Long Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 52158.04 kBONK at 0.00394$ per unit. Take profit: 0.004037 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.003786 (3.88 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 05:15:12
hyperliquid
kBONK
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 05:15
→ 11:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.003939$
Qty 52158.0389 kBONK
Size 205.4505$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.004037 (+2.49%)
TP $ 5.11$
SL 0.003786 (-3.88%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.64
Status
loss
PnL
-2.79%
/ -5.74$
MAE -3.61%
MFE +0.15%
0.0R
expires
02 Oct 11:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171782)
#17 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 05:00
score du 02/10/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7040
Quality Score
0.608
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#17 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#17 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.42×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.17×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.09×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.01
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 05:00
02/10 05:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4637
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
66.7%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 21.3% |
| 1h | 60.7% |
| 4h | 49.2% |
| 24h | 73.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 18.0% | -0.06% |
| 4h | 59.0% | -0.01% |
| 24h | 32.8% | +2.15% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.173
Universe :
61
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 05:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5831
Score SMA
0.6178
Rank
#26
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6711
Rank Norm SMA
0.5215
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7892 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.05% · r3d: 7.46% · ema21_slope: 1.5857% · dist_ema21: 10.775% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5803 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.52% · rs_3d: 5.80% · beta_24h: 1.891 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4165 | rvol_20: 0.98× · zscore_50: 0.257 · trend: 41.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7866 | ADX: 34.4 (trend) · Chop: 37.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.587% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.6078
Score SMA
0.5377
Rank
#17
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7040
Rank Norm SMA
0.5110
Calculé le
02/10/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6938 | r1h: 0.407% · r4h: 0.945% · r1d: 4.88% · r3d: 9.26% · ema21_slope: 0.1536% · dist_ema21: 3.237% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6144 | rs_1h: 0.247% · rs_4h: 1.423% · rs_1d: 1.68% · rs_3d: 6.42% · beta_24h: 1.698 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2679 | rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: -0.311 · trend: -36.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6168 | ADX: 21.0 (weak) · Chop: 45.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.618% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6242
Score SMA
0.5678
Rank
#13
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8377
Rank Norm SMA
0.5730
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8450 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.361% · r1d: 5.33% · r3d: 8.46% · ema21_slope: 0.2504% · dist_ema21: 4.970% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6674 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.665% · rs_1d: 2.10% · rs_3d: 5.91% · beta_24h: 1.619 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2038 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.367 · trend: -40.07% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5367 | ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 61.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8254 | ATR%: 3.524% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.884%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.152% | 0.0R | -0.787% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.152% | 0.0R | -1.346% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.152% | 0.0R | -2.158% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.152% | 0.0R | -3.605% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.152% | 0.0R | -3.630% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.152% | 0.0R | -10.510% | 2.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.152% | 0.0R | -10.510% | 2.7R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.152% | 0.0R | -10.510% | 2.7R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.732% | 1.0R | -10.510% | 2.7R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 4 min
MAE in 599 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.12
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.67 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.98 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.12% | +0.70 | 02/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.56 | bull_medium | +2.38% | +0.29 | 02/10 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.57 | bull_low | +1.45% | +0.29 | 02/10 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197615
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.792 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 8b 1.0ATR | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.98 | 83% | ↑ +0.89 | above_value | +0.76 | — | #105796 | 0.67 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.98 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:22
|
|
4h
#200782
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.591 | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 4b 1.3ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.59 | 67% | ↓ -0.30 | above_value | +3.43 | — | #107196 | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.12% | +0.70 |
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:14
|
|
1h
anchor #201212
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.723 | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 3b 2.2ATR | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.94 | 55% | ↓ -0.28 | above_value | +3.19 | — | #107430 | 0.56 | bull_medium | +2.38% | +0.29 |
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 05:09
|
|
15m
#201140
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | 0.388 | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 5b 2.0ATR | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.57 | 42% | ↓ -0.41 | above_value | +3.43 | — | #107196 | 0.57 | bull_low | +1.45% | +0.29 |
02/10 04:45
upd 02/10 05:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.4×ATR | p0 | +0.986×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.105×ATR | p0 | +1.331×ATR | p71 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 0.36×ATR | p0 | +2.196×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 2.621×ATR | p46 | +1.955×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.003939 | 0.003786 | 0.004037 | 0.64 | 0.002807 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.003939
- Stop Loss: 0.003786
- Take Profit: 0.004037
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.003786 - 0.003939 = -0.000153
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.003939 - 0.004037 = -9.8E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.8E-5 / -0.000153 = 0.6405
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 205.4505 | 100 | 52158.0389 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.000153
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000153 = -52287.58
Taille de position USD = -52287.58 x 0.003939 = -205.96
Donc, tu peux acheter -52287.58 avec un stoploss a 0.003786
Avec un position size USD de -205.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -52287.58 x -0.000153 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -52287.58 x -9.8E-5 = 5.12
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.12$
Résumé
- Taille de position -52287.58
- Taille de position USD -205.96
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.12
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6405
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 5.11 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.88 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.74 $ | -2.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.605 % | 92.81 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.003939 | 0.003786 | 0.004037 | 0.64 | 0.002807 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.003939
- Stop Loss: 0.003786
- Take Profit: 0.004037
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.003786 - 0.003939 = -0.000153
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.003939 - 0.004037 = -9.8E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.8E-5 / -0.000153 = 0.6405
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.884%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.152% | 0.0R | -0.787% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.152% | 0.0R | -1.346% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.152% | 0.0R | -2.158% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.152% | 0.0R | -3.605% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.152% | 0.0R | -3.630% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.152% | 0.0R | -10.510% | 2.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.152% | 0.0R | -10.510% | 2.7R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.152% | 0.0R | -10.510% | 2.7R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.732% | 1.0R | -10.510% | 2.7R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 4 min
MAE in 599 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.