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Short Trade on APEX

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02 Oct 2026 at 08:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on APEX (momentum_rotation_score)

With 386.75 APEX at 0.251$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2718 (8.24 %)

APEX SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 08:15 → 11:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.2511$

Qty 386.7514 APEX

Size 97.1017$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 97.11$

SL 0.2718 (-8.24%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.15% / -0.14$ MAE -2.46% MFE +0.74% 0.1R expires 02 Oct 11:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172048)
#74 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0681

Quality Score
0.361
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#74 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.24 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#74 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.24 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.11×ATR
4h near 0.39×ATR
1d clear 1.83×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.12
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 08:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

02/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/10 06:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4649
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.90

expansion

-1

Tactical bull

0.90

expansion

-1

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 57.9%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 27.9%
1h 62.3%
4h 52.5%
24h 77.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 36.1% -0.06%
4h 37.7% +0.12%
24h 36.1% +1.92%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.133
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 08:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4844
Score SMA
0.5444
Rank
#59 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2368
Rank Norm SMA
0.4579
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5539 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.66% · r3d: -14.86% · ema21_slope: 0.8229% · dist_ema21: -1.716%
Force Relative 25% 0.1690 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -15.13% · rs_3d: -16.51% · beta_24h: 1.043
Volume 20% 0.9277 rvol_20: 3.07× · zscore_50: 1.916 · trend: 131.67%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6032 ADX: 19.6 (weak) · Chop: 45.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.035% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3611
Score SMA
0.5229
Rank
#74 / 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0681
Rank Norm SMA
0.4849
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2042 r1h: -1.369% · r4h: 0.453% · r1d: -13.54% · r3d: -13.08% · ema21_slope: -0.4364% · dist_ema21: -3.367%
Force Relative 25% 0.1886 rs_1h: -1.514% · rs_4h: 0.079% · rs_1d: -16.54% · rs_3d: -15.55% · beta_24h: 2.533
Volume 20% 0.1829 rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.632 · trend: -31.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4641 ADX: 28.1 (trend) · Chop: 71.6 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.797% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3686
Score SMA
0.5453
Rank
#73 / 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0261
Rank Norm SMA
0.5553
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4327 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.453% · r1d: -13.54% · r3d: -13.08% · ema21_slope: -0.1077% · dist_ema21: -7.401%
Force Relative 25% 0.2122 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.079% · rs_1d: -16.54% · rs_3d: -15.55% · beta_24h: 1.114
Volume 20% 0.3634 rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.092 · trend: 62.96%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6018 ADX: 24.9 (weak) · Chop: 51.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0536 ATR%: 5.839% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.244% (0.0207)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.629% 0.1R -2.107% 0.3R 0.3× 12
2h +0.629% 0.1R -2.461% 0.3R 0.3× 24
3h ★ +0.737% 0.1R -2.461% 0.3R 0.3× 36
4h +0.737% 0.1R -2.461% 0.3R 0.3× 48
8h +4.480% 0.5R -2.461% 0.3R 1.8× 96
12h +4.480% 0.5R -2.461% 0.3R 1.8× 144
24h +9.817% 1.2R -2.461% 0.3R 4.0× 288
48h +11.470% 1.4R -2.461% 0.3R 4.7× 576
72h +11.470% 1.4R -2.461% 0.3R 4.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 1239 min MAE in 74 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.97
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.41 bull_high +13.92% +0.00 30/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 41% mid near 0.4ATR — 0.30 bull_high +4.12% -0.96 02/10 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 45% early — — 0.34 bull_medium +2.35% -0.90 02/10 06:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 34% mid near 0.3ATR — 0.23 bull_low +1.31% -0.07 02/10 07:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197702
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.667 expansion bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 36% early 23b -0.1ATR — — 3.07 98% ↑ +0.78 below_value -4.62 — #105831 0.41 bull_high +13.92% +0.00
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
4h
#200875
 ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.443 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 41% mid 7b -1.5ATR near 0.4ATR — 1.86 98% ↑ +0.22 below_value -5.19 — #107231 0.30 bull_high +4.12% -0.96
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:18
1h anchor
#202022
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.501 compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 45% early 5b -0.9ATR — — 0.22 52% ↓ -0.25 below_value -4.75 — #107777 0.34 bull_medium +2.35% -0.90
02/10 06:00
upd 02/10 07:11
15m
#202326
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.526 compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 34% mid 8b -1.1ATR near 0.3ATR — 1.87 81% ↓ -0.88 below_value -4.75 — #107777 0.23 bull_low +1.31% -0.07
02/10 07:45
upd 02/10 08:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 23b — 2.452×ATR p0 -0.143×ATR p11
4h ↓ down mid 7b — 3.165×ATR p35 -1.533×ATR p79
1h ↓ down early 5b — 1×ATR p0 -0.906×ATR p48
15m ↓ down mid 8b — 2.961×ATR p38 -1.05×ATR p61

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.27175512
  2. atr: 0.00689504
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-02T15:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 78
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.3067
  4. confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2511 0.2718 0.1831
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2511
  • Stop Loss: 0.2718
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2718 - 0.2511 = 0.0207

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2511 - = 0.2511

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2511 / 0.0207 = 12.1304

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
97.1017 97.1017 386.7514 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0207

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0207 = 386.47

Taille de position USD = 386.47 x 0.2511 = 97.04

Donc, tu peux acheter 386.47 avec un stoploss a 0.2718

Avec un position size USD de 97.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 386.47 x 0.0207 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 386.47 x 0.2511 = 97.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 97.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 386.47
  • Taille de position USD 97.04
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 97.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 12.1304

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 97.11 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.24 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-0.14 $ -0.15
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.4612 % 29.86 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2511 0.2718 0.1831
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2511
  • Stop Loss: 0.2718
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2718 - 0.2511 = 0.0207

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2511 - = 0.2511

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2511 / 0.0207 = 12.1304

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.244% (0.0207)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.629% 0.1R -2.107% 0.3R 0.3× 12
2h +0.629% 0.1R -2.461% 0.3R 0.3× 24
3h ★ +0.737% 0.1R -2.461% 0.3R 0.3× 36
4h +0.737% 0.1R -2.461% 0.3R 0.3× 48
8h +4.480% 0.5R -2.461% 0.3R 1.8× 96
12h +4.480% 0.5R -2.461% 0.3R 1.8× 144
24h +9.817% 1.2R -2.461% 0.3R 4.0× 288
48h +11.470% 1.4R -2.461% 0.3R 4.7× 576
72h +11.470% 1.4R -2.461% 0.3R 4.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 1239 min MAE in 74 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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