02 Oct 2026 at 04:15:09 hyperliquid

Long Trade on AR (CatchTheWave)

With 287.49 AR at 4.369$ per unit. Take profit: 4.4243 (1.28 %) & Stop Loss: 4.3408 (0.64 %)

AR LONG CatchTheWave hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 04:15 → 09:00 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 4.3686$

Qty 287.4873 AR

Size 1255.9168$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)

Risk Setup

TP 4.4243 (+1.28%)

TP $ 16.01$

SL 4.3408 (-0.64%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 2

Status win PnL +1.28% / +16.01$ MAE -0.49% MFE +1.04% 1.6R

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171635)
#18 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6255

Quality Score
0.552
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#18 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.64 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#18 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.64 %
TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 5.32×ATR
4h clear 1.80×ATR
1d clear 1.09×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 04:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

02/10 03:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

5m : 0.437335

15m : 0.442669

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_medium

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4633
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Micro bull

0.90

transition

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 69.4%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 80.3%
1h 9.8%
4h 72.1%
24h 68.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 52.5% +0.06%
4h 59.0% +0.64%
24h 27.9% +1.16%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.185
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 04:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5815
Score SMA
0.6164
Rank
#27 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6579
Rank Norm SMA
0.5203
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7563 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.60% · r3d: -0.47% · ema21_slope: 2.4700% · dist_ema21: 9.635%
Force Relative 25% 0.6141 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.13% · rs_3d: -2.12% · beta_24h: 2.393
Volume 20% 0.3307 rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: 0.090 · trend: 31.24%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8994 ADX: 47.9 (trend) · Chop: 32.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.855% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5520
Score SMA
0.5187
Rank
#18 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6255
Rank Norm SMA
0.4227
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6393 r1h: -0.455% · r4h: 2.301% · r1d: 7.59% · r3d: 3.43% · ema21_slope: 0.0842% · dist_ema21: 1.691%
Force Relative 25% 0.5709 rs_1h: -0.586% · rs_4h: 1.605% · rs_1d: 4.37% · rs_3d: 0.88% · beta_24h: 0.921
Volume 20% 0.2054 rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.275 · trend: -50.51%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4967 ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 54.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.699% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5193
Score SMA
0.4847
Rank
#38 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3247
Rank Norm SMA
0.2854
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6456 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.301% · r1d: 7.59% · r3d: 3.43% · ema21_slope: -0.1172% · dist_ema21: 2.209%
Force Relative 25% 0.5601 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.605% · rs_1d: 4.37% · rs_3d: 0.88% · beta_24h: 2.560
Volume 20% 0.1603 rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.621 · trend: -48.72%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4659 ADX: 15.9 (weak) · Chop: 58.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.6352 ATR%: 4.095% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: CatchTheWave (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -0.636% (0.0278)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.037% 1.6R -0.247% 0.4R 4.2× 12
2h +1.037% 1.6R -0.268% 0.4R 3.9× 24
4h ★ +1.037% 1.6R -0.494% 0.8R 2.1× 48
8h +1.536% 2.4R -1.538% 2.4R 1.0× 96
12h +1.536% 2.4R -5.890% 9.3R 0.3× 144
24h +4.697% 7.4R -5.890% 9.3R 0.8× 288
48h +9.420% 14.8R -5.890% 9.3R 1.6× 576
72h +9.420% 14.8R -5.890% 9.3R 1.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 1439 min MAE in 619 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 4.15
Prediction Score: 0

