Long Trade on XPL

Previous Trade Next Trade

02 Oct 2026 at 05:14:18 hyperliquid

Long Trade on XPL (BosPullback)

With 2872.78 XPL at 0.0969$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1038 (7.15 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09409 (2.87 %)

XPL LONG BosPullback hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 05:14 → 14:25 · 9 hours

Position

Entry 0.09687$

Qty 2872.779 XPL

Size 278.2861$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1038 (+7.15%)

TP $ 19.91$

SL 0.09409 (-2.87%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 2.49

Status loss PnL -2.87% / -7.99$ MAE -0.13% MFE +4.44% 1.6R

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171812)

#72 / 77

OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2965

Quality Score

0.418

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#72 / 77

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

86 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.87 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#72 / 77

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

86 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.87 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.16×ATR
4h	clear	2.08×ATR
1d	near	-0.20×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

24.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 05:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 02/10 04:00 Score : +2 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

02/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1)

02/10 04:00

Score : +2 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime
	1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4637

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion +2
Operational	bull 0.55	expansion +1
Tactical	bull 0.90	expansion +1
Micro	bull 0.90	transition

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +4

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 66.7%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	21.3%
1h	60.7%
4h	49.2%
24h	73.8%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	18.0%	-0.06%
4h	59.0%	-0.01%
24h	32.8%	+2.15%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.173

Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 02/10 05:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4497

Score SMA

0.5883

Rank

#65 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1579

Rank Norm SMA

0.3978

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5845	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.32% · r3d: -2.19% · ema21_slope: 0.8933% · dist_ema21: 0.215%
Force Relative	25%	0.4075	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.15% · rs_3d: -3.84% · beta_24h: 1.526
Volume	20%	0.4022	rvol_20: 0.81× · zscore_50: 0.261 · trend: 51.36%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6139	ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 45.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 11.560% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 05:00

Score brut

0.4183

Score SMA

0.4869

Rank

#72 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2965

Rank Norm SMA

0.3039

Calculé le

02/10/2026 05:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4068	r1h: -1.259% · r4h: -2.469% · r1d: -1.23% · r3d: -4.47% · ema21_slope: 0.0655% · dist_ema21: -0.263%
Force Relative	25%	0.2831	rs_1h: -1.418% · rs_4h: -1.991% · rs_1d: -4.43% · rs_3d: -7.31% · beta_24h: 1.708
Volume	20%	0.2853	rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.267 · trend: -24.83%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3983	ADX: 11.3 (weak) · Chop: 62.4 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.704% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.3620

Score SMA

0.4500

Rank

#77 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0195

Rank Norm SMA

0.2048

Calculé le

02/10/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4412	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.327% · r1d: 1.27% · r3d: -3.20% · ema21_slope: -0.2555% · dist_ema21: -0.080%
Force Relative	25%	0.3011	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.369% · rs_1d: -1.96% · rs_3d: -5.74% · beta_24h: 2.047
Volume	20%	0.1950	rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: -0.793 · trend: -43.30%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3994	ADX: 21.6 (weak) · Chop: 72.9 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.5541	ATR%: 4.338% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.870% (0.0028)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.545%	0.9R	-0.133%	0.1R	19.1×	12
2h	+4.294%	1.5R	-0.133%	0.1R	32.2×	24
4h ★	+4.439%	1.6R	-0.133%	0.1R	33.3×	48
8h	+6.978%	2.4R	-0.400%	0.1R	17.5×	96
12h	+6.978%	2.4R	-7.844%	2.7R	0.9×	144
24h	+6.978%	2.4R	-7.844%	2.7R	0.9×	288
48h	+6.978%	2.4R	-7.844%	2.7R	0.9×	576
72h	+6.978%	2.4R	-7.844%	2.7R	0.9×	864

⏱ MFE in 325 min MAE in 570 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 6.62

