02 Oct 2026 at 05:15:11 hyperliquid

Long Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 5.43 VVV at 29.439$ per unit. Take profit: 30.175 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 27.9665 (5 %)

VVV LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 05:15 → 05:55 · 39 minutes

Position

Entry 29.439$

Qty 5.4331 VVV

Size 159.9456$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 30.175 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4$

SL 27.9665 (-5%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.5

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4$ MAE -0.97% MFE +3.02% 0.6R expires 02 Oct 11:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171808)
#2 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6382

Quality Score
0.791
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.30×ATR
4h clear 1.10×ATR
1d clear 2.00×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.01
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
15.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 05:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 04:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4637
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Micro bull

0.90

transition

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 66.7%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 21.3%
1h 60.7%
4h 49.2%
24h 73.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 18.0% -0.06%
4h 59.0% -0.01%
24h 32.8% +2.15%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.173
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 05:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4096
Score SMA
0.5161
Rank
#73 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0526
Rank Norm SMA
0.1816
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4926 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.50% · r3d: -5.84% · ema21_slope: 1.4000% · dist_ema21: -1.498%
Force Relative 25% 0.3756 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.97% · rs_3d: -7.49% · beta_24h: 1.118
Volume 20% 0.2072 rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.331 · trend: -28.07%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8434 ADX: 54.9 (trend) · Chop: 52.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.037% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.7909
Score SMA
0.4803
Rank
#2 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6382
Rank Norm SMA
0.2988
Calculé le
02/10/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7249 r1h: 3.724% · r4h: 6.236% · r1d: 4.82% · r3d: 4.28% · ema21_slope: 0.0528% · dist_ema21: 7.028%
Force Relative 25% 0.7821 rs_1h: 3.565% · rs_4h: 6.714% · rs_1d: 1.61% · rs_3d: 1.43% · beta_24h: 1.869
Volume 20% 0.9914 rvol_20: 3.94× · zscore_50: 2.871 · trend: 114.41%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7295 ADX: 27.5 (trend) · Chop: 24.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.091% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5188
Score SMA
0.4038
Rank
#40 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2662
Rank Norm SMA
0.0912
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6050 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 6.328% · r1d: 2.63% · r3d: 0.75% · ema21_slope: -0.1505% · dist_ema21: 3.024%
Force Relative 25% 0.5152 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 5.632% · rs_1d: -0.59% · rs_3d: -1.80% · beta_24h: 2.787
Volume 20% 0.3532 rvol_20: 1.21× · zscore_50: 0.038 · trend: -22.81%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4685 ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 66.2 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.6757 ATR%: 3.973% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.002% (1.4725)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.663% 0.5R -0.968% 0.2R 2.8× 12
2h +3.016% 0.6R -0.968% 0.2R 3.1× 24
4h +3.016% 0.6R -0.968% 0.2R 3.1× 48
6h ★ +3.016% 0.6R -0.968% 0.2R 3.1× 72
8h +3.016% 0.6R -1.634% 0.3R 1.9× 96
12h +3.016% 0.6R -5.822% 1.2R 0.5× 144
24h +3.016% 0.6R -7.871% 1.6R 0.4× 288
48h +3.016% 0.6R -7.871% 1.6R 0.4× 576
72h +4.803% 1.0R -7.871% 1.6R 0.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 94 min MAE in 1344 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.48
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.37 bull_high +13.92% +0.17 30/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 37% early near 0.3ATR — 0.29 bull_high +4.12% -0.13 02/10 00:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 42% late — near 0.3ATR 0.38 bull_medium +2.38% +0.37 02/10 04:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
70%
choppy 53% late — — 0.57 bull_low +1.45% +0.71 02/10 04:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197679
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.604 normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 35% early 10b -0.1ATR — — 0.49 63% ↓ -0.19 value -2.39 — #105820 0.37 bull_high +13.92% +0.17
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:25
4h
#200848
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.561 normal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 37% early 3b 0.8ATR near 0.3ATR — 1.21 57% ↓ -0.27 value +1.47 — #107222 0.29 bull_high +4.12% -0.13
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:17
1h anchor
#201238
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.516 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 42% late 13b 3.1ATR — near 0.3ATR 3.94 99% ↑ +0.33 value +3.04 — #107456 0.38 bull_medium +2.38% +0.37
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 05:11
15m
#201163
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced 0.575 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
70%
choppy 53% late 1b 3.0ATR — — 1.87 95% ↑ +0.37 value +1.47 — #107222 0.57 bull_low +1.45% +0.71
02/10 04:45
upd 02/10 05:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 10b — 2.928×ATR p22 -0.118×ATR p6
4h ↑ up early 3b — 2.199×ATR p11 +0.825×ATR p53
1h ↑ up late 13b — 5.745×ATR p98 +3.128×ATR p98
15m ↓ down late 1b — 1.65×ATR p3 +2.977×ATR p94

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 27.96654895
  2. tp_price: 30.174975
  3. atr: 0.58898042
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T15:15:11+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 7
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.7341
  4. delta_2h: 0.1497
  5. extension_atr: 2.95
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.6382
  9. confidence: 0.972

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
29.439 27.9665 30.175 0.5 20.612
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 29.439
  • Stop Loss: 27.9665
  • Take Profit: 30.175

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 27.9665 - 29.439 = -1.4725

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 29.439 - 30.175 = -0.736

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.736 / -1.4725 = 0.4998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
159.9456 100 5.4331 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.4725

Taille de position = 8 / -1.4725 = -5.43

Taille de position USD = -5.43 x 29.439 = -159.85

Donc, tu peux acheter -5.43 avec un stoploss a 27.9665

Avec un position size USD de -159.85$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -5.43 x -1.4725 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -5.43 x -0.736 = 4

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -5.43
  • Taille de position USD -159.85
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
4 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9681 % 19.35 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
29.439 27.9665 30.175 0.5 20.612
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 29.439
  • Stop Loss: 27.9665
  • Take Profit: 30.175

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 27.9665 - 29.439 = -1.4725

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 29.439 - 30.175 = -0.736

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.736 / -1.4725 = 0.4998

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.002% (1.4725)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.663% 0.5R -0.968% 0.2R 2.8× 12
2h +3.016% 0.6R -0.968% 0.2R 3.1× 24
4h +3.016% 0.6R -0.968% 0.2R 3.1× 48
6h ★ +3.016% 0.6R -0.968% 0.2R 3.1× 72
8h +3.016% 0.6R -1.634% 0.3R 1.9× 96
12h +3.016% 0.6R -5.822% 1.2R 0.5× 144
24h +3.016% 0.6R -7.871% 1.6R 0.4× 288
48h +3.016% 0.6R -7.871% 1.6R 0.4× 576
72h +4.803% 1.0R -7.871% 1.6R 0.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 94 min MAE in 1344 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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