Long Trade on SOL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2.3 SOL at 122.25$ per unit. Take profit: 130.9481 (7.12 %) & Stop Loss: 118.7708 (2.85 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 04:43:22
hyperliquid
SOL
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 04:43
→ 14:25
· 9 hours
Position
Entry 122.25$
Qty 2.2994 SOL
Size 281.0965$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 130.9481 (+7.12%)
TP $ 20$
SL 118.7708 (-2.85%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.85%
/ -8$
MAE -4.32%
MFE +0.88%
0.3R
expires
02 Oct 16:43
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171596)
#27 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 04:00
score du 02/10/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7993
Quality Score
0.571
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#27 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#27 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.38×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.09×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.76×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
287.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 04:30
02/10 04:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4635
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
57.1%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 79.7% |
| 1h | 52.5% |
| 4h | 35.6% |
| 24h | 78.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 64.4% | +0.11% |
| 4h | 50.9% | -0.38% |
| 24h | 28.8% | +1.56% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.146
Universe :
59
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 04:31
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5782
Score SMA
0.6273
Rank
#29
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6316
Rank Norm SMA
0.5551
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7326 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.25% · r3d: -0.42% · ema21_slope: 0.8933% · dist_ema21: 4.484% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5081 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.22% · rs_3d: -2.07% · beta_24h: 1.411 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2641 | rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: -0.469 · trend: -6.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8278 | ADX: 43.6 (trend) · Chop: 42.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5442 | ATR%: 4.367% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5713
Score SMA
0.5368
Rank
#27
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7993
Rank Norm SMA
0.5226
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5720 | r1h: -0.016% · r4h: 0.396% · r1d: 3.64% · r3d: 1.87% · ema21_slope: 0.1205% · dist_ema21: 1.601% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4871 | rs_1h: -0.148% · rs_4h: -0.300% · rs_1d: 0.41% · rs_3d: -0.68% · beta_24h: 1.449 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3668 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: -0.230 · trend: 50.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6971 | ADX: 23.7 (weak) · Chop: 32.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.952% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6185
Score SMA
0.5661
Rank
#15
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8312
Rank Norm SMA
0.5806
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6044 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.396% · r1d: 3.64% · r3d: 1.87% · ema21_slope: -0.0148% · dist_ema21: 2.211% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5067 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.300% · rs_1d: 0.41% · rs_3d: -0.68% · beta_24h: 1.335 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6452 | rvol_20: 2.20× · zscore_50: 1.213 · trend: 19.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5434 | ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 56.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.832% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.846%
(3.4792)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.564% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.736% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.777% | 0.3R | -0.736% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.883% | 0.3R | -2.315% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.883% | 0.3R | -4.319% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.883% | 0.3R | -4.319% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.883% | 0.3R | -4.319% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.883% | 0.3R | -4.319% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.883% | 0.3R | -4.319% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 291 min
MAE in 596 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.88 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.46 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.80 | bull_high | +4.12% | -0.07 | 02/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.83 | bull_medium | +2.26% | +0.06 | 02/10 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
67%
|
noisy_chop 51% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.85 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.71% | +0.06 | 02/10 04:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197482
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.585 | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 16b 0.9ATR | — | — | 0.74 | 49% | ↑ +0.34 | above_value | -1.98 | — | #105767 | 0.88 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.46 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:16
|
|
4h
#200722
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.607 | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 4b 1.2ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 2.20 | 91% | ↑ +0.25 | value | +0.21 | — | #107166 | 0.80 | bull_high | +4.12% | -0.07 |
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:11
|
|
1h
anchor #200721
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.669 | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 2b 1.7ATR | — | — | 0.80 | 62% | ↑ +0.35 | value | +0.21 | — | #107166 | 0.83 | bull_medium | +2.26% | +0.06 |
02/10 03:00
upd 02/10 04:11
|
|
15m
#200957
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.730 | expansion | bull_medium |
67%
|
noisy_chop 51% | mid 3b 1.5ATR | — | near 0.1ATR | 1.14 | 87% | ↓ -0.23 | value | +0.21 | — | #107166 | 0.85 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.71% | +0.06 |
02/10 04:15
upd 02/10 04:30
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 4.372×ATR | p63 | +0.873×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.252×ATR | p11 | +1.208×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.761×ATR | p12 | +1.727×ATR | p87 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.064×ATR | p31 | +1.456×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.6696
- reason: up_bo width=2.90×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 118.77076803
- tp_price: 130.94807994
- atr:
- score: 0.66959208349103
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T20:43:15.029869
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.66959208349103
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0329
- obi_top10 : -0.0329
- micro_price : 122.30305874
- spread_pct : 0.000818
- mid_price : 122.3035
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0942
- obi_top5_std : 0.0551
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6927
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
120.58
- balance_zone_bottom:
117.195
- balance_zone_mid:
118.8875
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790773200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790928000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8998
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
44
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6696
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790910000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
120.58
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7955
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
5
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4306
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 1.16731975 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.7955
bars_since_breakout
5
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4306
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:43 | 122.25000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:53 | 122.25000000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6927ms
Confidence avant OB :
67%
→
67%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.033
avg -0.094
± 0.055
OBI Top 10
-0.033
Microstructure
Mid Price
122.3035
Micro Price
122.3031
Spread
0.0008%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122.25 | 118.7708 | 130.9481 | 2.5 | 86.693 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 122.25
- Stop Loss: 118.7708
- Take Profit: 130.9481
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 118.7708 - 122.25 = -3.4792
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 122.25 - 130.9481 = -8.6981
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -8.6981 / -3.4792 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 281.0965 | 100 | 2.2994 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -3.4792
Taille de position = 8 / -3.4792 = -2.3
Taille de position USD = -2.3 x 122.25 = -281.18
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.3 avec un stoploss a 118.7708
Avec un position size USD de -281.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.3 x -3.4792 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.3 x -8.6981 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2.3
- Taille de position USD -281.18
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.12 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.85 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.85 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.8793 % | 101.17 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122.25 | 118.7708 | 130.9481 | 2.5 | 86.693 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 122.25
- Stop Loss: 118.7708
- Take Profit: 130.9481
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 118.7708 - 122.25 = -3.4792
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 122.25 - 130.9481 = -8.6981
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -8.6981 / -3.4792 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.846%
(3.4792)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.564% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.736% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.777% | 0.3R | -0.736% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.883% | 0.3R | -2.315% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.883% | 0.3R | -4.319% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.883% | 0.3R | -4.319% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.883% | 0.3R | -4.319% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.883% | 0.3R | -4.319% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.883% | 0.3R | -4.319% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 291 min
MAE in 596 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.