Long Trade on ZRO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 59.04 ZRO at 1.874$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2126 (18.08 %) & Stop Loss: 1.7383 (7.23 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 06:07:18
hyperliquid
ZRO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 06:07
→ 14:35
· 8 hours
Position
Entry 1.8738$
Qty 59.0392 ZRO
Size 110.6277$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 2.2126 (+18.08%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1.7383 (-7.23%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-7.23%
/ -8$
MAE -7.50%
MFE +7.13%
1.0R
expires
02 Oct 18:07
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171851)
#11 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 06:00
score du 02/10/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9081
Quality Score
0.631
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#11 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#11 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.61×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.86×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
23.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 06:00
02/10 06:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4641
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
62.9%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 66.1% |
| 1h | 41.9% |
| 4h | 64.5% |
| 24h | 80.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 64.5% | +0.06% |
| 4h | 46.8% | +0.43% |
| 24h | 38.7% | +2.13% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.141
Universe :
62
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 06:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8009
Score SMA
0.7718
Rank
#5
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9474
Rank Norm SMA
0.8392
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9791 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.54% · r3d: 15.59% · ema21_slope: 3.2315% · dist_ema21: 27.930% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8920 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.07% · rs_3d: 13.94% · beta_24h: 0.135 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7432 | rvol_20: 1.96× · zscore_50: 1.640 · trend: 134.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9035 | ADX: 48.4 (trend) · Chop: 27.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.168% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.6312
Score SMA
—
Rank
—
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9081
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
02/10/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8088 | r1h: -0.005% · r4h: -1.053% · r1d: 13.64% · r3d: 18.56% · ema21_slope: 0.3691% · dist_ema21: 2.383% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7129 | rs_1h: -0.150% · rs_4h: -1.479% · rs_1d: 10.55% · rs_3d: 16.04% · beta_24h: 1.574 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1761 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.622 · trend: -36.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5879 | ADX: 24.3 (weak) · Chop: 52.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.887% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6711
Score SMA
0.6090
Rank
#9
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8766
Rank Norm SMA
0.6578
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9466 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.027% · r1d: 10.17% · r3d: 19.57% · ema21_slope: 0.5094% · dist_ema21: 8.298% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8854 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.331% · rs_1d: 6.95% · rs_3d: 17.02% · beta_24h: -0.143 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3839 | rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: 0.329 · trend: 19.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5451 | ADX: 24.6 (weak) · Chop: 58.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0727 | ATR%: 5.782% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -7.231%
(0.1355)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.139% | 0.0R | -1.799% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.139% | 0.0R | -2.092% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.568% | 0.6R | -2.092% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.130% | 1.0R | -3.634% | 0.5R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +7.130% | 1.0R | -7.498% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.130% | 1.0R | -7.802% | 1.1R | 0.9× | 287 |
| 36h | +14.703% | 2.0R | -7.802% | 1.1R | 1.9× | 432 |
| 48h | +14.703% | 2.0R | -7.802% | 1.1R | 1.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.703% | 2.0R | -7.802% | 1.1R | 1.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1987 min
MAE in 1292 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.24
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.43 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.29 | bull_high | +4.12% | +0.89 | 02/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.28 | bull_medium | +2.38% | +0.63 | 02/10 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.39 | bull_low | +1.48% | -0.04 | 02/10 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197583
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.687 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 16b 2.0ATR | — | — | 1.96 | 98% | ↑ +0.94 | above_value | +4.24 | — | #105788 | 0.43 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:20
|
|
4h
#200766
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.600 | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 5b 1.3ATR | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.94 | 90% | ↔ +0.08 | above_value | +5.11 | — | #107188 | 0.29 | bull_high | +4.12% | +0.89 |
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:13
|
|
1h
anchor #201204
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.609 | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early 2b 0.8ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.44 | 48% | ↓ -0.22 | above_value | +5.19 | — | #107422 | 0.28 | bull_medium | +2.38% | +0.63 |
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 05:09
|
|
15m
#201517
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.593 | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 12b 0.0ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.56 | 40% | ↓ -0.71 | above_value | +5.19 | — | #107422 | 0.39 | bull_low | +1.48% | -0.04 |
02/10 05:45
upd 02/10 06:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 5.366×ATR | p71 | +2.006×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.237×ATR | p8 | +1.288×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.455×ATR | p2 | +0.812×ATR | p54 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 3.024×ATR | p61 | +0.036×ATR | p2 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7805
- reason: up_bo width=2.89×ATR dur=46b phase=extending
- stop_price: 1.73829685
- tp_price: 2.21255788
- atr:
- score: 0.78050453461416
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T22:07:09.852752
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.78050453461416
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.015
- obi_top10 : 0.0507
- micro_price : 1.86738378
- spread_pct : 0.085727
- mid_price : 1.8672
- bid_wall_price : 1.86
- bid_wall_size : 103102.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 1.87
- ask_wall_size : 81943.4
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0331
- obi_top5_std : 0.012
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7151
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.81795
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.66895
- balance_zone_mid:
1.74345
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790773200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790935200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8914
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
46
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7805
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790913600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.81795
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6087
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
6
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0838
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.05153152 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.6087
bars_since_breakout
6
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0838
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:07 | 1.87380000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:19 | 1.87380000 | 0% |
| 3 | 06:31 | 1.87380000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7151ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
78%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.015
avg 0.033
± 0.012
OBI Top 10
0.051
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.8672
Micro Price
1.8674
Spread
0.0857%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
1.8600
Size
103,102.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
1.8700
Size
81,943.40
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8738 | 1.7383 | 2.2126 | 2.5 | 1.5087 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.8738
- Stop Loss: 1.7383
- Take Profit: 2.2126
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7383 - 1.8738 = -0.1355
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.8738 - 2.2126 = -0.3388
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3388 / -0.1355 = 2.5004
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110.6277 | 100 | 59.0392 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.1355
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1355 = -59.04
Taille de position USD = -59.04 x 1.8738 = -110.63
Donc, tu peux acheter -59.04 avec un stoploss a 1.7383
Avec un position size USD de -110.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -59.04 x -0.1355 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -59.04 x -0.3388 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -59.04
- Taille de position USD -110.63
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5004
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 18.08 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -7.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -7.4981 % | 103.69 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8738 | 1.7383 | 2.2126 | 2.5 | 1.5087 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.8738
- Stop Loss: 1.7383
- Take Profit: 2.2126
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7383 - 1.8738 = -0.1355
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.8738 - 2.2126 = -0.3388
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3388 / -0.1355 = 2.5004
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -7.231%
(0.1355)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.139% | 0.0R | -1.799% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.139% | 0.0R | -2.092% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.568% | 0.6R | -2.092% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.130% | 1.0R | -3.634% | 0.5R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +7.130% | 1.0R | -7.498% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.130% | 1.0R | -7.802% | 1.1R | 0.9× | 287 |
| 36h | +14.703% | 2.0R | -7.802% | 1.1R | 1.9× | 432 |
| 48h | +14.703% | 2.0R | -7.802% | 1.1R | 1.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.703% | 2.0R | -7.802% | 1.1R | 1.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1987 min
MAE in 1292 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.