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Long Trade on IOTA

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02 Oct 2026 at 09:10:33 hyperliquid

Long Trade on IOTA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 6505.7 IOTA at 0.0559$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05901 (5.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05471 (2.2 %)

IOTA LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 09:10 → 10:50 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.05594$

Qty 6505.7047 IOTA

Size 363.9031$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.05901 (+5.49%)

TP $ 19.97$

SL 0.05471 (-2.2%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -2.20% / -8$ MAE -7.09% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 02 Oct 21:10

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: )
#41 / 82
OUT
seuil : top 15

Avg Rank 8h:

Quality Score
N/A
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#41 / 82
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
N/A
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#41 / 82
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h — — OK
4h — — OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
420,688 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 09:01
Coin Market Regime V2

—
BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4653
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.90

mature

+1

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 63.0%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 58.7%
1h 88.9%
4h 60.3%
24h 87.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 68.3% +0.07%
4h 41.3% +0.23%
24h 41.3% +2.47%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.166
Universe : 63 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 09:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Quality score non disponible pour ce trade.

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.199% (0.0012)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.493% 0.7R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.474% 1.1R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -2.825% 1.3R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -7.092% 3.2R 0.0× 96
12h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -7.092% 3.2R 0.0× 143
24h +0.000% 0.0R -7.092% 3.2R 0.0× 288
36h +0.000% 0.0R -7.092% 3.2R 0.0× 432
48h +10.742% 4.9R -7.092% 3.2R 1.5× 576
72h +13.400% 6.1R -7.092% 3.2R 1.9× 864

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
No context market snapshot

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 1
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.02×ATR dur=24b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_strong(+0.08)
  4. stop_price: 0.05470631
  5. tp_price: 0.05901022
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.9187485136251
  8. expires_at: 2026-10-03T01:10:25.767864
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.9187485136251
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : 0.5491
  10. obi_top10 : 0.4201
  11. micro_price : 0.05571483
  12. spread_pct : 0.125673
  13. mid_price : 0.055735
  14. bid_wall_price : 0.0548
  15. bid_wall_size : 539728.7
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price : 0.0567
  18. ask_wall_size : 307917.2
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : 0.5478
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0011
  23. pressure_side : bid
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 7075
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    0.055474
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    0.054077
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    0.0547755
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1790863200
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1790946000
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    2.0191
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    24
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: forming
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.9187
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1790928000
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    0.055474
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.7083
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    5
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.6677
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    2
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    4
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    5
  54. regime : bull_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.00069189
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
24
inside_close_ratio
0.7083
bars_since_breakout
5
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6677

Signaux confirmants (6)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 09:10 0.05593600 -0.007%
2 09:21 0.05593600 -0.007%
3 09:31 0.05593600 -0.007%
4 09:42 0.05578800 -0.272%
5 09:53 0.05578800 -0.272%
6 10:05 0.05578800 -0.272%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7075ms Confidence avant OB : 92% → 100%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.549
avg 0.548 ± 0.001
OBI Top 10 0.420

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0557
Micro Price
0.0557
Spread
0.1257%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.0548
Size
539,728.70

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.0567
Size
307,917.20

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05594 0.05471 0.05901 2.5 0.03382
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05594
  • Stop Loss: 0.05471
  • Take Profit: 0.05901

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05471 - 0.05594 = -0.00123

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05594 - 0.05901 = -0.00307

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00307 / -0.00123 = 2.4959

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
363.9031 100 6505.7047 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00123

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00123 = -6504.07

Taille de position USD = -6504.07 x 0.05594 = -363.84

Donc, tu peux acheter -6504.07 avec un stoploss a 0.05471

Avec un position size USD de -363.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -6504.07 x -0.00123 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -6504.07 x -0.00307 = 19.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -6504.07
  • Taille de position USD -363.84
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4959

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.49 % 19.97 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.2 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.20
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.2542 % 102.52 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05594 0.05471 0.05901 2.5 0.03382
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05594
  • Stop Loss: 0.05471
  • Take Profit: 0.05901

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05471 - 0.05594 = -0.00123

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05594 - 0.05901 = -0.00307

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00307 / -0.00123 = 2.4959

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05901
            [entry_price] => 0.05594
            [stop_loss] => 0.054587
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 15:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05901
            [entry_price] => 0.05594
            [stop_loss] => 0.054464
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 15:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05901
            [entry_price] => 0.05594
            [stop_loss] => 0.054341
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05901
            [entry_price] => 0.05594
            [stop_loss] => 0.054095
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.199% (0.0012)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.493% 0.7R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.474% 1.1R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -2.825% 1.3R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -7.092% 3.2R 0.0× 96
12h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -7.092% 3.2R 0.0× 143
24h +0.000% 0.0R -7.092% 3.2R 0.0× 288
36h +0.000% 0.0R -7.092% 3.2R 0.0× 432
48h +10.742% 4.9R -7.092% 3.2R 1.5× 576
72h +13.400% 6.1R -7.092% 3.2R 1.9× 864

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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