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	near -0.2ATR	0.54	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.54	30/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	range_high	36%	noisy_chop 36%	early	—	—	0.48	bull_high	+4.12%	-0.36	02/10 00:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 33%	early	—	near -0.2ATR	0.47	bull_medium	+2.38%	-0.21	02/10 04:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	range_high	37%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	—	—	0.65	bull_low	+1.45%	-0.18	02/10 04:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197694	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.665	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 39%	early 6b 0.0ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.81	88%	↑ +0.84	below_value	-8.06	—	#105827	0.54	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.54	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:26
4h #200863	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.614	compression	range_high	36%	noisy_chop 36%	early 9b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.74	62%	↓ -0.24	above_value	+0.06	—	#107227	0.48	bull_high	+4.12%	-0.36	02/10 00:00 upd 02/10 04:17
1h anchor #201243	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.618	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 33%	early 4b -0.2ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.93	33%	↓ -0.40	above_value	-0.17	—	#107461	0.47	bull_medium	+2.38%	-0.21	02/10 04:00 upd 02/10 05:11
15m #201166	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.588	expansion	range_high	37%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 3b -1.2ATR	—	—	0.95	54%	↔ -0.10	above_value	+0.06	—	#107227	0.65	bull_low	+1.45%	-0.18	02/10 04:45 upd 02/10 05:03
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	6b	—	2.658×ATR	p12	+0.016×ATR	p1
4h	↑ up	early	9b	—	1.709×ATR	p0	-0.02×ATR	p2
1h	↓ down	early	4b	—	1.589×ATR	p8	-0.174×ATR	p12
15m	↓ down	mid	3b	—	2.087×ATR	p24	-1.161×ATR	p61

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BosPullback - BUY

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
confidence: 0.86
reason: bos_pullback_long|score=3|shallow|bars_since_bos=5|retests=1|break_atr=0.74|prog=0.54|zone=tested
stop_price: 0.09408524
tp_price: 0.10383189
atr:
score: 0.86
confidence_pre_ob: 0.86

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
timeframe : 1h
state : pullback_up
confidence : 0.389
trend_strength : 0.0267
trend_persistence : 0.5
high_delta_atr : 0.8421
low_delta_atr : 0.661
current_swing_amp_atr : 2.8074
current_swing_speed : 0.40106
current_swing_efficiency : 0.4402
retracement_ratio : 1.3875
extension_ratio : 1.0639
compression_score : 1.1383
swing_entropy : 1
breakout_strength : -0.547
distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.3891
distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.6259
pivot_count : 27
swing_count : 26
market_structure_v2
last_pivot_kind: high
last_pivot_price:
```
0.099057
```
last_pivot_index:
```
144
```
trend_analyzer_1h
direction : neutral
phase : transition
structure : bullish_transition
breakout_state : fresh_breakout
quality : volatile
strength : moderate
exhaustion : low
momentum_type : grind
volatility_regime : compression
htf_context : unknown
risk_state : discount
confidence : 0.391
state : neutral_transition_grind
trend_analyzer_1h
scores_direction_score:
```
0.5718
```
scores_strength_score:
```
0.5029
```
scores_quality_score:
```
0.3384
```
scores_cleanliness_score:
```
0.2244
```
scores_structural_quality:
```
0.4317
```
scores_pullback_score:
```
1
```
scores_exhaustion_score:
```
0.2526
```
scores_continuation_score:
```
0.5279
```
scores_structure_score:
```
0.5697
```
scores_volatility_expansion:
```
0.0888
```
scores_momentum_type_score:
```
0.5819
```
scores_risk_score:
```
0.2813
```
trend_analyzer_1h
features_ema20_slope:
```
0.0406
```
features_ema50_slope:
```
0.0139
```
features_ema_alignment_score:
```
0.6667
```
features_price_vs_ema20:
```
0.0714
```
features_price_vs_ema50:
```
0.0486
```
features_recent_hh_hl_score:
```
0.35
```
features_recent_lh_ll_score:
```
0.65
```
features_last_bos_direction:
```
1
```
features_bars_since_last_bos:
```
5
```
features_candle_overlap_ratio:
```
1
```
features_wick_ratio:
```
0.5512
```
features_trend_efficiency:
```
0.4402
```
features_impulse_strength:
```
2.8074
```
features_directional_candle_ratio:
```
0.55
```
features_pullback_depth_ratio:
```
1.3875
```
features_pullback_depth_atr:
```
2.4532
```
features_extension_from_mean:
```
0.0486
```
features_impulse_decay_score:
```
0.468
```
features_opposing_wick_pressure:
```
0.2447
```
features_volatility_percentile:
```
0
```
features_volatility_delta:
```
-0.1668
```
features_body_ratio:
```
0.4681
```
features_closes_position_ratio:
```
0.5456
```
features_slope_consistency:
```
0.6424
```
features_range_position:
```
0.2813
```
features_distance_to_recent_high:
```
-11.2563
```
features_distance_to_recent_low:
```
4.4049
```
features_had_recent_range:
```
1
```
features_had_recent_compression:
```
0
```
features_post_break_hl_count:
```
0
```
features_htf_trend_strength:
features_htf_compression_score:
features_htf_entropy_score:
features_htf_hh_hl_score:
features_htf_state_str:
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.0516
obi_top10 : 0.0651
micro_price : 0.09688788
spread_pct : 0.041292
mid_price : 0.09689
bid_wall_price :
bid_wall_size :
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 0.0982
ask_wall_size : 677191.2
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.109
obi_top5_std : 0.0644
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7022
aggregation_tick : 0.0001
error :
strategy_details
strategy : bos_pullback
ms_state_1h : pullback_up
strategy_details

