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Short Trade on LIT

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02 Oct 2026 at 08:15:12 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 50.16 LIT at 3.788$ per unit. Take profit: 3.6929 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.9471 (4.21 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 08:15 → 10:05 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 3.7876$

Qty 50.1611 LIT

Size 189.9901$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 3.6929 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.75$

SL 3.9471 (-4.21%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.59

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.75$ MAE -1.43% MFE +4.51% 1.1R expires 02 Oct 14:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172056)
#75 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0083

Quality Score
0.330
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#75 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#75 / 75
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.34×ATR
4h clear 0.64×ATR
1d clear 3.22×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.12
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
26.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 08:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/10 06:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4649
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.90

expansion

-1

Tactical bull

0.90

expansion

-1

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 57.9%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 27.9%
1h 62.3%
4h 52.5%
24h 77.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 36.1% -0.06%
4h 37.7% +0.12%
24h 36.1% +1.92%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.133
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 08:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3261
Score SMA
0.4613
Rank
#75 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0263
Rank Norm SMA
0.0850
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3555 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.67% · r3d: -14.30% · ema21_slope: 0.1503% · dist_ema21: -13.809%
Force Relative 25% 0.1798 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.14% · rs_3d: -15.96% · beta_24h: 0.465
Volume 20% 0.2937 rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.599 · trend: 39.56%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7715 ADX: 39.3 (trend) · Chop: 45.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.306% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3304
Score SMA
0.4336
Rank
#75 / 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0083
Rank Norm SMA
0.1603
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2442 r1h: -0.764% · r4h: -2.093% · r1d: -4.94% · r3d: -15.90% · ema21_slope: -0.1029% · dist_ema21: -1.901%
Force Relative 25% 0.1864 rs_1h: -0.909% · rs_4h: -2.467% · rs_1d: -7.94% · rs_3d: -18.37% · beta_24h: 1.497
Volume 20% 0.1619 rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.692 · trend: -73.53%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3500 ADX: 14.2 (weak) · Chop: 71.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.792% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.2300
Score SMA
0.3573
Rank
#75 / 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.0452
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1545 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.093% · r1d: -4.94% · r3d: -15.90% · ema21_slope: -0.5928% · dist_ema21: -6.165%
Force Relative 25% 0.0993 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.467% · rs_1d: -7.94% · rs_3d: -18.37% · beta_24h: 2.289
Volume 20% 0.1555 rvol_20: 0.13× · zscore_50: -0.668 · trend: -62.44%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5640 ADX: 39.8 (trend) · Chop: 71.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.2969 ATR%: 5.109% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.211% (0.1595)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.673% 0.2R -1.434% 0.3R 0.5× 12
2h +2.521% 0.6R -1.434% 0.3R 1.8× 24
4h +4.348% 1.0R -1.434% 0.3R 3.0× 48
6h ★ +4.510% 1.1R -1.434% 0.3R 3.2× 72
8h +6.809% 1.6R -1.434% 0.3R 4.8× 96
12h +6.809% 1.6R -1.434% 0.3R 4.8× 144
24h +9.724% 2.3R -1.434% 0.3R 6.8× 288
48h +9.724% 2.3R -1.434% 0.3R 6.8× 576
72h +9.724% 2.3R -4.351% 1.0R 2.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 1094 min MAE in 19 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.74
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 36% mid — — — bull_high +13.92% -0.98 30/09 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.34 bull_high +4.12% -0.94 02/10 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 34% early near 0.3ATR near 0.5ATR 0.35 bull_medium +2.35% -0.43 02/10 06:00
15m ↓ down transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 45% late near -1.4ATR — 0.37 bull_low +1.31% -0.25 02/10 07:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197722
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.460 expansion bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 36% mid 7b -1.3ATR — — 0.59 68% ↑ +0.26 above_value -1.67 — #105840 — bull_high +13.92% -0.98
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:27
4h
#200899
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.409 normal bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 36% early 14b -1.0ATR — — 0.28 21% ↓ -0.50 above_value -1.51 — #107239 0.34 bull_high +4.12% -0.94
02/10 00:00
upd 02/10 04:19
1h anchor
#202031
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.521 compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 34% early 7b -0.8ATR near 0.3ATR near 0.5ATR 0.29 5% ↓ -0.57 above_value -1.27 — #107785 0.35 bull_medium +2.35% -0.43
02/10 06:00
upd 02/10 07:11
15m
#202333
 ↓ down transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.523 compression bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 45% late 13b -1.9ATR near -1.4ATR — 0.87 19% ↔ +0.13 above_value -1.27 — #107785 0.37 bull_low +1.31% -0.25
02/10 07:45
upd 02/10 08:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 7b — 3.789×ATR p50 -1.295×ATR p69
4h ↑ up early 14b — 1.222×ATR p0 -0.963×ATR p59
1h ↑ up early 7b — 0.972×ATR p2 -0.847×ATR p53
15m ↓ down late 13b — 4.443×ATR p87 -1.902×ATR p91

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 3.94708624
  2. tp_price: 3.69291
  3. atr: 0.0637945
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T18:15:12+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 79
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.2956
  4. delta_2h: -0.0976
  5. extension_atr: -0.88
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0083
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.7876 3.9471 3.6929 0.59 3.3834
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.7876
  • Stop Loss: 3.9471
  • Take Profit: 3.6929

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.9471 - 3.7876 = 0.1595

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.7876 - 3.6929 = 0.0947

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0947 / 0.1595 = 0.5937

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
189.9901 100 50.1611 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1595

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1595 = 50.16

Taille de position USD = 50.16 x 3.7876 = 189.99

Donc, tu peux acheter 50.16 avec un stoploss a 3.9471

Avec un position size USD de 189.99$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 50.16 x 0.1595 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 50.16 x 0.0947 = 4.75

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.75$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 50.16
  • Taille de position USD 189.99
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.75
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5937

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.75 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.21 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
4.75 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.4336 % 34.04 % 9
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.7876 3.9471 3.6929 0.59 3.3834
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.7876
  • Stop Loss: 3.9471
  • Take Profit: 3.6929

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.9471 - 3.7876 = 0.1595

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.7876 - 3.6929 = 0.0947

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0947 / 0.1595 = 0.5937

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.211% (0.1595)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.673% 0.2R -1.434% 0.3R 0.5× 12
2h +2.521% 0.6R -1.434% 0.3R 1.8× 24
4h +4.348% 1.0R -1.434% 0.3R 3.0× 48
6h ★ +4.510% 1.1R -1.434% 0.3R 3.2× 72
8h +6.809% 1.6R -1.434% 0.3R 4.8× 96
12h +6.809% 1.6R -1.434% 0.3R 4.8× 144
24h +9.724% 2.3R -1.434% 0.3R 6.8× 288
48h +9.724% 2.3R -1.434% 0.3R 6.8× 576
72h +9.724% 2.3R -4.351% 1.0R 2.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 1094 min MAE in 19 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.