Long Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 5.15 VVV at 29.87$ per unit. Take profit: 30.6168 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 28.3179 (5.2 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 08:15:12
hyperliquid
VVV
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 08:15
→ 14:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 29.87$
Qty 5.1544 VVV
Size 153.9605$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 30.6168 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.85$
SL 28.3179 (-5.2%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.48
Status
loss
PnL
-1.39%
/ -2.14$
MAE -3.24%
MFE +1.53%
0.3R
expires
02 Oct 14:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 172040)
#4 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 08:00
score du 02/10/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8511
Quality Score
0.676
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.87×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.10×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.00×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.12
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
17.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 08:02
02/10 08:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4649
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
57.9%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 27.9% |
| 1h | 62.3% |
| 4h | 52.5% |
| 24h | 77.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 36.1% | -0.06% |
| 4h | 37.7% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 36.1% | +1.92% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.133
Universe :
61
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 08:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4096
Score SMA
0.5161
Rank
#73
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0526
Rank Norm SMA
0.1816
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4926 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.50% · r3d: -5.84% · ema21_slope: 1.4000% · dist_ema21: -1.498% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3756 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.97% · rs_3d: -7.49% · beta_24h: 1.118 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2072 | rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.331 · trend: -28.07% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8434 | ADX: 54.9 (trend) · Chop: 52.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.037% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6764
Score SMA
0.4827
Rank
#4
/ 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8511
Rank Norm SMA
0.3091
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7540 | r1h: -0.636% · r4h: 5.683% · r1d: 8.08% · r3d: 7.25% · ema21_slope: 0.3252% · dist_ema21: 6.625% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6813 | rs_1h: -0.781% · rs_4h: 5.309% · rs_1d: 5.07% · rs_3d: 4.78% · beta_24h: 1.874 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3030 | rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.206 · trend: 37.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7749 | ADX: 33.0 (trend) · Chop: 24.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.106% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6807
Score SMA
0.4080
Rank
#6
/ 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7073
Rank Norm SMA
0.1125
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6957 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 5.683% · r1d: 8.08% · r3d: 7.25% · ema21_slope: -0.0583% · dist_ema21: 8.007% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6755 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 5.309% · rs_1d: 5.07% · rs_3d: 4.78% · beta_24h: 2.932 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6718 | rvol_20: 2.38× · zscore_50: 1.359 · trend: 10.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6185 | ADX: 23.7 (weak) · Chop: 48.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6819 | ATR%: 3.954% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.196%
(1.5521)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.266% | 0.2R | -1.704% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.527% | 0.3R | -1.704% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.527% | 0.3R | -3.053% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.527% | 0.3R | -3.244% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.527% | 0.3R | -6.558% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.527% | 0.3R | -7.469% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.527% | 0.3R | -9.200% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.527% | 0.3R | -9.200% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.291% | 0.6R | -9.200% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 109 min
MAE in 1164 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.93
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.37 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.17 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.29 | bull_high | +4.12% | -0.13 | 02/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.38 | bull_medium | +2.35% | +0.71 | 02/10 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | bull_low | +1.31% | +0.47 | 02/10 07:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197679
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.604 | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 10b -0.1ATR | — | — | 0.49 | 63% | ↓ -0.19 | value | -2.39 | — | #105820 | 0.37 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.17 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:25
|
|
4h
#200848
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.561 | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 3b 0.8ATR | near 0.3ATR | — | 1.21 | 57% | ↓ -0.27 | value | +1.47 | — | #107222 | 0.29 | bull_high | +4.12% | -0.13 |
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:17
|
|
1h
anchor #202013
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.523 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 15b 3.8ATR | — | near -0.9ATR | 1.39 | 85% | ↑ +0.45 | above_value | +4.04 | — | #107769 | 0.38 | bull_medium | +2.35% | +0.71 |
02/10 06:00
upd 02/10 07:11
|
|
15m
#202320
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.628 | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 10b 1.5ATR | — | — | 0.33 | 64% | ↔ -0.05 | above_value | +4.04 | — | #107769 | 0.56 | bull_low | +1.31% | +0.47 |
02/10 07:45
upd 02/10 08:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 2.928×ATR | p22 | -0.118×ATR | p6 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.199×ATR | p11 | +0.825×ATR | p53 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 6.61×ATR | p98 | +3.792×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.638×ATR | p39 | +1.549×ATR | p72 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 28.31791355
- tp_price: 30.61675
- atr: 0.62083458
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T18:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 7
- total: 79
- score: 0.7627
- delta_2h: 0.0084
- extension_atr: 2.48
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8542
- confidence: 0.923
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.87 | 28.3179 | 30.6168 | 0.48 | 19.076 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 29.87
- Stop Loss: 28.3179
- Take Profit: 30.6168
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 28.3179 - 29.87 = -1.5521
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 29.87 - 30.6168 = -0.7468
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.7468 / -1.5521 = 0.4812
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153.9605 | 100 | 5.1544 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -1.5521
Taille de position = 8 / -1.5521 = -5.15
Taille de position USD = -5.15 x 29.87 = -153.83
Donc, tu peux acheter -5.15 avec un stoploss a 28.3179
Avec un position size USD de -153.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5.15 x -1.5521 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5.15 x -0.7468 = 3.85
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.85$
Résumé
- Taille de position -5.15
- Taille de position USD -153.83
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 3.85
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4812
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.85 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.2 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.14 $ | -1.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.2441 % | 62.43 % | 18 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.87 | 28.3179 | 30.6168 | 0.48 | 19.076 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 29.87
- Stop Loss: 28.3179
- Take Profit: 30.6168
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 28.3179 - 29.87 = -1.5521
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 29.87 - 30.6168 = -0.7468
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.7468 / -1.5521 = 0.4812
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.196%
(1.5521)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.266% | 0.2R | -1.704% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.527% | 0.3R | -1.704% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.527% | 0.3R | -3.053% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.527% | 0.3R | -3.244% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.527% | 0.3R | -6.558% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.527% | 0.3R | -7.469% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.527% | 0.3R | -9.200% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.527% | 0.3R | -9.200% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.291% | 0.6R | -9.200% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 109 min
MAE in 1164 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.