Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 165255.11 PENGU at 0.00991$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01001 (0.96 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009867 (0.48 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 165255.11 PENGU at 0.00991$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01001 (0.96 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009867 (0.48 %)
Position
Entry 0.009915$
Qty 165255.1126 PENGU
Size 1638.5044$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01001 (+0.96%)
TP $ 15.7$
SL 0.009867 (-0.48%)
SL $ 7.93$
RR 1.98
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7547
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.06×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.49×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.19×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.001829 15m : 0.733934 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 66.1% |
| 1h | 41.9% |
| 4h | 64.5% |
| 24h | 80.7% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 64.5% | +0.06% |
| 4h | 46.8% | +0.43% |
| 24h | 38.7% | +2.13% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7019 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.73% · r3d: -0.15% · ema21_slope: 1.5765% · dist_ema21: 4.529% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4336 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.20% · rs_3d: -1.80% · beta_24h: 1.532 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2606 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.447 · trend: 14.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8144 | ADX: 37.7 (trend) · Chop: 37.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.465% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6070 | r1h: -0.559% · r4h: 0.860% · r1d: 2.60% · r3d: 3.04% · ema21_slope: 0.1372% · dist_ema21: 2.531% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4779 | rs_1h: -0.704% · rs_4h: 0.434% · rs_1d: -0.49% · rs_3d: 0.52% · beta_24h: 2.602 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2385 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.486 · trend: -0.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6551 | ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 41.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.581% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7185 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.050% · r1d: 3.35% · r3d: 4.03% · ema21_slope: -0.0602% · dist_ema21: 2.729% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5921 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.354% · rs_1d: 0.13% · rs_3d: 1.48% · beta_24h: 2.672 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3380 | rvol_20: 1.21× · zscore_50: -0.090 · trend: -27.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5897 | ADX: 27.8 (trend) · Chop: 55.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6421 | ATR%: 4.074% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.525% | 1.1R | -0.393% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.525% | 1.1R | -0.797% | 1.7R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.019% | 2.1R | -1.392% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.019% | 2.1R | -6.697% | 13.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.019% | 2.1R | -12.910% | 26.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.019% | 2.1R | -12.910% | 26.7R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.019% | 2.1R | -12.910% | 26.7R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.372% | 2.8R | -12.910% | 26.7R | 0.1× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.72 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.94 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.4ATR | near 0.5ATR | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.12% | +0.21 | 02/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.56 | bull_medium | +2.38% | +0.19 | 02/10 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.71 | bull_low | +1.48% | +0.05 | 02/10 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197668
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.681 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 16b 0.4ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.52 | 65% | ↑ +0.89 | below_value | -2.56 | — | #105815 | 0.72 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.94 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:24
|
|
4h
#200833
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.601 | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 10b 0.7ATR | near 0.4ATR | near 0.5ATR | 1.21 | 79% | ↓ -0.16 | above_value | +0.10 | — | #107217 | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.12% | +0.21 |
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:16
|
|
1h
anchor #201233
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.460 | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 11b 2.3ATR | — | — | 2.06 | 79% | ↔ +0.12 | above_value | +1.01 | — | #107451 | 0.56 | bull_medium | +2.38% | +0.19 |
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 05:10
|
|
15m
#201543
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.730 | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 5b 0.9ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.21 | 26% | ↔ +0.04 | above_value | +1.01 | — | #107451 | 0.71 | bull_low | +1.48% | +0.05 |
02/10 05:45
upd 02/10 06:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 3.113×ATR | p21 | +0.381×ATR | p21 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 1.667×ATR | p0 | +0.65×ATR | p33 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.231×ATR | p85 | +2.258×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.61×ATR | p0 | +0.927×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
85865.5
0.00588677
86371
-0.001829
85104
0.0148866
86371
0.733934
84123.3
0.0271109
86404
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0.009338
186
0.5701
0.613
0.3529
0.2219
0.46
0.7035
0.5388
0.4414
0.3159
0.1233
0.5674
0.4847
0.2098
0.0817
1
1.3979
1.6268
0.4
0.6
-1
19
1
0.5562
0.5243
4.1774
0.6
0.7035
1.5279
1.6268
0.8121
0.2866
0.06
-0.1691
0.4297
0.5404
0.4647
0.4847
-7.4635
7.0214
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:11 | 0.00991500 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:24 | 0.00989100 | -0.242% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 03:25:00 | 0.009464 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 04:50:00 | 0.009996 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 05:30:00 | 0.009957 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 05:40:00 | 0.009845 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 06:50:00 | 0.009984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 07:30:00 | 0.009842 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 08:15:00 | 0.009918 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 08:40:00 | 0.010097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 09:00:00 | 0.009975 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 10:10:00 | 0.009915 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 19:30:00 | 0.009401 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 20:00:00 | 0.009575 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 21:45:00 | 0.009338 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 00:15:00 | 0.009529 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 01:15:00 | 0.009375 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 03:15:00 | 0.009464 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 04:45:00 | 0.009996 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 07:30:00 | 0.009842 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 08:30:00 | 0.010097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 10:00:00 | 0.009915 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 0.00953 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 19:00:00 | 0.010091 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 02:00:00 | 0.010309 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 0.009659 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:00:00 | 0.010646 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 22:00:00 | 0.009449 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 06:00:00 | 0.009965 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 15:00:00 | 0.00922 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 18:00:00 | 0.009618 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 08:00:00 | 0.010097 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.009915 | 0.009867 | 0.01001 | 1.98 | 0.006369 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.009867 - 0.009915 = -4.7999999999999E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.009915 - 0.01001 = -9.5E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.5E-5 / -4.7999999999999E-5 = 1.9792
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1638.5044 | 100 | 165255.1126 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -4.7999999999999E-5 = -166666.67
Taille de position USD = -166666.67 x 0.009915 = -1652.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -166666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.009867
Avec un position size USD de -1652.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -166666.67 x -4.7999999999999E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -166666.67 x -9.5E-5 = 15.83
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.83$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.96 % | 15.7 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.93 $ | -0.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7968 % | 164.59 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.009915 | 0.009867 | 0.01001 | 1.98 | 0.006369 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.009867 - 0.009915 = -4.7999999999999E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.009915 - 0.01001 = -9.5E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.5E-5 / -4.7999999999999E-5 = 1.9792
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[entry_price] => 0.009915
[stop_loss] => 0.0098622
[rr_ratio] => 1.8
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01001
[entry_price] => 0.009915
[stop_loss] => 0.0098574
[rr_ratio] => 1.65
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01001
[entry_price] => 0.009915
[stop_loss] => 0.0098526
[rr_ratio] => 1.52
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01001
[entry_price] => 0.009915
[stop_loss] => 0.009843
[rr_ratio] => 1.32
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.525% | 1.1R | -0.393% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.525% | 1.1R | -0.797% | 1.7R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.019% | 2.1R | -1.392% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.019% | 2.1R | -6.697% | 13.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.019% | 2.1R | -12.910% | 26.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.019% | 2.1R | -12.910% | 26.7R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.019% | 2.1R | -12.910% | 26.7R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.372% | 2.8R | -12.910% | 26.7R | 0.1× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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