Short Trade on APEX (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 480.29 APEX at 0.254$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2473 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2703 (6.59 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 07:15:05
hyperliquid
APEX
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 07:15
→ 13:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2536$
Qty 480.2947 APEX
Size 121.8171$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2473 (+2.48%)
TP $ 3.03$
SL 0.2703 (-6.59%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.38
Status
win
PnL
+1.38%
/ +1.68$
MAE -1.45%
MFE +1.72%
0.3R
expires
02 Oct 13:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171971)
#78 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 07:00
score du 02/10/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1070
Quality Score
0.341
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#78 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#78 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.11×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.39×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.83×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.16
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 07:02
02/10 07:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/10 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4645
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
59.7%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 35.5% |
| 1h | 37.1% |
| 4h | 54.8% |
| 24h | 82.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 25.8% | -0.07% |
| 4h | 43.6% | +0.16% |
| 24h | 38.7% | +2.04% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.157
Universe :
62
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 07:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4844
Score SMA
0.5444
Rank
#59
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2368
Rank Norm SMA
0.4579
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5539 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.66% · r3d: -14.86% · ema21_slope: 0.8229% · dist_ema21: -1.716% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1690 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -15.13% · rs_3d: -16.51% · beta_24h: 1.043 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9277 | rvol_20: 3.07× · zscore_50: 1.916 · trend: 131.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6032 | ADX: 19.6 (weak) · Chop: 45.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.035% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3408
Score SMA
0.5245
Rank
#78
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1070
Rank Norm SMA
0.4892
Calculé le
02/10/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1976 | r1h: -1.020% · r4h: 1.202% · r1d: -13.47% · r3d: -13.03% · ema21_slope: -0.4770% · dist_ema21: -2.355% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2282 | rs_1h: -0.945% · rs_4h: 0.842% · rs_1d: -16.26% · rs_3d: -15.76% · beta_24h: 2.552 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1805 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.874 · trend: -20.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5104 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 66.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.788% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4099
Score SMA
0.5516
Rank
#76
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0455
Rank Norm SMA
0.5742
Calculé le
02/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4376 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.929% · r1d: -14.16% · r3d: -14.71% · ema21_slope: -0.0153% · dist_ema21: -8.495% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1749 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.625% · rs_1d: -17.38% · rs_3d: -17.26% · beta_24h: 1.123 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7209 | rvol_20: 1.86× · zscore_50: 1.538 · trend: 102.65% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6048 | ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 51.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.013% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.585%
(0.0167)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.546% | 0.2R | -0.864% | 0.1R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.609% | 0.2R | -1.100% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.715% | 0.3R | -1.451% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.715% | 0.3R | -1.451% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.020% | 0.8R | -1.451% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.422% | 0.8R | -1.451% | 0.2R | 3.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.706% | 1.6R | -1.451% | 0.2R | 7.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +12.342% | 1.9R | -1.451% | 0.2R | 8.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.342% | 1.9R | -1.451% | 0.2R | 8.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1299 min
MAE in 134 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.66
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.41 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.00 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.30 | bull_high | +4.12% | -0.96 | 02/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.34 | bull_medium | +2.35% | -0.90 | 02/10 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.3ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.23 | bull_low | +1.29% | +0.06 | 02/10 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197702
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.667 | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 23b -0.1ATR | — | — | 3.07 | 98% | ↑ +0.78 | below_value | -4.62 | — | #105831 | 0.41 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.00 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
|
|
4h
#200875
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.443 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 7b -1.5ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 1.86 | 98% | ↑ +0.22 | below_value | -5.19 | — | #107231 | 0.30 | bull_high | +4.12% | -0.96 |
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:18
|
|
1h
anchor #202022
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.501 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early 5b -0.9ATR | — | — | 0.22 | 52% | ↓ -0.25 | below_value | -4.75 | — | #107777 | 0.34 | bull_medium | +2.35% | -0.90 |
02/10 06:00
upd 02/10 07:11
|
|
15m
#201943
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.640 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 4b 0.3ATR | near 0.3ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.08 | 3% | ↓ -0.89 | below_value | -4.49 | — | #107622 | 0.23 | bull_low | +1.29% | +0.06 |
02/10 06:45
upd 02/10 07:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 23b | — | 2.452×ATR | p0 | -0.143×ATR | p11 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.165×ATR | p35 | -1.533×ATR | p79 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1×ATR | p0 | -0.906×ATR | p48 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.403×ATR | p0 | +0.335×ATR | p20 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.27028644
- tp_price: 0.24728925
- atr: 0.00666258
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T17:15:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 78
- total: 78
- score: 0.2221
- delta_2h: -0.0342
- extension_atr: -0.85
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1054
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2536 | 0.2703 | 0.2473 | 0.38 | 0.1823 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2536
- Stop Loss: 0.2703
- Take Profit: 0.2473
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2703 - 0.2536 = 0.0167
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2536 - 0.2473 = 0.0063
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0063 / 0.0167 = 0.3772
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121.8171 | 100 | 480.2947 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0167
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0167 = 479.04
Taille de position USD = 479.04 x 0.2536 = 121.48
Donc, tu peux acheter 479.04 avec un stoploss a 0.2703
Avec un position size USD de 121.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 479.04 x 0.0167 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 479.04 x 0.0063 = 3.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.02$
Résumé
- Taille de position 479.04
- Taille de position USD 121.48
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.02
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3772
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 3.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.59 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.68 $ | 1.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4511 % | 22.04 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2536 | 0.2703 | 0.2473 | 0.38 | 0.1823 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2536
- Stop Loss: 0.2703
- Take Profit: 0.2473
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2703 - 0.2536 = 0.0167
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2536 - 0.2473 = 0.0063
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0063 / 0.0167 = 0.3772
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.585%
(0.0167)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.546% | 0.2R | -0.864% | 0.1R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.609% | 0.2R | -1.100% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.715% | 0.3R | -1.451% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.715% | 0.3R | -1.451% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.020% | 0.8R | -1.451% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.422% | 0.8R | -1.451% | 0.2R | 3.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.706% | 1.6R | -1.451% | 0.2R | 7.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +12.342% | 1.9R | -1.451% | 0.2R | 8.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.342% | 1.9R | -1.451% | 0.2R | 8.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1299 min
MAE in 134 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.