02 Oct 2026 at 04:20:42 hyperliquid

Long Trade on AZTEC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 22935.12 AZTEC at 0.0177$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01859 (4.97 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01736 (1.98 %)

AZTEC LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 04:20 → 13:40 · 9 hours

Position

Entry 0.01771$

Qty 22935.1223 AZTEC

Size 406.2498$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.01859 (+4.97%)

TP $ 20.18$

SL 0.01736 (-1.98%)

SL $ 8.03$

RR 2.51

Status loss PnL -1.98% / -8.03$ MAE -5.04% MFE +2.62% 1.3R expires 02 Oct 16:20

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: )
#35 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15

Avg Rank 8h:

Quality Score
N/A
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#35 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
N/A
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#35 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h — — OK
4h — — OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
390,070 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 04:17
Coin Market Regime V2

—

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4634
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Micro bull

0.90

transition

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 57.8%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 48.3%
1h 53.3%
4h 36.7%
24h 78.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 48.3% +0.00%
4h 51.7% -0.38%
24h 30.0% +1.62%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.148
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 04:16 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Quality score non disponible pour ce trade.

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.976% (0.0004)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.638% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.638% 0.8R -0.463% 0.2R 3.5× 24
4h +1.638% 0.8R -0.621% 0.3R 2.6× 48
8h +2.620% 1.3R -0.621% 0.3R 4.2× 96
12h ★ +2.620% 1.3R -5.042% 2.6R 0.5× 143
24h +2.620% 1.3R -5.161% 2.6R 0.5× 288
36h +2.620% 1.3R -5.161% 2.6R 0.5× 432
48h +2.620% 1.3R -5.161% 2.6R 0.5× 576
72h +2.620% 1.3R -5.161% 2.6R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 314 min MAE in 789 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.05
Prediction Score: N/A
No context market snapshot

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8127
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.01×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.01736419
  5. tp_price: 0.01858503
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.81268096521217
  8. expires_at: 2026-10-02T20:20:34.517816
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.81268096521217
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.1372
  14. obi_top10 : 0.2254
  15. micro_price : 0.01793606
  16. spread_pct : 0.167504
  17. mid_price : 0.017925
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.0176
  19. bid_wall_size : 2014052
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.0181
  22. ask_wall_size : 1959398.2
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.1252
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0241
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6960
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.017694
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.017094
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.017394
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1790769600
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1790928000
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.0126
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    45
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8127
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1790920800
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.017694
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.7556
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    2
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.0637
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    1
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    2
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    14
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    13
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00029813
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.7556
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0637

Signaux confirmants (18)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 04:20 0.01771300 +0.017%
2 04:31 0.01771300 +0.017%
3 04:42 0.01791700 +1.169%
4 04:53 0.01791700 +1.169%
5 05:04 0.01791700 +1.169%
6 05:16 0.01794100 +1.304%
7 05:27 0.01794100 +1.304%
8 05:39 0.01784100 +0.74%
9 05:50 0.01784100 +0.74%
10 06:01 0.01784100 +0.74%
11 06:16 0.01784000 +0.734%
12 06:28 0.01784000 +0.734%
13 07:12 0.01785400 +0.813%
14 07:22 0.01785400 +0.813%
15 07:32 0.01785400 +0.813%
16 07:42 0.01789000 +1.016%
17 07:53 0.01789000 +1.016%
18 08:06 0.01789000 +1.016%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6960ms Confidence avant OB : 81% → 81%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.137
avg 0.125 ± 0.024
OBI Top 10 0.225

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0179
Micro Price
0.0179
Spread
0.1675%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.0176
Size
2,014,052.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.0181
Size
1,959,398.20

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01771 0.01736 0.01859 2.51 0.01279
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01771
  • Stop Loss: 0.01736
  • Take Profit: 0.01859

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01736 - 0.01771 = -0.00035

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01771 - 0.01859 = -0.00088

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00088 / -0.00035 = 2.5143

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
406.2498 100 22935.1223 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00035

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00035 = -22857.14

Taille de position USD = -22857.14 x 0.01771 = -404.8

Donc, tu peux acheter -22857.14 avec un stoploss a 0.01736

Avec un position size USD de -404.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -22857.14 x -0.00035 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -22857.14 x -0.00088 = 20.11

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.11$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -22857.14
  • Taille de position USD -404.8
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.11
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5143

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.97 % 20.18 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.98 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
-8.03 $ -1.98
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0949 % 106 % 12
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01771 0.01736 0.01859 2.51 0.01279
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01771
  • Stop Loss: 0.01736
  • Take Profit: 0.01859

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01736 - 0.01771 = -0.00035

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01771 - 0.01859 = -0.00088

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00088 / -0.00035 = 2.5143

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.976% (0.0004)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.638% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.638% 0.8R -0.463% 0.2R 3.5× 24
4h +1.638% 0.8R -0.621% 0.3R 2.6× 48
8h +2.620% 1.3R -0.621% 0.3R 4.2× 96
12h ★ +2.620% 1.3R -5.042% 2.6R 0.5× 143
24h +2.620% 1.3R -5.161% 2.6R 0.5× 288
36h +2.620% 1.3R -5.161% 2.6R 0.5× 432
48h +2.620% 1.3R -5.161% 2.6R 0.5× 576
72h +2.620% 1.3R -5.161% 2.6R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 314 min MAE in 789 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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