Long Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1719.11 MEGA at 0.0476$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04879 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04294 (9.79 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 08:15:12
hyperliquid
MEGA
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 08:15
→ 09:20
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.0476$
Qty 1719.114 MEGA
Size 81.8229$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04879 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.05$
SL 0.04294 (-9.79%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.26
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +2.05$
MAE -0.59%
MFE +5.07%
0.5R
expires
02 Oct 14:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 172053)
#22 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 08:00
score du 02/10/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6456
Quality Score
0.561
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#22 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#22 / 75
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.87×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.62×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.02×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.12
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
6.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 08:02
02/10 08:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4649
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
57.9%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 27.9% |
| 1h | 62.3% |
| 4h | 52.5% |
| 24h | 77.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 36.1% | -0.06% |
| 4h | 37.7% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 36.1% | +1.92% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.133
Universe :
61
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 08:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8158
Score SMA
0.5564
Rank
#3
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9737
Rank Norm SMA
0.4089
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9141 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 19.93% · r3d: 18.81% · ema21_slope: 0.8967% · dist_ema21: 18.111% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9215 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 18.45% · rs_3d: 17.16% · beta_24h: 1.786 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.81× · zscore_50: 4.120 · trend: 111.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7411 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 29.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.911% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5608
Score SMA
0.6338
Rank
#22
/ 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6456
Rank Norm SMA
0.7166
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5818 | r1h: -1.936% · r4h: -1.334% · r1d: 1.88% · r3d: 10.18% · ema21_slope: 0.1356% · dist_ema21: -4.978% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4278 | rs_1h: -2.080% · rs_4h: -1.709% · rs_1d: -1.13% · rs_3d: 7.70% · beta_24h: -0.094 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2389 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.247 · trend: -8.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7789 | ADX: 40.3 (trend) · Chop: 45.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6212 | ATR%: 4.136% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6098
Score SMA
0.6981
Rank
#9
/ 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7844
Rank Norm SMA
0.7998
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6688 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.334% · r1d: 1.88% · r3d: 10.18% · ema21_slope: 0.6553% · dist_ema21: 2.408% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5248 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.709% · rs_1d: -1.13% · rs_3d: 7.70% · beta_24h: 1.380 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5946 | rvol_20: 1.34× · zscore_50: 0.892 · trend: 151.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8135 | ADX: 37.6 (trend) · Chop: 19.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0718 | ATR%: 5.785% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -9.790%
(0.0047)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.433% | 0.3R | -0.342% | 0.0R | 7.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +5.065% | 0.5R | -0.342% | 0.0R | 14.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.065% | 0.5R | -0.342% | 0.0R | 14.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.065% | 0.5R | -0.588% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.065% | 0.5R | -4.870% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.065% | 0.5R | -5.181% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.065% | 0.5R | -5.181% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.658% | 0.7R | -5.181% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.240% | 1.4R | -5.181% | 0.5R | 2.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 94 min
MAE in 519 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.62
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
70%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.38 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.96 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bull_high | +4.12% | +0.74 | 02/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.36 | bull_medium | +2.35% | +0.09 | 02/10 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.24 | bull_low | +1.42% | -0.67 | 02/10 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197713
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.593 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
70%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid 2b 1.7ATR | — | — | 4.81 | 95% | ↑ +0.40 | value | +3.06 | — | #105836 | 0.38 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.96 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#200890
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.856 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 3b 0.6ATR | — | — | 1.84 | 97% | ↑ +0.96 | above_value | -1.91 | inside | #107236 | 0.43 | bull_high | +4.12% | +0.74 |
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:18
|
|
1h
anchor #202027
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.592 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 8b -0.8ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.66 | 94% | ↓ -0.58 | value | -2.24 | — | #107782 | 0.36 | bull_medium | +2.35% | +0.09 |
02/10 06:00
upd 02/10 07:11
|
|
15m
#202257
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.477 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 14b -2.8ATR | — | — | 0.03 | 6% | ↓ -0.68 | value | -2.24 | — | #107782 | 0.24 | bull_low | +1.42% | -0.67 |
02/10 07:30
upd 02/10 07:48
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 2.441×ATR | p0 | +1.701×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.776×ATR | p30 | +0.599×ATR | p36 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 3.348×ATR | p74 | -0.798×ATR | p43 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 0.938×ATR | p3 | -2.794×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04294244
- tp_price: 0.0487859
- atr: 0.00186142
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T18:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 9
- total: 79
- score: 0.6786
- delta_2h: 0.0634
- extension_atr: -1.09
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.666
- confidence: 0.947
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0476 | 0.04294 | 0.04879 | 0.26 | 0.04627 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0476
- Stop Loss: 0.04294
- Take Profit: 0.04879
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04294 - 0.0476 = -0.00466
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0476 - 0.04879 = -0.00119
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00119 / -0.00466 = 0.2554
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81.8229 | 81.8229 | 1719.114 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00466
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00466 = -1716.74
Taille de position USD = -1716.74 x 0.0476 = -81.72
Donc, tu peux acheter -1716.74 avec un stoploss a 0.04294
Avec un position size USD de -81.72$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1716.74 x -0.00466 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1716.74 x -0.00119 = 2.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1716.74
- Taille de position USD -81.72
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2554
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.05 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.79 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.05 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3424 % | 3.5 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0476 | 0.04294 | 0.04879 | 0.26 | 0.04627 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0476
- Stop Loss: 0.04294
- Take Profit: 0.04879
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04294 - 0.0476 = -0.00466
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0476 - 0.04879 = -0.00119
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00119 / -0.00466 = 0.2554
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -9.790%
(0.0047)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.433% | 0.3R | -0.342% | 0.0R | 7.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +5.065% | 0.5R | -0.342% | 0.0R | 14.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.065% | 0.5R | -0.342% | 0.0R | 14.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.065% | 0.5R | -0.588% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.065% | 0.5R | -4.870% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.065% | 0.5R | -5.181% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.065% | 0.5R | -5.181% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.658% | 0.7R | -5.181% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.240% | 1.4R | -5.181% | 0.5R | 2.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 94 min
MAE in 519 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.