Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 799.06 FARTCOIN at 0.189$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2141 (13.22 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1791 (5.29 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 04:39:46
hyperliquid
FARTCOIN
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 04:39
→ 14:15
· 9 hours
Position
Entry 0.1891$
Qty 799.0595 FARTCOIN
Size 151.1101$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2141 (+13.22%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.1791 (-5.29%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-5.29%
/ -7.99$
MAE -11.23%
MFE +1.48%
0.3R
expires
02 Oct 16:39
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171647)
#10 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 04:00
score du 02/10/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7200
Quality Score
0.640
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#10 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#10 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.87×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.49×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.14×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
13.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 04:31
02/10 04:31
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4635
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
57.1%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 79.7% |
| 1h | 52.5% |
| 4h | 35.6% |
| 24h | 78.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 64.4% | +0.11% |
| 4h | 50.9% | -0.38% |
| 24h | 28.8% | +1.56% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.146
Universe :
59
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 04:31
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4456
Score SMA
0.4857
Rank
#67
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1316
Rank Norm SMA
0.1322
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6100 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.29% · r3d: 5.37% · ema21_slope: 0.8991% · dist_ema21: 0.905% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4596 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.76% · rs_3d: 3.71% · beta_24h: 2.310 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2659 | rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: -0.448 · trend: -12.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6302 | ADX: 22.4 (weak) · Chop: 45.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.156% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6400
Score SMA
0.5125
Rank
#10
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7200
Rank Norm SMA
0.4039
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7488 | r1h: 0.360% · r4h: 4.681% · r1d: 5.94% · r3d: 10.10% · ema21_slope: 0.1845% · dist_ema21: 3.929% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6894 | rs_1h: 0.228% · rs_4h: 3.985% · rs_1d: 2.71% · rs_3d: 7.55% · beta_24h: 2.480 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2027 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.416 · trend: -27.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6834 | ADX: 22.6 (weak) · Chop: 38.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.914% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5697
Score SMA
0.4650
Rank
#23
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4545
Rank Norm SMA
0.2335
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7093 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.681% · r1d: 5.94% · r3d: 10.10% · ema21_slope: -0.0333% · dist_ema21: 4.596% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6740 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.985% · rs_1d: 2.71% · rs_3d: 7.55% · beta_24h: 2.492 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2755 | rvol_20: 0.88× · zscore_50: -0.251 · trend: -26.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4132 | ADX: 15.2 (weak) · Chop: 64.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7129 | ATR%: 3.861% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.288%
(0.0100)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.714% | 0.1R | -0.836% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.714% | 0.1R | -1.560% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.735% | 0.1R | -2.263% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.481% | 0.3R | -2.819% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.481% | 0.3R | -11.232% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.481% | 0.3R | -11.232% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.481% | 0.3R | -11.232% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.481% | 0.3R | -11.232% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.481% | 0.3R | -11.232% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 255 min
MAE in 605 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.69
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.65 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.81 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.59 | bull_high | +4.12% | +0.65 | 02/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.57 | bull_medium | +2.26% | +0.33 | 02/10 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.69 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.71% | +0.41 | 02/10 04:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197670
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.691 | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 8b 0.1ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.79 | 47% | ↑ +0.59 | above_value | +0.32 | — | #105816 | 0.65 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.81 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:25
|
|
4h
#200836
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.538 | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 4b 1.3ATR | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.88 | 59% | ↓ -0.35 | value | +2.15 | — | #107218 | 0.59 | bull_high | +4.12% | +0.65 |
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:16
|
|
1h
anchor #200834
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.536 | expansion | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 16b 2.0ATR | — | — | 0.41 | 31% | ↓ -0.35 | value | +2.15 | — | #107218 | 0.57 | bull_medium | +2.26% | +0.33 |
02/10 03:00
upd 02/10 04:16
|
|
15m
#201004
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.353 | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 3b 2.0ATR | — | near -0.5ATR | 1.96 | 90% | ↓ -0.17 | value | +2.15 | — | #107218 | 0.69 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.71% | +0.41 |
02/10 04:15
upd 02/10 04:32
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.355×ATR | p0 | +0.077×ATR | p5 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.284×ATR | p13 | +1.343×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 4.609×ATR | p95 | +2.003×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 1.847×ATR | p16 | +1.966×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8755
- reason: up_bo width=2.79×ATR dur=68b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 0.17909823
- tp_price: 0.21413942
- atr:
- score: 0.80546146643043
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T20:39:38.250200
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80546146643043
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2026
- obi_top10 : 0.2038
- micro_price : 0.18901045
- spread_pct : 0.026459
- mid_price : 0.188995
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.195
- obi_top5_std : 0.0164
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7079
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.18436
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.17454
- balance_zone_mid:
0.17945
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790686800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790928000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.7916
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
68
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8055
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790913600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.18436
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8676
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.3503
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
12
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00351767 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
68
inside_close_ratio
0.8676
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
1.3503
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:39 | 0.18911000 | +0.005% |
| 2 | 04:50 | 0.18911000 | +0.005% |
| 3 | 05:00 | 0.18911000 | +0.005% |
| 4 | 05:13 | 0.18835000 | -0.397% |
| 5 | 05:24 | 0.18835000 | -0.397% |
| 6 | 05:35 | 0.18835000 | -0.397% |
| 7 | 05:47 | 0.18775000 | -0.714% |
| 8 | 05:58 | 0.18775000 | -0.714% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7079ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
88%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.203
avg 0.195
± 0.016
OBI Top 10
0.204
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1890
Micro Price
0.1890
Spread
0.0265%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1891 | 0.1791 | 0.2141 | 2.5 | 0.115 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1891
- Stop Loss: 0.1791
- Take Profit: 0.2141
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1791 - 0.1891 = -0.01
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1891 - 0.2141 = -0.025
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.025 / -0.01 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 151.1101 | 100 | 799.0595 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.01
Taille de position = 8 / -0.01 = -800
Taille de position USD = -800 x 0.1891 = -151.28
Donc, tu peux acheter -800 avec un stoploss a 0.1791
Avec un position size USD de -151.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -800 x -0.01 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -800 x -0.025 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -800
- Taille de position USD -151.28
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 13.22 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.29 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -5.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.8012 % | 109.7 % | 17 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1891 | 0.1791 | 0.2141 | 2.5 | 0.115 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1891
- Stop Loss: 0.1791
- Take Profit: 0.2141
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1791 - 0.1891 = -0.01
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1891 - 0.2141 = -0.025
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.025 / -0.01 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.288%
(0.0100)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.714% | 0.1R | -0.836% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.714% | 0.1R | -1.560% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.735% | 0.1R | -2.263% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.481% | 0.3R | -2.819% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.481% | 0.3R | -11.232% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.481% | 0.3R | -11.232% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.481% | 0.3R | -11.232% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.481% | 0.3R | -11.232% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.481% | 0.3R | -11.232% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 255 min
MAE in 605 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.