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 45% early — — 0.55 bull_high +13.92% +1.00 30/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 37% early near -1.3ATR — 0.32 bull_high +4.12% -0.11 02/10 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 36% mid — — 0.24 bull_medium +2.26% -0.40 02/10 03:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_medium
53%
noisy_chop 38% early near -1.0ATR — 0.52 bull_low +1.42% +0.07 02/10 03:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197645
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.827 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 45% early 11b 0.6ATR — — 0.60 90% ↑ +0.74 above_value -0.13 — #105804 0.55 bull_high +13.92% +1.00
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:23
4h
#200800
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.660 compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 37% early 9b 0.5ATR near -1.3ATR — 0.50 56% ↑ +0.20 value +1.26 — #107205 0.32 bull_high +4.12% -0.11
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:14
1h anchor
#200799
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.579 compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 36% mid 12b 1.2ATR — — 0.65 34% ↓ -0.57 value +1.26 — #107205 0.24 bull_medium +2.26% -0.40
02/10 03:00
upd 02/10 04:14
15m
#200684
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate explosive 0.694 volatile_reversal bull_medium
53%
noisy_chop 38% early 3b 0.5ATR near -1.0ATR — 1.22 54% ↑ +0.28 value +1.53 — #107050 0.52 bull_low +1.42% +0.07
02/10 03:45
upd 02/10 04:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 11b — 2.104×ATR p0 +0.563×ATR p37
4h ↑ up early 9b — 2.097×ATR p3 +0.537×ATR p25
1h ↑ up mid 12b — 2.893×ATR p60 +1.202×ATR p71
15m ↓ down early 3b — 1.959×ATR p21 +0.523×ATR p36

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.6414
  3. reason: HTF_bullish_stack | KC_pullback(0.04) | regime:bull_high|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
  4. stop_price: 4.34077268
  5. tp_price: 4.42425464
  6. atr: 0.018551545253596
  7. score: 1.9134
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.5714
Details
  1. 1H
  2. timeframe : 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.37083
  4. ema21 : 4.33443
  5. ema50 : 4.30012
  6. ema100 : 4.32304
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000510862
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00839724
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00798008
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0105386
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.127172
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.0965347
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.0578176
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0113166
  17. rsi : 0.567536
  18. adx : 0.161947
  19. kc_percentage : 0.620589
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0602285
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.631724
  22. rvol_20 : 0.109954
  23. rvol_50 : 0.058655
  24. volume_zscore_50 : -0.412
  25. volume_vol_ratio : 14796.9
  26. chop : 53.4826
  27. regime : bull_high
  28. ¸
  29. 15m
  30. timeframe : 15m
  31. ema9 : 4.40181
  32. ema21 : 4.38355
  33. ema50 : 4.34844
  34. ema100 : 0
  35. price_ema9_diff : -0.00754594
  36. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00416577
  37. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00807412
  38. price_ema100_diff : 0
  39. all_emas_in_trend : True
  40. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  41. ema_slope_9 : 0.092951
  42. ema_slope_21 : 0.106272
  43. ema_slope_50 : 0.0740994
  44. ema_slope_100 : 0.0544798
  45. rsi : 0.488479
  46. adx : 0.348194
  47. kc_percentage : 0.376403
  48. kc_width_percentage : 0.0309191
  49. volume_ema_diff : -0.114308
  50. rvol_20 : 1.07217
  51. rvol_50 : 1.04156
  52. volume_zscore_50 : 0.0333115
  53. volume_vol_ratio : 57476.9
  54. chop : 53.5713
  55. regime : range_medium
  56. ¸
  57. 5m
  58. timeframe : 5m
  59. ema9 : 4.39432
  60. ema21 : 4.40245
  61. ema50 : 4.38973
  62. ema100 : 4.36453
  63. price_ema9_diff : -0.00585316
  64. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00184812
  65. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00289854
  66. price_ema100_diff : 0.000932364
  67. all_emas_in_trend : False
  68. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  69. ema_slope_9 : -0.0632463
  70. ema_slope_21 : -0.0190888
  71. ema_slope_50 : 0.0124708
  72. ema_slope_100 : 0.0191019
  73. rsi : 0.395338
  74. adx : 0.304274
  75. kc_percentage : 0.043307
  76. kc_width_percentage : 0.0169356
  77. volume_ema_diff : -0.124543
  78. rvol_20 : 0.401895
  79. rvol_50 : 0.461634
  80. volume_zscore_50 : -0.408766
  81. volume_vol_ratio : 16103.9
  82. chop : 40.0984
  83. regime : range_medium
  84. ¸
  85. btc_indicators
  86. btc_indicators
  87. 5m_ema100:
    85662.6
  88. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00738198
  89. 5m_price:
    86295
  90. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.437335
  91. btc_indicators
  92. 15m_ema100:
    0
  93. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0
  94. 15m_price:
    86295
  95. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.442669
  96. btc_indicators
  97. 1H_ema100:
    84063
  98. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0258248
  99. 1H_price:
    86234
  100. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    
                                                                                                                                
