Long Trade on AR (CatchTheWave)
With 287.49 AR at 4.369$ per unit. Take profit: 4.4243 (1.28 %) & Stop Loss: 4.3408 (0.64 %)
Long Trade on AR (CatchTheWave)
With 287.49 AR at 4.369$ per unit. Take profit: 4.4243 (1.28 %) & Stop Loss: 4.3408 (0.64 %)
Position
Entry 4.3686$
Qty 287.4873 AR
Size 1255.9168$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 4.4243 (+1.28%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 4.3408 (-0.64%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6255
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 5.32×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.80×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.09×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.437335 15m : 0.442669 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
transition
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 80.3% |
| 1h | 9.8% |
| 4h | 72.1% |
| 24h | 68.9% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 52.5% | +0.06% |
| 4h | 59.0% | +0.64% |
| 24h | 27.9% | +1.16% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7563 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.60% · r3d: -0.47% · ema21_slope: 2.4700% · dist_ema21: 9.635% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6141 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.13% · rs_3d: -2.12% · beta_24h: 2.393 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3307 | rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: 0.090 · trend: 31.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8994 | ADX: 47.9 (trend) · Chop: 32.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.855% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6393 | r1h: -0.455% · r4h: 2.301% · r1d: 7.59% · r3d: 3.43% · ema21_slope: 0.0842% · dist_ema21: 1.691% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5709 | rs_1h: -0.586% · rs_4h: 1.605% · rs_1d: 4.37% · rs_3d: 0.88% · beta_24h: 0.921 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2054 | rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.275 · trend: -50.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4967 | ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 54.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.699% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6456 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.301% · r1d: 7.59% · r3d: 3.43% · ema21_slope: -0.1172% · dist_ema21: 2.209% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5601 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.605% · rs_1d: 4.37% · rs_3d: 0.88% · beta_24h: 2.560 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1603 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.621 · trend: -48.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4659 | ADX: 15.9 (weak) · Chop: 58.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6352 | ATR%: 4.095% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.037% | 1.6R | -0.247% | 0.4R | 4.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.037% | 1.6R | -0.268% | 0.4R | 3.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.037% | 1.6R | -0.494% | 0.8R | 2.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.536% | 2.4R | -1.538% | 2.4R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.536% | 2.4R | -5.890% | 9.3R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.697% | 7.4R | -5.890% | 9.3R | 0.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.420% | 14.8R | -5.890% | 9.3R | 1.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.420% | 14.8R | -5.890% | 9.3R | 1.6× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.55 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.32 | bull_high | +4.12% | -0.11 | 02/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.24 | bull_medium | +2.26% | -0.40 | 02/10 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.52 | bull_low | +1.42% | +0.07 | 02/10 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197645
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.827 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early 11b 0.6ATR | — | — | 0.60 | 90% | ↑ +0.74 | above_value | -0.13 | — | #105804 | 0.55 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:23
|
|
4h
#200800
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.660 | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 9b 0.5ATR | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.50 | 56% | ↑ +0.20 | value | +1.26 | — | #107205 | 0.32 | bull_high | +4.12% | -0.11 |
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:14
|
|
1h
anchor #200799
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.579 | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 12b 1.2ATR | — | — | 0.65 | 34% | ↓ -0.57 | value | +1.26 | — | #107205 | 0.24 | bull_medium | +2.26% | -0.40 |
02/10 03:00
upd 02/10 04:14
|
|
15m
#200684
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | 0.694 | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 3b 0.5ATR | near -1.0ATR | — | 1.22 | 54% | ↑ +0.28 | value | +1.53 | — | #107050 | 0.52 | bull_low | +1.42% | +0.07 |
02/10 03:45
upd 02/10 04:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.104×ATR | p0 | +0.563×ATR | p37 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.097×ATR | p3 | +0.537×ATR | p25 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.893×ATR | p60 | +1.202×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.959×ATR | p21 | +0.523×ATR | p36 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
85662.6
0.00738198
86295
0.437335
0
0
86295
0.442669
84063
0.0258248
86234
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4.1858
186
0.7224
0.5561
0.3158
0.2364
0.3808
0.758
0.191
0.6067
0.6716
0.024
0.4583
0.3266
0.1449
0.0762
1
0.8444
1.4431
0.6
0.4
1
23
1
0.5272
0.2857
5.105
0.65
0.758
3.8696
1.4431
0
0.2588
0.04
-0.4999
0.3691
0.5193
0.4979
0.3266
-12.2386
5.9368
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 02:15:00 | 4.3345 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 02:35:00 | 4.3104 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 03:00:00 | 4.341 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 04:05:00 | 4.287 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 05:45:00 | 4.3859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 05:55:00 | 4.4348 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 06:35:00 | 4.3888 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 07:05:00 | 4.465 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 07:35:00 | 4.3895 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 08:10:00 | 4.3686 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 15:00:00 | 4.3294 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 16:00:00 | 4.4285 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 19:30:00 | 4.1858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 20:15:00 | 4.2882 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 21:30:00 | 4.2273 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 00:15:00 | 4.3232 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 01:15:00 | 4.2636 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 04:00:00 | 4.287 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 07:00:00 | 4.465 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 08:00:00 | 4.3686 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 4.0979 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 09:00:00 | 4.3811 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 4.1618 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 01:00:00 | 4.3395 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 4.1775 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:00:00 | 4.446 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 19:00:00 | 4.0243 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 09:00:00 | 4.5723 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 19:00:00 | 4.1858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 07:00:00 | 4.465 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.3686 | 4.3408 | 4.4243 | 2 | 3.1163 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.3408 - 4.3686 = -0.0278
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.3686 - 4.4243 = -0.0557
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0557 / -0.0278 = 2.0036
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1255.9168 | 100 | 287.4873 | 13.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0278 = -287.77
Taille de position USD = -287.77 x 4.3686 = -1257.15
Donc, tu peux acheter -287.77 avec un stoploss a 4.3408
Avec un position size USD de -1257.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -287.77 x -0.0278 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -287.77 x -0.0557 = 16.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.03$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.28 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.64 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 1.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4944 % | 77.69 % | 16 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.3686 | 4.3408 | 4.4243 | 2 | 3.1163 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.3408 - 4.3686 = -0.0278
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.3686 - 4.4243 = -0.0557
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0557 / -0.0278 = 2.0036
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[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.4798
[stop_loss] => 4.3408
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.4937
[stop_loss] => 4.3408
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.5076
[stop_loss] => 4.3408
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.5215
[stop_loss] => 4.3408
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.5354
[stop_loss] => 4.3408
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.5493
[stop_loss] => 4.3408
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.5632
[stop_loss] => 4.3408
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.037% | 1.6R | -0.247% | 0.4R | 4.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.037% | 1.6R | -0.268% | 0.4R | 3.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.037% | 1.6R | -0.494% | 0.8R | 2.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.536% | 2.4R | -1.538% | 2.4R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.536% | 2.4R | -5.890% | 9.3R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.697% | 7.4R | -5.890% | 9.3R | 0.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.420% | 14.8R | -5.890% | 9.3R | 1.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.420% | 14.8R | -5.890% | 9.3R | 1.6× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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