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Long Trade on AAVE

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02 Oct 2026 at 08:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_score)

With 0.69 AAVE at 184.41$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 172.8546 (6.27 %)

AAVE LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 08:15 → 11:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 184.41$

Qty 0.6923 AAVE

Size 127.67$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 127.67$

SL 172.8546 (-6.27%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.70% / -0.9$ MAE -1.76% MFE +0.72% 0.1R expires 02 Oct 11:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172003)
#5 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9395

Quality Score
0.674
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.66×ATR
4h clear —
1d near -0.59×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.12
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
77.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 08:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

02/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

02/10 07:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4649
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 57.9%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 27.9%
1h 62.3%
4h 52.5%
24h 77.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 36.1% -0.06%
4h 37.7% +0.12%
24h 36.1% +1.92%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.133
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 08:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8135
Score SMA
0.6801
Rank
#4 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9605
Rank Norm SMA
0.6193
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9655 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 7.44% · r3d: 14.67% · ema21_slope: 1.2788% · dist_ema21: 17.343%
Force Relative 25% 0.8858 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.97% · rs_3d: 13.01% · beta_24h: 1.397
Volume 20% 0.9008 rvol_20: 2.75× · zscore_50: 2.121 · trend: 130.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8150 ADX: 37.8 (trend) · Chop: 38.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.530% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6744
Score SMA
0.5976
Rank
#5 / 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9395
Rank Norm SMA
0.6649
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7639 r1h: -0.271% · r4h: -0.022% · r1d: 10.83% · r3d: 7.37% · ema21_slope: 0.5001% · dist_ema21: 3.707%
Force Relative 25% 0.6130 rs_1h: -0.416% · rs_4h: -0.396% · rs_1d: 7.82% · rs_3d: 4.90% · beta_24h: 3.621
Volume 20% 0.1653 rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.564 · trend: -47.85%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8812 ADX: 47.6 (trend) · Chop: 40.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.108% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.7374
Score SMA
0.6657
Rank
#4 / 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9606
Rank Norm SMA
0.7494
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8605 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.022% · r1d: 10.83% · r3d: 7.37% · ema21_slope: 0.5131% · dist_ema21: 10.090%
Force Relative 25% 0.7554 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.396% · rs_1d: 7.82% · rs_3d: 4.90% · beta_24h: 2.841
Volume 20% 0.3257 rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.255 · trend: 57.03%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8329 ADX: 40.0 (trend) · Chop: 36.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8736 ATR%: 3.379% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.266% (11.5554)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.721% 0.1R -1.681% 0.3R 0.4× 12
2h +0.721% 0.1R -1.681% 0.3R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.721% 0.1R -1.762% 0.3R 0.4× 36
4h +0.721% 0.1R -1.762% 0.3R 0.4× 48
8h +0.721% 0.1R -3.416% 0.6R 0.2× 96
12h +0.721% 0.1R -3.416% 0.6R 0.2× 144
24h +0.721% 0.1R -4.468% 0.7R 0.2× 288
48h +0.721% 0.1R -4.468% 0.7R 0.2× 576
72h +0.721% 0.1R -4.468% 0.7R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 14 min MAE in 974 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.48
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 41% late — near -0.6ATR 0.68 bull_high +13.92% +0.98 30/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.56 bull_high +4.41% +0.95 02/10 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — 0.57 bull_medium +2.45% +0.56 02/10 07:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 39% early — — 0.52 bull_low +1.31% -0.09 02/10 07:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197562
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.562 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 41% late 15b 2.0ATR — near -0.6ATR 2.75 97% ↑ +0.77 value +1.58 — #105783 0.68 bull_high +13.92% +0.98
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:19
4h
#202377
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.636 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 45% late 11b 2.7ATR — — 0.39 83% ↔ -0.03 above_value +4.52 inside #107883 0.56 bull_high +4.41% +0.95
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 08:13
1h anchor
#202376
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.666 expansion bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 41% mid 7b 1.5ATR — — 0.22 55% ↓ -0.49 above_value +4.52 inside #107883 0.57 bull_medium +2.45% +0.56
02/10 07:00
upd 02/10 08:13
15m
#202284
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.591 compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 39% early 11b 0.2ATR — — 0.48 34% ↓ -0.40 above_value +4.54 — #107730 0.52 bull_low +1.31% -0.09
02/10 07:45
upd 02/10 08:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 15b — 5.206×ATR p71 +2.019×ATR p90
4h ↑ up late 11b — 4.291×ATR p70 +2.702×ATR p94
1h ↓ down mid 7b — 0.964×ATR p2 +1.536×ATR p77
15m ↑ up early 11b — 1.848×ATR p7 +0.175×ATR p10

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 172.85458704
  2. atr: 3.85180432
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-02T15:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.8085
  4. confidence: 0.962

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
184.41 172.8546 124.1
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 184.41
  • Stop Loss: 172.8546
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 172.8546 - 184.41 = -11.5554

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 184.41 - = 184.41

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 184.41 / -11.5554 = -15.9588

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
127.67 100 0.6923 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -11.5554

Taille de position = 8 / -11.5554 = -0.69

Taille de position USD = -0.69 x 184.41 = -127.24

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.69 avec un stoploss a 172.8546

Avec un position size USD de -127.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.69 x -11.5554 = 7.97

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.97$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.69 x 184.41 = -127.24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -127.24$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -0.69
  • Taille de position USD -127.24
  • Perte potentielle 7.97
  • Gain potentiel -127.24
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -15.9588

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 127.67 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.27 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.9 $ -0.70
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.7624 % 28.13 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
184.41 172.8546 124.1
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 184.41
  • Stop Loss: 172.8546
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 172.8546 - 184.41 = -11.5554

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 184.41 - = 184.41

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 184.41 / -11.5554 = -15.9588

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 184.41
            [stop_loss] => 171.69906
            [rr_ratio] => 14.51
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 184.41
            [stop_loss] => 170.54352
            [rr_ratio] => 13.3
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 184.41
            [stop_loss] => 169.38798
            [rr_ratio] => 12.28
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 184.41
            [stop_loss] => 167.0769
            [rr_ratio] => 10.64
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.266% (11.5554)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.721% 0.1R -1.681% 0.3R 0.4× 12
2h +0.721% 0.1R -1.681% 0.3R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.721% 0.1R -1.762% 0.3R 0.4× 36
4h +0.721% 0.1R -1.762% 0.3R 0.4× 48
8h +0.721% 0.1R -3.416% 0.6R 0.2× 96
12h +0.721% 0.1R -3.416% 0.6R 0.2× 144
24h +0.721% 0.1R -4.468% 0.7R 0.2× 288
48h +0.721% 0.1R -4.468% 0.7R 0.2× 576
72h +0.721% 0.1R -4.468% 0.7R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 14 min MAE in 974 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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