pivots_1h_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-27 15:00:00
    [price] => 0.10327
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-28 00:00:00
    [price] => 0.10935
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-28 15:00:00
    [price] => 0.095748
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-28 18:00:00
    [price] => 0.10212
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-29 02:00:00
    [price] => 0.093853
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-29 11:00:00
    [price] => 0.1027
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-29 20:00:00
    [price] => 0.094458
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 01:00:00
    [price] => 0.098011
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 07:00:00
    [price] => 0.094087
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 13:00:00
    [price] => 0.10023
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 14:00:00
    [price] => 0.092604
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 16:00:00
    [price] => 0.096598
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-09-30 18:00:00
    [price] => 0.090434
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 06:00:00
    [price] => 0.098753
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 07:00:00
    [price] => 0.095
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 09:00:00
    [price] => 0.09809
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 15:00:00
    [price] => 0.09319
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_17:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 18:00:00
    [price] => 0.097713
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_18:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 21:00:00
    [price] => 0.094245
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_19:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 04:00:00
    [price] => 0.099057
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

strategy_details

pivots_15m_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 09:15:00
    [price] => 0.09809
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 10:00:00
    [price] => 0.09448
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 11:45:00
    [price] => 0.096516
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 15:00:00
    [price] => 0.09319
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 16:30:00
    [price] => 0.095652
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 16:45:00
    [price] => 0.093695
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 18:00:00
    [price] => 0.097713
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-01 21:30:00
    [price] => 0.094245
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 00:15:00
    [price] => 0.096655
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 01:15:00
    [price] => 0.095029
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 04:30:00
    [price] => 0.099057
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 05:30:00
    [price] => 0.09705
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 06:30:00
    [price] => 0.098328
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 07:30:00
    [price] => 0.096751
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-10-02 08:00:00
    [price] => 0.098072
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

bos_level_long : 0.097713
bos_level_short : 0
strategy_details
levels_hl_price:
```
0.094245
```
levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-10-01 21:00:00
levels_hh_price:
```
0.099057
```
levels_lh_price:
```
0.099057
```
levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-10-02 04:00:00
levels_ll_price:
```
0.094245
```
strategy_details
demand_zone_top:
```
0.093895
```
demand_zone_bottom:
```
0.09319
```
demand_zone_mid:
```
0.0935425
```
demand_zone_freshness: tested
demand_zone_strength:
```
0.5416
```
strategy_details
supply_zone_top:
```
0.10023
```
supply_zone_bottom:
```
0.096189
```
supply_zone_mid:
```
0.0982095
```
supply_zone_freshness: weak
supply_zone_strength:
```
1.0036
```
regimes
1H : bear_high
15m : range_high

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↑ pullback_up

Confidence 39%

Trend

Trend Strength

0.027

Persistence

0.500

High Δ ATR

0.842

Low Δ ATR

0.661

Current Swing

Amp ATR

2.807

Speed

0.401

Efficiency

0.440

Structure

Retracement

1.388

Extension

1.064

Compression

1.138

Entropy

1.000

Breakout Str.

