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Long Trade on TIA

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02 Oct 2026 at 07:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on TIA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 392.86 TIA at 0.472$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4837 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4516 (4.3 %)

TIA LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 07:15 → 08:30 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.4719$

Qty 392.8604 TIA

Size 185.3987$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4837 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.64$

SL 0.4516 (-4.3%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.58

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.64$ MAE -3.65% MFE +4.30% 1.0R expires 02 Oct 13:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171931)
#8 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7237

Quality Score
0.651
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#8 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.26×ATR
4h clear 1.49×ATR
1d clear 0.92×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.16
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 07:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

02/10 06:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4645
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 59.7%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 35.5%
1h 37.1%
4h 54.8%
24h 82.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 25.8% -0.07%
4h 43.6% +0.16%
24h 38.7% +2.04%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.157
Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 07:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4337
Score SMA
0.5689
Rank
#70 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0921
Rank Norm SMA
0.4126
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5185 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.10% · r3d: -4.43% · ema21_slope: 1.4271% · dist_ema21: -0.919%
Force Relative 25% 0.3595 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.57% · rs_3d: -6.09% · beta_24h: 1.807
Volume 20% 0.3623 rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: 0.261 · trend: 7.81%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7724 ADX: 32.7 (trend) · Chop: 36.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.972% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.6507
Score SMA
0.5089
Rank
#8 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7237
Rank Norm SMA
0.4140
Calculé le
02/10/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7189 r1h: 1.285% · r4h: 0.951% · r1d: 7.40% · r3d: 2.61% · ema21_slope: 0.2505% · dist_ema21: 4.724%
Force Relative 25% 0.6257 rs_1h: 1.360% · rs_4h: 0.591% · rs_1d: 4.61% · rs_3d: -0.11% · beta_24h: 2.208
Volume 20% 0.3098 rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: -0.103 · trend: 18.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7777 ADX: 33.3 (trend) · Chop: 29.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.816% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6369
Score SMA
0.5152
Rank
#10 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4675
Rank Norm SMA
0.4259
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6474 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 7.838% · r1d: 5.72% · r3d: 5.36% · ema21_slope: -0.2114% · dist_ema21: 4.855%
Force Relative 25% 0.6402 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 7.141% · rs_1d: 2.49% · rs_3d: 2.81% · beta_24h: 2.745
Volume 20% 0.6996 rvol_20: 2.27× · zscore_50: 1.629 · trend: 31.06%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4562 ADX: 15.0 (weak) · Chop: 59.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7424 ATR%: 3.773% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.302% (0.0203)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.786% 0.4R -0.701% 0.2R 2.6× 12
2h +4.300% 1.0R -0.701% 0.2R 6.1× 24
4h +4.300% 1.0R -2.744% 0.6R 1.6× 48
6h ★ +4.300% 1.0R -3.653% 0.9R 1.2× 72
8h +4.300% 1.0R -9.438% 2.2R 0.5× 96
12h +4.300% 1.0R -9.438% 2.2R 0.5× 144
24h +4.300% 1.0R -9.438% 2.2R 0.5× 288
48h +4.300% 1.0R -9.438% 2.2R 0.5× 576
72h +4.300% 1.0R -9.438% 2.2R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 104 min MAE in 479 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.58
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.63 bull_high +13.92% +0.76 30/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.47 bull_high +4.12% +0.14 02/10 00:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 44% late — near -1.3ATR 0.41 bull_medium +2.35% +0.59 02/10 06:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 40% late — near 0.1ATR 0.63 bull_low +1.29% +0.41 02/10 06:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197591
 ↑ up range range strong explosive 0.787 expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 40% early 8b -0.1ATR — — 0.92 82% ↑ +0.42 below_value -10.32 — #105790 0.63 bull_high +13.92% +0.76
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:21
4h
#200770
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.543 normal bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 37% early 3b 1.3ATR — — 2.27 92% ↑ +0.23 above_value -3.39 — #107190 0.47 bull_high +4.12% +0.14
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:13
1h anchor
#201981
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.725 expansion bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 44% late 3b 2.5ATR — near -1.3ATR 0.66 77% ↑ +0.26 value +3.04 — #107737 0.41 bull_medium +2.35% +0.59
02/10 06:00
upd 02/10 07:09
15m
#201907
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.599 expansion bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 40% late 2b 2.1ATR — near 0.1ATR 1.14 92% ↓ -0.72 value +2.43 — #107581 0.63 bull_low +1.29% +0.41
02/10 06:45
upd 02/10 07:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 8b — 2.854×ATR p28 -0.087×ATR p3
4h ↑ up early 3b — 2.723×ATR p22 +1.332×ATR p58
1h ↓ down late 3b — 0.502×ATR p0 +2.462×ATR p98
15m ↑ up late 2b — 2.068×ATR p12 +2.079×ATR p83

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.45155653
  2. tp_price: 0.483718
  3. atr: 0.00814539
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T17:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 7
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.7189
  4. delta_2h: 0.1289
  5. extension_atr: 2.63
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7235
  9. confidence: 0.972

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4719 0.4516 0.4837 0.58 0.4164
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4719
  • Stop Loss: 0.4516
  • Take Profit: 0.4837

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4516 - 0.4719 = -0.0203

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4719 - 0.4837 = -0.0118

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0118 / -0.0203 = 0.5813

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
185.3987 100 392.8604 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0203

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0203 = -394.09

Taille de position USD = -394.09 x 0.4719 = -185.97

Donc, tu peux acheter -394.09 avec un stoploss a 0.4516

Avec un position size USD de -185.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -394.09 x -0.0203 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -394.09 x -0.0118 = 4.65

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.65$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -394.09
  • Taille de position USD -185.97
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.65
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5813

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.64 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.3 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
4.64 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7014 % 16.3 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4719 0.4516 0.4837 0.58 0.4164
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4719
  • Stop Loss: 0.4516
  • Take Profit: 0.4837

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4516 - 0.4719 = -0.0203

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4719 - 0.4837 = -0.0118

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0118 / -0.0203 = 0.5813

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.302% (0.0203)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.786% 0.4R -0.701% 0.2R 2.6× 12
2h +4.300% 1.0R -0.701% 0.2R 6.1× 24
4h +4.300% 1.0R -2.744% 0.6R 1.6× 48
6h ★ +4.300% 1.0R -3.653% 0.9R 1.2× 72
8h +4.300% 1.0R -9.438% 2.2R 0.5× 96
12h +4.300% 1.0R -9.438% 2.2R 0.5× 144
24h +4.300% 1.0R -9.438% 2.2R 0.5× 288
48h +4.300% 1.0R -9.438% 2.2R 0.5× 576
72h +4.300% 1.0R -9.438% 2.2R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 104 min MAE in 479 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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