Web3Way Logo

Short Trade on APEX

Previous Trade Next Trade
02 Oct 2026 at 03:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on APEX (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 431.33 APEX at 0.249$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2427 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2674 (7.43 %)

APEX SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 03:15 → 09:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2489$

Qty 431.3338 APEX

Size 107.3504$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2427 (+2.49%)

TP $ 2.67$

SL 0.2674 (-7.43%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.34

Status loss PnL -2.80% / -3.01$ MAE -4.08% MFE +0.03% 0.0R expires 02 Oct 09:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171581)
#74 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1677

Quality Score
0.412
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#74 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#74 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.62×ATR
4h clear 0.53×ATR
1d clear 1.83×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
1.58
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 03:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 02:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4629
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical bull

0.55

expansion

-1

Micro bull

0.90

transition

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 79.8%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 27.9%
1h 83.6%
4h 86.9%
24h 50.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 49.2% -0.04%
4h 60.7% +1.58%
24h 24.6% +0.06%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.190
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 03:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4844
Score SMA
0.5444
Rank
#59 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2368
Rank Norm SMA
0.4579
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5539 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.66% · r3d: -14.86% · ema21_slope: 0.8229% · dist_ema21: -1.716%
Force Relative 25% 0.1690 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -15.13% · rs_3d: -16.51% · beta_24h: 1.043
Volume 20% 0.9277 rvol_20: 3.07× · zscore_50: 1.916 · trend: 131.67%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6032 ADX: 19.6 (weak) · Chop: 45.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.035% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.4118
Score SMA
0.5294
Rank
#74 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1677
Rank Norm SMA
0.5059
Calculé le
02/10/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2314 r1h: -0.507% · r4h: 1.241% · r1d: -12.66% · r3d: -14.97% · ema21_slope: -0.5954% · dist_ema21: -4.551%
Force Relative 25% 0.2356 rs_1h: -0.496% · rs_4h: 0.302% · rs_1d: -14.88% · rs_3d: -17.35% · beta_24h: 1.677
Volume 20% 0.5040 rvol_20: 1.20× · zscore_50: 1.069 · trend: 41.13%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7228 ADX: 33.1 (trend) · Chop: 44.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9690 ATR%: 3.093% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3933
Score SMA
0.5569
Rank
#73 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0983
Rank Norm SMA
0.5945
Calculé le
02/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4347 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.627% · r1d: -13.09% · r3d: -12.06% · ema21_slope: 0.0610% · dist_ema21: -8.415%
Force Relative 25% 0.1991 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.132% · rs_1d: -15.18% · rs_3d: -15.01% · beta_24h: 1.336
Volume 20% 0.6090 rvol_20: 1.45× · zscore_50: 0.929 · trend: 96.24%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6085 ADX: 25.5 (trend) · Chop: 51.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.033% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.433% (0.0185)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.028% 0.0R -1.985% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.028% 0.0R -3.158% 0.4R 0.0× 24
4h +0.028% 0.0R -4.082% 0.6R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.028% 0.0R -4.082% 0.6R 0.0× 72
8h +0.028% 0.0R -4.082% 0.6R 0.0× 96
12h +3.226% 0.4R -4.082% 0.6R 0.8× 144
24h +3.636% 0.5R -4.082% 0.6R 0.9× 288
48h +10.687% 1.4R -4.082% 0.6R 2.6× 576
72h +10.687% 1.4R -4.082% 0.6R 2.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 724 min MAE in 154 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.01
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.41 bull_high +13.92% +0.00 30/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.30 bull_high +3.48% -0.94 01/10 20:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.34 bull_medium +2.18% -0.95 02/10 02:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 41% early near -0.2ATR — 0.22 bull_low +1.43% -0.06 02/10 02:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197702
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.667 expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 36% early 23b -0.1ATR — — 3.07 98% ↑ +0.78 below_value -4.62 — #105831 0.41 bull_high +13.92% +0.00
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
4h
#199278
 ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.503 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 42% mid 6b -1.5ATR — — 1.45 97% ↑ +0.19 below_value -4.61 — #106533 0.30 bull_high +3.48% -0.94
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 00:18
1h anchor
#200402
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.484 normal bear_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 42% mid 5b -1.6ATR — — 1.20 93% ↑ +0.57 below_value -4.67 — #107074 0.34 bull_medium +2.18% -0.95
02/10 02:00
upd 02/10 03:11
15m
#200251
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.523 compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 41% early 6b -0.1ATR near -0.2ATR — 0.28 32% ↑ +0.21 below_value -4.00 — #106920 0.22 bull_low +1.43% -0.06
02/10 02:30
upd 02/10 02:47
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 23b — 2.452×ATR p0 -0.143×ATR p11
4h ↓ down mid 6b — 2.971×ATR p24 -1.533×ATR p79
1h ↑ up mid 5b — 0.802×ATR p0 -1.59×ATR p68
15m ↓ down early 6b — 2.47×ATR p32 -0.112×ATR p11

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.26742712
  2. tp_price: 0.242658
  3. atr: 0.00741885
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T13:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 76
  2. total: 76
  3. score: 0.2458
  4. delta_2h: -0.1211
  5. extension_atr: -1.67
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1562
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2489 0.2674 0.2427 0.34 0.1846
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2489
  • Stop Loss: 0.2674
  • Take Profit: 0.2427

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2674 - 0.2489 = 0.0185

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2489 - 0.2427 = 0.0062

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0062 / 0.0185 = 0.3351

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
107.3504 100 431.3338 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0185

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0185 = 432.43

Taille de position USD = 432.43 x 0.2489 = 107.63

Donc, tu peux acheter 432.43 avec un stoploss a 0.2674

Avec un position size USD de 107.63$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 432.43 x 0.0185 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 432.43 x 0.0062 = 2.68

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.68$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 432.43
  • Taille de position USD 107.63
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.68
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3351

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 2.67 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.43 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-3.01 $ -2.80
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.082 % 54.92 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2489 0.2674 0.2427 0.34 0.1846
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2489
  • Stop Loss: 0.2674
  • Take Profit: 0.2427

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2674 - 0.2489 = 0.0185

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2489 - 0.2427 = 0.0062

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0062 / 0.0185 = 0.3351

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.433% (0.0185)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.028% 0.0R -1.985% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.028% 0.0R -3.158% 0.4R 0.0× 24
4h +0.028% 0.0R -4.082% 0.6R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.028% 0.0R -4.082% 0.6R 0.0× 72
8h +0.028% 0.0R -4.082% 0.6R 0.0× 96
12h +3.226% 0.4R -4.082% 0.6R 0.8× 144
24h +3.636% 0.5R -4.082% 0.6R 0.9× 288
48h +10.687% 1.4R -4.082% 0.6R 2.6× 576
72h +10.687% 1.4R -4.082% 0.6R 2.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 724 min MAE in 154 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.