Long Trade on AZTEC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 12321.15 AZTEC at 0.018$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01964 (9.05 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01736 (3.61 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 03:18:46
hyperliquid
AZTEC
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 03:18
→ 13:40
· 10 hours
Position
Entry 0.01801$
Qty 12321.1508 AZTEC
Size 221.9532$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01964 (+9.05%)
TP $ 20.08$
SL 0.01736 (-3.61%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-3.61%
/ -8.01$
MAE -6.62%
MFE +0.91%
0.3R
expires
02 Oct 15:18
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: )
#35 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Avg Rank 8h:
Quality Score
N/A
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#35 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
N/A
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#35 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.61 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
401,053 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 03:17
02/10 03:17
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
— |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4630
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
79.2%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 39.3% |
| 1h | 45.9% |
| 4h | 82.0% |
| 24h | 73.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 39.3% | -0.05% |
| 4h | 72.1% | +1.20% |
| 24h | 34.4% | +1.57% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.206
Universe :
61
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 03:16
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
Quality score non disponible pour ce trade.
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.609%
(0.0007)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.938% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.938% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.277% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.911% | 0.3R | -2.277% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.911% | 0.3R | -6.624% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.911% | 0.3R | -6.741% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.911% | 0.3R | -6.741% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.911% | 0.3R | -6.741% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.911% | 0.3R | -6.741% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 376 min
MAE in 851 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.26
Prediction Score: N/A
No context market snapshot
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8087
- reason: up_bo width=2.05×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.01736471
- tp_price: 0.01963723
- atr:
- score: 0.80871113026624
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T19:18:38.347464
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80871113026624
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0313
- obi_top10 : -0.0213
- micro_price : 0.01793942
- spread_pct : 0.111545
- mid_price : 0.01794
- bid_wall_price : 0.0178
- bid_wall_size : 2021280
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0182
- ask_wall_size : 2089977
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0757
- obi_top5_std : 0.0406
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6961
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.017694
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.017094
- balance_zone_mid:
0.017394
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790769600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790924400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0483
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
44
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8087
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790920800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.017694
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7727
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0924
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
13
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
13
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00029292 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.7727
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0924
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:18 | 0.01801400 | +0.022% |
| 2 | 03:30 | 0.01801400 | +0.022% |
| 3 | 03:42 | 0.01774100 | -1.494% |
| 4 | 03:54 | 0.01774100 | -1.494% |
| 5 | 04:07 | 0.01774100 | -1.494% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6961ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.031
avg 0.076
± 0.041
OBI Top 10
-0.021
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0179
Micro Price
0.0179
Spread
0.1115%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0178
Size
2,021,280.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0182
Size
2,089,977.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01801 | 0.01736 | 0.01964 | 2.51 | 0.01295 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01801
- Stop Loss: 0.01736
- Take Profit: 0.01964
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01736 - 0.01801 = -0.00065
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01801 - 0.01964 = -0.00163
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00163 / -0.00065 = 2.5077
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 221.9532 | 100 | 12321.1508 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00065
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00065 = -12307.69
Taille de position USD = -12307.69 x 0.01801 = -221.66
Donc, tu peux acheter -12307.69 avec un stoploss a 0.01736
Avec un position size USD de -221.66$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -12307.69 x -0.00065 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -12307.69 x -0.00163 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position -12307.69
- Taille de position USD -221.66
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5077
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.05 % | 20.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.61 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -3.61 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.7257 % | 103.23 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01801 | 0.01736 | 0.01964 | 2.51 | 0.01295 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01801
- Stop Loss: 0.01736
- Take Profit: 0.01964
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01736 - 0.01801 = -0.00065
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01801 - 0.01964 = -0.00163
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00163 / -0.00065 = 2.5077
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.609%
(0.0007)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.938% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.938% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.277% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.911% | 0.3R | -2.277% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.911% | 0.3R | -6.624% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.911% | 0.3R | -6.741% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.911% | 0.3R | -6.741% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.911% | 0.3R | -6.741% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.911% | 0.3R | -6.741% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 376 min
MAE in 851 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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