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Short Trade on APEX

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02 Oct 2026 at 05:15:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on APEX (momentum_rotation_score)

With 382.01 APEX at 0.256$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2773 (8.19 %)

APEX SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 05:15 → 08:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.2563$

Qty 382.0127 APEX

Size 97.9213$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 97.91$

SL 0.2773 (-8.19%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR

Status win PnL +2.43% / +2.38$ MAE -1.08% MFE +2.58% 0.3R expires 02 Oct 08:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171816)
#71 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1070

Quality Score
0.424
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#71 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#71 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.26×ATR
4h near 0.39×ATR
1d clear 1.83×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.01
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 05:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

02/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/10 04:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4637
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical bull

0.90

expansion

-1

Micro bull

0.90

transition

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 66.7%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 21.3%
1h 60.7%
4h 49.2%
24h 73.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 18.0% -0.06%
4h 59.0% -0.01%
24h 32.8% +2.15%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.173
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 05:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4844
Score SMA
0.5444
Rank
#59 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2368
Rank Norm SMA
0.4579
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5539 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.66% · r3d: -14.86% · ema21_slope: 0.8229% · dist_ema21: -1.716%
Force Relative 25% 0.1690 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -15.13% · rs_3d: -16.51% · beta_24h: 1.043
Volume 20% 0.9277 rvol_20: 3.07× · zscore_50: 1.916 · trend: 131.67%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6032 ADX: 19.6 (weak) · Chop: 45.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.035% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.4242
Score SMA
0.5275
Rank
#71 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1070
Rank Norm SMA
0.4983
Calculé le
02/10/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2563 r1h: 2.436% · r4h: -1.091% · r1d: -9.99% · r3d: -11.45% · ema21_slope: -0.5702% · dist_ema21: -2.175%
Force Relative 25% 0.3379 rs_1h: 2.276% · rs_4h: -0.613% · rs_1d: -13.20% · rs_3d: -14.30% · beta_24h: 2.667
Volume 20% 0.3624 rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: 0.223 · trend: 29.79%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6505 ADX: 31.8 (trend) · Chop: 52.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.893% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4099
Score SMA
0.5516
Rank
#76 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0455
Rank Norm SMA
0.5742
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4376 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.929% · r1d: -14.16% · r3d: -14.71% · ema21_slope: -0.0153% · dist_ema21: -8.495%
Force Relative 25% 0.1749 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.625% · rs_1d: -17.38% · rs_3d: -17.26% · beta_24h: 1.123
Volume 20% 0.7209 rvol_20: 1.86× · zscore_50: 1.538 · trend: 102.65%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6048 ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 51.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.013% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.194% (0.0210)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.311% 0.2R -1.077% 0.1R 1.2× 12
2h +1.311% 0.2R -1.077% 0.1R 1.2× 24
3h ★ +2.583% 0.3R -1.077% 0.1R 2.4× 36
4h +2.645% 0.3R -1.077% 0.1R 2.5× 48
8h +2.751% 0.3R -1.077% 0.1R 2.6× 96
12h +6.418% 0.8R -1.077% 0.1R 6.0× 144
24h +11.647% 1.4R -1.077% 0.1R 10.8× 288
48h +13.266% 1.6R -1.077% 0.1R 12.3× 576
72h +13.266% 1.6R -1.077% 0.1R 12.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1419 min MAE in 34 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.12
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.41 bull_high +13.92% +0.00 30/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 41% mid near 0.4ATR — 0.30 bull_high +4.12% -0.96 02/10 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.34 bull_medium +2.38% -0.90 02/10 04:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 44% early — near 0.1ATR 0.21 bull_low +1.45% +0.06 02/10 04:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197702
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.667 expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 36% early 23b -0.1ATR — — 3.07 98% ↑ +0.78 below_value -4.62 — #105831 0.41 bull_high +13.92% +0.00
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
4h
#200875
 ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.443 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 41% mid 7b -1.5ATR near 0.4ATR — 1.86 98% ↑ +0.22 below_value -5.19 — #107231 0.30 bull_high +4.12% -0.96
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:18
1h anchor
#201247
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.501 normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 43% early 3b -0.8ATR — — 0.76 82% ↑ +0.44 below_value -4.36 — #107465 0.34 bull_medium +2.38% -0.90
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 05:11
15m
#201170
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.649 compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 44% early 6b 1.1ATR — near 0.1ATR 0.16 22% ↓ -0.31 below_value -5.19 — #107231 0.21 bull_low +1.45% +0.06
02/10 04:45
upd 02/10 05:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 23b — 2.452×ATR p0 -0.143×ATR p11
4h ↓ down mid 7b — 3.165×ATR p35 -1.533×ATR p79
1h ↓ down early 3b — 0.76×ATR p0 -0.815×ATR p45
15m ↑ up early 6b — 2.298×ATR p30 +1.118×ATR p59

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.27727171
  2. atr: 0.00698057
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-02T12:15:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 78
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.2541
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2563 0.2773 0.1825
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2563
  • Stop Loss: 0.2773
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2773 - 0.2563 = 0.021

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2563 - = 0.2563

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2563 / 0.021 = 12.2048

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
97.9213 97.9213 382.0127 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.021

Taille de position = 8 / 0.021 = 380.95

Taille de position USD = 380.95 x 0.2563 = 97.64

Donc, tu peux acheter 380.95 avec un stoploss a 0.2773

Avec un position size USD de 97.64$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 380.95 x 0.021 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 380.95 x 0.2563 = 97.64

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 97.64$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 380.95
  • Taille de position USD 97.64
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 97.64
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 12.2048

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 97.91 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.19 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
2.38 $ 2.43
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0769 % 13.14 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2563 0.2773 0.1825
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2563
  • Stop Loss: 0.2773
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2773 - 0.2563 = 0.021

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2563 - = 0.2563

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2563 / 0.021 = 12.2048

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.194% (0.0210)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.311% 0.2R -1.077% 0.1R 1.2× 12
2h +1.311% 0.2R -1.077% 0.1R 1.2× 24
3h ★ +2.583% 0.3R -1.077% 0.1R 2.4× 36
4h +2.645% 0.3R -1.077% 0.1R 2.5× 48
8h +2.751% 0.3R -1.077% 0.1R 2.6× 96
12h +6.418% 0.8R -1.077% 0.1R 6.0× 144
24h +11.647% 1.4R -1.077% 0.1R 10.8× 288
48h +13.266% 1.6R -1.077% 0.1R 12.3× 576
72h +13.266% 1.6R -1.077% 0.1R 12.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1419 min MAE in 34 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.