-0.547

Dist High ATR

-1.389

Dist Low ATR

1.626

27 pivots · 26 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 0.0991 @ bar 144

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_transition_grind

Confidence 39%

Context

phase transition

structure bullish_transition

breakout fresh_breakout

quality volatile

strength moderate

exhaustion low

momentum grind

volatility compression

risk discount

htf unknown

Scores

0.572

0.503

0.338

0.224

0.432

1.000

0.253

0.528

0.570

0.089

0.582

0.281

Features

Ema20 Slope

0.041

Ema50 Slope

0.014

Ema Alignment Score

0.667

Price Vs Ema20

0.071

Price Vs Ema50

0.049

Recent Hh Hl Score

0.350

Recent Lh Ll Score

0.650

Last Bos Direction

1.000

Bars Since Last Bos

5.000

Candle Overlap Ratio

1.000

Wick Ratio

0.551

Trend Efficiency

0.440

Impulse Strength

2.807

Directional Candle Ratio

0.550

Pullback Depth Ratio

1.388

Pullback Depth Atr

2.453

Extension From Mean

0.049

Impulse Decay Score

0.468

Opposing Wick Pressure

0.245

Volatility Percentile

0.000

Volatility Delta

-0.167

Body Ratio

0.468

Closes Position Ratio

0.546

Slope Consistency

0.642

Range Position

0.281

Distance To Recent High

-11.256

Distance To Recent Low

4.405

Had Recent Range

1.000

Had Recent Compression

0.000

Post Break Hl Count

0.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7022ms Confidence avant OB : 86% → 86%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.052

avg 0.109 ± 0.064

OBI Top 10 0.065

Microstructure

Mid Price

0.0969

Micro Price

0.0969

Spread

0.0413%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

0.0982

Size

677,191.20

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.09687	0.09409	0.1038	2.49	0.05101

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.09687
Stop Loss: 0.09409
Take Profit: 0.1038

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.09409 - 0.09687 = -0.00278
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.09687 - 0.1038 = -0.00693
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00693 / -0.00278 = 2.4928

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
278.2861	100	2872.779	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.00278

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00278 = -2877.7

Taille de position USD = -2877.7 x 0.09687 = -278.76

Donc, tu peux acheter -2877.7 avec un stoploss a 0.09409

Avec un position size USD de -278.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2877.7 x -0.00278 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2877.7 x -0.00693 = 19.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.94$

Résumé

Taille de position -2877.7
Taille de position USD -278.76
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 19.94
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4928

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
7.15 %	19.91 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.87 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
-7.99 $	-2.87

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.0092 %	104.86 %	8

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.09687	0.09409	0.1038	2.49	0.05101

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.09687
Stop Loss: 0.09409
Take Profit: 0.1038

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.09409 - 0.09687 = -0.00278
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.09687 - 0.1038 = -0.00693
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00693 / -0.00278 = 2.4928

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.870% (0.0028)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.545%	0.9R	-0.133%	0.1R	19.1×	12
2h	+4.294%	1.5R	-0.133%	0.1R	32.2×	24
4h ★	+4.439%	1.6R	-0.133%	0.1R	33.3×	48
8h	+6.978%	2.4R	-0.400%	0.1R	17.5×	96
12h	+6.978%	2.4R	-7.844%	2.7R	0.9×	144
24h	+6.978%	2.4R	-7.844%	2.7R	0.9×	288
48h	+6.978%	2.4R	-7.844%	2.7R	0.9×	576
72h	+6.978%	2.4R	-7.844%	2.7R	0.9×	864

⏱ MFE in 325 min MAE in 570 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.