  101. ¸
  102. market_structures
  103. market_structures
  104. 1H_version: 1.1
  105. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-29 02:00:00
                        [1] => 4.0979
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-29 09:00:00
                        [1] => 4.3811
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-29 17:00:00
                        [1] => 4.1618
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-30 01:00:00
                        [1] => 4.3395
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-30 07:00:00
                        [1] => 4.1775
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-30 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4.446
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-09-30 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4.0243
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-01 09:00:00
                        [1] => 4.5723
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-01 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4.1858
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-02 07:00:00
                        [1] => 4.465
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7088465845465
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.8473410100817
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.6701705767117
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  106. market_structures
  107. 15m_version: 1.1
  108. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-01 15:00:00
                        [1] => 4.3294
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-01 16:00:00
                        [1] => 4.4285
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-01 19:30:00
                        [1] => 4.1858
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-01 20:15:00
                        [1] => 4.2882
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-01 21:30:00
                        [1] => 4.2273
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-02 00:15:00
                        [1] => 4.3232
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-02 01:15:00
                        [1] => 4.2636
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-02 04:00:00
                        [1] => 4.287
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-02 07:00:00
                        [1] => 4.465
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-02 08:00:00
                        [1] => 4.3686
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1590145576708
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2066565947901
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  109. market_structures
  110. 5m_version: 1.1
  111. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-02 02:15:00
                        [1] => 4.3345
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-02 02:35:00
                        [1] => 4.3104
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-02 03:00:00
                        [1] => 4.341
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-02 04:05:00
                        [1] => 4.287
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-02 05:45:00
                        [1] => 4.3859
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-02 05:55:00
                        [1] => 4.4348
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-02 06:35:00
                        [1] => 4.3888
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-02 07:05:00
                        [1] => 4.465
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-02 07:35:00
                        [1] => 4.3895
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-10-02 08:10:00
                        [1] => 4.3686
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1590145576708
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.47841413725221
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  112. ¸
  113. market_structure_v2
  114. timeframe : 1h
  115. state : pullback_up
  116. confidence : 1
  117. trend_strength : 0.0379
  118. trend_persistence : 0.5
  119. high_delta_atr : 5.4571
  120. low_delta_atr : 1.7428
  121. current_swing_amp_atr : 3.9057
  122. current_swing_speed : 0.39057
  123. current_swing_efficiency : 0.2857
  124. retracement_ratio : 0.758
  125. extension_ratio : 3.1296
  126. compression_score : 1.0194
  127. swing_entropy : 1
  128. breakout_strength : -4.6083
  129. distance_to_last_high_atr : -2.593
  130. distance_to_last_low_atr : 2.8655
  131. pivot_count : 38
  132. swing_count : 37
  133. market_structure_v2
  134. last_pivot_kind: low
  135. last_pivot_price:
    4.1858
  136. last_pivot_index:
    186
  137. ¸
  138. trend_analyzer_1h
  139. direction : up
  140. phase : transition
  141. structure : bullish_transition
  142. breakout_state : none
  143. quality : volatile
  144. strength : moderate
  145. exhaustion : low
  146. momentum_type : grind
  147. volatility_regime : compression
  148. htf_context : unknown
  149. risk_state : discount
  150. confidence : 0.641
  151. state : up_bullish_transition_grind
  152. trend_analyzer_1h
  153. scores_direction_score:
    0.7224
  154. scores_strength_score:
    0.5561
  155. scores_quality_score:
    0.3158
  156. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2364
  157. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3808
  158. scores_pullback_score:
    0.758
  159. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.191
  160. scores_continuation_score:
    0.6067
  161. scores_structure_score:
    0.6716
  162. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.024
  163. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.4583
  164. scores_risk_score:
    0.3266
  165. trend_analyzer_1h
  166. features_ema20_slope:
    0.1449
  167. features_ema50_slope:
    0.0762
  168. features_ema_alignment_score:
    1
  169. features_price_vs_ema20:
    0.8444
  170. features_price_vs_ema50:
    1.4431
  171. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.6
  172. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4
  173. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  174. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    23
  175. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  176. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5272
  177. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.2857
  178. features_impulse_strength:
    5.105
  179. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.65
  180. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.758
  181. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    3.8696
  182. features_extension_from_mean:
    1.4431
  183. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0
  184. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2588
  185. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.04
  186. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.4999
  187. features_body_ratio:
    0.3691
  188. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.5193
  189. features_slope_consistency:
    0.4979
  190. features_range_position:
    0.3266
  191. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -12.2386
  192. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    5.9368
  193. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  194. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  195. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  196. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  197. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  198. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  199. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  200. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  201. ¸
  202. orderbook_context
  203. obi_top5 : 0.2422
  204. obi_top10 : 0.204
  205. micro_price : 4.36525926
  206. spread_pct : 0.02291
  207. mid_price : 4.3655
  208. bid_wall_price :
  209. bid_wall_size :
  210. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  211. ask_wall_price :
  212. ask_wall_size :
  213. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  214. snapshots_count : 5
  215. obi_top5_mean : 0.2413
  216. obi_top5_std : 0.0018
  217. pressure_side : bid
  218. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  219. collection_ms : 7146
  220. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  221. error :
  222. ¸

