757% · rs_4h: 4.609% · rs_1d: 7.79% · rs_3d: 15.83% · beta_24h: 3.287 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2735 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.400 · trend: 25.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8495 | ADX: 41.9 (trend) · Chop: 27.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.272% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.8486
Score SMA
0.6557
Rank
#3
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9804
Rank Norm SMA
0.7219
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9199 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.128% · r1d: 6.48% · r3d: 19.78% · ema21_slope: 0.3627% · dist_ema21: 8.044% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8535 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.369% · rs_1d: 4.39% · rs_3d: 16.83% · beta_24h: 2.866 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8222 | rvol_20: 2.17× · zscore_50: 2.319 · trend: 103.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7007 | ADX: 35.6 (trend) · Chop: 50.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8971 | ATR%: 3.309% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.386%
(9.9934)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.162% | 0.0R | -1.428% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.162% | 0.0R | -2.571% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -2.571% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.528% | 0.1R | -2.571% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -2.571% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -4.010% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -5.055% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -5.055% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -5.055% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 239 min
MAE in 1274 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.17
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.68 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.98 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +3.48% | +0.92 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.58 | bull_medium | +2.18% | +0.71 | 02/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | — | 0.55 | bull_low | +1.39% | +0.33 | 02/10 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197562
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.562 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 15b 2.0ATR | — | near -0.6ATR | 2.75 | 97% | ↑ +0.77 | value | +1.58 | — | #105783 | 0.68 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.98 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:19
|
|
4h
#199152
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.634 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 9b 2.3ATR | — | — | 2.17 | 99% | ↑ +0.44 | above_value | +3.09 | inside | #106484 | 0.56 | bull_high | +3.48% | +0.92 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:13
|
|
1h
anchor #200355
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.678 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 2b 2.5ATR | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.33 | 74% | ↔ +0.10 | above_value | +4.39 | inside | #107028 | 0.58 | bull_medium | +2.18% | +0.71 |
02/10 02:00
upd 02/10 03:09
|
|
15m
#200285
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.579 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid 4b 1.7ATR | — | — | 0.28 | 54% | ↔ -0.11 | above_value | +3.69 | — | #106874 | 0.55 | bull_low | +1.39% | +0.33 |
02/10 02:45
upd 02/10 03:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 5.206×ATR | p71 | +2.019×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.323×ATR | p39 | +2.306×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 0.717×ATR | p0 | +2.491×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 1.783×ATR | p3 | +1.681×ATR | p79 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 175.55656774
- tp_price: 190.18875
- atr: 3.99737291
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T13:15:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 1
- total: 76
- score: 0.9453
- delta_2h: 0.0083
- extension_atr: 2.67
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9804
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:15 | 185.55000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:15 | 183.98000000 | -0.846% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185.55 | 175.5566 | 190.1888 | 0.46 | 130.47 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 185.55
- Stop Loss: 175.5566
- Take Profit: 190.1888
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 175.5566 - 185.55 = -9.9934
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 185.55 - 190.1888 = -4.6388
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.6388 / -9.9934 = 0.4642
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148.5376 | 100 | 0.8005 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -9.9934
Taille de position = 8 / -9.9934 = -0.8
Taille de position USD = -0.8 x 185.55 = -148.44
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.8 avec un stoploss a 175.5566
Avec un position size USD de -148.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.8 x -9.9934 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.8 x -4.6388 = 3.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.71$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.8
- Taille de position USD -148.44
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 3.71
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4642
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.71 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.39 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.85 $ | -1.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5707 % | 47.73 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185.55 | 175.5566 | 190.1888 | 0.46 | 130.47 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 185.55
- Stop Loss: 175.5566
- Take Profit: 190.1888
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 175.5566 - 185.55 = -9.9934
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 185.55 - 190.1888 = -4.6388
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.6388 / -9.9934 = 0.4642
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.386%
(9.9934)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.162% | 0.0R | -1.428% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.162% | 0.0R | -2.571% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -2.571% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.528% | 0.1R | -2.571% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -2.571% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -4.010% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -5.055% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -5.055% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.528% | 0.1R | -5.055% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 239 min
MAE in 1274 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.