Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 200000 PENGU at 0.00986$ per unit. Take profit: 0.009943 (0.81 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009823 (0.41 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 200000 PENGU at 0.00986$ per unit. Take profit: 0.009943 (0.81 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009823 (0.41 %)
Position
Entry 0.009863$
Qty 200000 PENGU
Size 1972.6$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 0.009943 (+0.81%)
TP $ 16$
SL 0.009823 (-0.41%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6829
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.90×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.49×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.19×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.064324 15m : 0.740448 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 27.9% |
| 1h | 62.3% |
| 4h | 52.5% |
| 24h | 77.1% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 36.1% | -0.06% |
| 4h | 37.7% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 36.1% | +1.92% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7019 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.73% · r3d: -0.15% · ema21_slope: 1.5765% · dist_ema21: 4.529% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4336 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.20% · rs_3d: -1.80% · beta_24h: 1.532 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2606 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.447 · trend: 14.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8144 | ADX: 37.7 (trend) · Chop: 37.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.465% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5207 | r1h: -0.282% · r4h: -0.813% · r1d: 2.47% · r3d: 0.36% · ema21_slope: 0.1817% · dist_ema21: 1.375% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4331 | rs_1h: -0.427% · rs_4h: -1.187% · rs_1d: -0.54% · rs_3d: -2.12% · beta_24h: 2.576 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1930 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.530 · trend: -33.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6406 | ADX: 21.1 (weak) · Chop: 42.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.495% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5796 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.813% · r1d: 2.47% · r3d: 0.36% · ema21_slope: -0.0712% · dist_ema21: 1.719% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4306 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.187% · rs_1d: -0.54% · rs_3d: -2.12% · beta_24h: 2.625 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2293 | rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.596 · trend: -31.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5947 | ADX: 28.1 (trend) · Chop: 55.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6755 | ATR%: 3.973% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.440% | 3.6R | -0.872% | 2.2R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.551% | 3.8R | -0.872% | 2.2R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.551% | 3.8R | -2.667% | 6.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.551% | 3.8R | -12.451% | 30.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.551% | 3.8R | -12.451% | 30.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.551% | 3.8R | -12.451% | 30.7R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.551% | 3.8R | -12.451% | 30.7R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.906% | 4.7R | -12.451% | 30.7R | 0.2× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.72 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.94 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.4ATR | near 0.5ATR | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.12% | +0.21 | 02/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | bull_medium | +2.35% | +0.36 | 02/10 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.71 | bull_low | +1.31% | -0.10 | 02/10 07:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197668
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.681 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 16b 0.4ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.52 | 65% | ↑ +0.89 | below_value | -2.56 | — | #105815 | 0.72 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.94 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:24
|
|
4h
#200833
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.601 | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 10b 0.7ATR | near 0.4ATR | near 0.5ATR | 1.21 | 79% | ↓ -0.16 | above_value | +0.10 | — | #107217 | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.12% | +0.21 |
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:16
|
|
1h
anchor #202008
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.585 | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid 13b 1.3ATR | — | — | 0.30 | 12% | ↑ +0.41 | above_value | +0.36 | — | #107764 | 0.56 | bull_medium | +2.35% | +0.36 |
02/10 06:00
upd 02/10 07:10
|
|
15m
#202315
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.701 | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 13b -0.5ATR | near -1.5ATR | — | 1.25 | 65% | ↓ -0.47 | above_value | +0.36 | — | #107764 | 0.71 | bull_low | +1.31% | -0.10 |
02/10 07:45
upd 02/10 08:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 3.113×ATR | p21 | +0.381×ATR | p21 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 1.667×ATR | p0 | +0.65×ATR | p33 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 3.773×ATR | p73 | +1.266×ATR | p73 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.294×ATR | p74 | -0.476×ATR | p22 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
86160.7
0.00257962
86383
0.064324
0
0
86383
0.740448
84169.9
0.02615
86371
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0.6797
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0.3758
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0.2081
0.5845
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0.0301
0.5853
0.5421
0.166
0.0732
1
0.9191
1.2593
0.45
0.55
1
4
1
0.5632
0.4342
4.6741
0.55
2.7107
4.3587
1.2593
0.0465
0.3171
0
-0.2548
0.4321
0.5689
0.7404
0.5421
-6.1288
7.2563
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 06:50:00 | 0.009984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 07:30:00 | 0.009842 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 08:15:00 | 0.009918 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 08:40:00 | 0.010097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 09:00:00 | 0.009975 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 10:20:00 | 0.009876 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 10:40:00 | 0.009967 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 11:00:00 | 0.009899 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 11:15:00 | 0.009963 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 12:00:00 | 0.009836 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 20:00:00 | 0.009575 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 21:45:00 | 0.009338 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 00:15:00 | 0.009529 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 01:15:00 | 0.009375 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 03:15:00 | 0.009464 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 04:45:00 | 0.009996 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 07:30:00 | 0.009842 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 08:30:00 | 0.010097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 10:15:00 | 0.009876 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 12:00:00 | 0.009836 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 19:00:00 | 0.010091 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 02:00:00 | 0.010309 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 0.009659 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:00:00 | 0.010646 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 22:00:00 | 0.009449 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 06:00:00 | 0.009965 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 15:00:00 | 0.00922 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 18:00:00 | 0.009618 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 08:00:00 | 0.010097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 12:00:00 | 0.009836 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.009863 | 0.009823 | 0.009943 | 2 | 0.006362 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.009823 - 0.009863 = -4.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.009863 - 0.009943 = -8.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -8.0E-5 / -4.0E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1972.6 | 100 | 200000 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -4.0E-5 = -200000
Taille de position USD = -200000 x 0.009863 = -1972.6
Donc, tu peux acheter -200000 avec un stoploss a 0.009823
Avec un position size USD de -1972.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -200000 x -4.0E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -200000 x -8.0E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.81 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.81 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.009863 | 0.009823 | 0.009943 | 2 | 0.006362 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.009823 - 0.009863 = -4.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.009863 - 0.009943 = -8.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -8.0E-5 / -4.0E-5 = 2
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(
[take_profit] => 0.009983
[stop_loss] => 0.009823
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.010003
[stop_loss] => 0.009823
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.010023
[stop_loss] => 0.009823
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.010043
[stop_loss] => 0.009823
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.010063
[stop_loss] => 0.009823
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.010083
[stop_loss] => 0.009823
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.010103
[stop_loss] => 0.009823
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.010123
[stop_loss] => 0.009823
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.010143
[stop_loss] => 0.009823
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 12:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.440% | 3.6R | -0.872% | 2.2R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.551% | 3.8R | -0.872% | 2.2R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.551% | 3.8R | -2.667% | 6.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.551% | 3.8R | -12.451% | 30.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.551% | 3.8R | -12.451% | 30.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.551% | 3.8R | -12.451% | 30.7R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.551% | 3.8R | -12.451% | 30.7R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.906% | 4.7R | -12.451% | 30.7R | 0.2× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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