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.48%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0538
1.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0407
0.92%
DateTime Price Type
2026-10-02 02:15:00 4.3345 ↑ High
2026-10-02 02:35:00 4.3104 ↓ Low
2026-10-02 03:00:00 4.341 ↑ High
2026-10-02 04:05:00 4.287 ↓ Low
2026-10-02 05:45:00 4.3859 ↓ Low
2026-10-02 05:55:00 4.4348 ↑ High
2026-10-02 06:35:00 4.3888 ↓ Low
2026-10-02 07:05:00 4.465 ↑ High
2026-10-02 07:35:00 4.3895 ↓ Low
2026-10-02 08:10:00 4.3686 ↓ Low
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.21%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1550
3.57%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0407
0.92%
DateTime Price Type
2026-10-01 15:00:00 4.3294 ↓ Low
2026-10-01 16:00:00 4.4285 ↑ High
2026-10-01 19:30:00 4.1858 ↓ Low
2026-10-01 20:15:00 4.2882 ↑ High
2026-10-01 21:30:00 4.2273 ↓ Low
2026-10-02 00:15:00 4.3232 ↑ High
2026-10-02 01:15:00 4.2636 ↓ Low
2026-10-02 04:00:00 4.287 ↓ Low
2026-10-02 07:00:00 4.465 ↑ High
2026-10-02 08:00:00 4.3686 ↓ Low
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.71%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.85%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.67%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3165
7.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1480
3.35%
DateTime Price Type
2026-09-29 02:00:00 4.0979 ↓ Low
2026-09-29 09:00:00 4.3811 ↑ High
2026-09-29 17:00:00 4.1618 ↓ Low
2026-09-30 01:00:00 4.3395 ↑ High
2026-09-30 07:00:00 4.1775 ↓ Low
2026-09-30 13:00:00 4.446 ↑ High
2026-09-30 19:00:00 4.0243 ↓ Low
2026-10-01 09:00:00 4.5723 ↑ High
2026-10-01 19:00:00 4.1858 ↓ Low
2026-10-02 07:00:00 4.465 ↑ High

Market Structure V2

1H ↑ pullback_up
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
0.038
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
5.457
Low Δ ATR
1.743

Current Swing

Amp ATR
3.906
Speed
0.391
Efficiency
0.286

Structure

Retracement
0.758
Extension
3.130
Compression
1.019
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-4.608
Dist High ATR
-2.593
Dist Low ATR
2.866
38 pivots · 37 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 4.1858 @ bar 186

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↑ up up_bullish_transition_grind
Confidence 64%

Context

phase transition
structure bullish_transition
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion low
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.722
Strength Score 0.556
Quality Score 0.316
Cleanliness Score 0.236
Structural Quality 0.381
Pullback Score 0.758
Exhaustion Score 0.191
Continuation Score 0.607
Structure Score 0.672
Volatility Expansion 0.024
Momentum Type Score 0.458
Risk Score 0.327
Features
Ema20 Slope
0.145
Ema50 Slope
0.076
Ema Alignment Score
1.000
Price Vs Ema20
0.844
Price Vs Ema50
1.443
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.600
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.400
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
23.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.527
Trend Efficiency
0.286
Impulse Strength
5.105
Directional Candle Ratio
0.650
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.758
Pullback Depth Atr
3.870
Extension From Mean
1.443
Impulse Decay Score
0.000
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.259
Volatility Percentile
0.040
Volatility Delta
-0.500
Body Ratio
0.369
Closes Position Ratio
0.519
Slope Consistency
0.498
Range Position
0.327
Distance To Recent High
-12.239
Distance To Recent Low
5.937
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7146ms Confidence avant OB : 57% → 64%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.242
avg 0.241 ± 0.002
OBI Top 10 0.204

Microstructure

Mid Price
4.3655
Micro Price
4.3653
Spread
0.0229%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.3686 4.3408 4.4243 2 3.1163
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.3686
  • Stop Loss: 4.3408
  • Take Profit: 4.4243

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.3408 - 4.3686 = -0.0278

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.3686 - 4.4243 = -0.0557

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0557 / -0.0278 = 2.0036

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1255.9168 100 287.4873 13.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0278

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0278 = -287.77

Taille de position USD = -287.77 x 4.3686 = -1257.15

Donc, tu peux acheter -287.77 avec un stoploss a 4.3408

Avec un position size USD de -1257.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -287.77 x -0.0278 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -287.77 x -0.0557 = 16.03

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.03$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -287.77
  • Taille de position USD -1257.15
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.03
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0036

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.28 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.64 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 1.28
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4944 % 77.69 % 16
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.3686 4.3408 4.4243 2 3.1163
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.3686
  • Stop Loss: 4.3408
  • Take Profit: 4.4243

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.3408 - 4.3686 = -0.0278

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.3686 - 4.4243 = -0.0557

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0557 / -0.0278 = 2.0036

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.4242
            [stop_loss] => 4.3408
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 13:00:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.4381
            [stop_loss] => 4.3408
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.452
            [stop_loss] => 4.3408
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.4659
            [stop_loss] => 4.3408
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.4798
            [stop_loss] => 4.3408
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.4937
            [stop_loss] => 4.3408
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.5076
            [stop_loss] => 4.3408
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.5215
            [stop_loss] => 4.3408
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.5354
            [stop_loss] => 4.3408
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.5493
            [stop_loss] => 4.3408
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.5632
            [stop_loss] => 4.3408
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: CatchTheWave (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -0.636% (0.0278)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.037% 1.6R -0.247% 0.4R 4.2× 12
2h +1.037% 1.6R -0.268% 0.4R 3.9× 24
4h ★ +1.037% 1.6R -0.494% 0.8R 2.1× 48
8h +1.536% 2.4R -1.538% 2.4R 1.0× 96
12h +1.536% 2.4R -5.890% 9.3R 0.3× 144
24h +4.697% 7.4R -5.890% 9.3R 0.8× 288
48h +9.420% 14.8R -5.890% 9.3R 1.6× 576
72h +9.420% 14.8R -5.890% 9.3R 1.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 1439 min MAE in 619 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

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