02 Oct 2026 at 09:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 65.67 ZRO at 1.882$ per unit. Take profit: 1.9292 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.7603 (6.47 %)

ZRO LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 09:15 → 09:25 · 9 minutes

Position

Entry 1.8821$

Qty 65.671 ZRO

Size 123.5994$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 1.9292 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.09$

SL 1.7603 (-6.47%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.39

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.09$ MAE -7.91% MFE +6.66% 1.0R expires 02 Oct 15:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172162)
#6 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9053

Quality Score
0.728
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -0.52×ATR
1d clear 1.86×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.23
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
25.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 09:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

02/10 08:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4653
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.90

mature

+1

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 63.0%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 58.7%
1h 88.9%
4h 60.3%
24h 87.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 68.3% +0.07%
4h 41.3% +0.23%
24h 41.3% +2.47%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.166
Universe : 63 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 09:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8009
Score SMA
0.7718
Rank
#5 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9474
Rank Norm SMA
0.8392
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9791 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.54% · r3d: 15.59% · ema21_slope: 3.2315% · dist_ema21: 27.930%
Force Relative 25% 0.8920 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.07% · rs_3d: 13.94% · beta_24h: 0.135
Volume 20% 0.7432 rvol_20: 1.96× · zscore_50: 1.640 · trend: 134.08%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9035 ADX: 48.4 (trend) · Chop: 27.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.168% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.7280
Score SMA
0.5962
Rank
#6 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9053
Rank Norm SMA
0.6565
Calculé le
02/10/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8449 r1h: 2.347% · r4h: 1.693% · r1d: 12.79% · r3d: 16.59% · ema21_slope: 0.3311% · dist_ema21: 3.468%
Force Relative 25% 0.8267 rs_1h: 1.881% · rs_4h: 1.011% · rs_1d: 9.09% · rs_3d: 13.63% · beta_24h: 1.972
Volume 20% 0.4228 rvol_20: 1.39× · zscore_50: 0.523 · trend: -15.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5555 ADX: 26.3 (trend) · Chop: 58.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.695% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6008
Score SMA
0.6083
Rank
#12 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8757
Rank Norm SMA
0.6696
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8565 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.693% · r1d: 11.55% · r3d: 15.58% · ema21_slope: 0.5060% · dist_ema21: 6.815%
Force Relative 25% 0.8184 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.067% · rs_1d: 8.54% · rs_3d: 13.11% · beta_24h: -0.202
Volume 20% 0.2087 rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.760 · trend: -5.44%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5550 ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 57.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.1425 ATR%: 5.573% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.472% (0.1218)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +5.871% 0.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +6.658% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +6.658% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +6.658% 1.0R -7.906% 1.2R 0.8× 72
8h +6.658% 1.0R -7.906% 1.2R 0.8× 96
12h +6.658% 1.0R -7.906% 1.2R 0.8× 144
24h +10.967% 1.7R -8.209% 1.3R 1.3× 288
48h +14.197% 2.2R -8.209% 1.3R 1.7× 576
72h +14.197% 2.2R -8.209% 1.3R 1.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 1424 min MAE in 1104 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.75
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.43 bull_high +13.92% +1.00 30/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
70%
noisy_chop 43% mid — near -0.5ATR 0.29 bull_high +4.41% +0.92 02/10 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 45% mid — — 0.27 bull_medium_confirmed +2.87% +0.55 02/10 08:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 34% mid — — 0.41 bull_low_confirmed +1.66% +0.08 02/10 08:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197583
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.687 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 41% late 16b 2.0ATR — — 1.96 98% ↑ +0.94 above_value +4.24 — #105788 0.43 bull_high +13.92% +1.00
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:20
4h
#202387
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.601 expansion bull_high
70%
noisy_chop 43% mid 6b 1.1ATR — near -0.5ATR 0.32 67% ↔ -0.10 above_value +5.49 — #107888 0.29 bull_high +4.41% +0.92
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 08:13
1h anchor
#202821
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.607 normal bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 45% mid 6b 1.3ATR — — 1.39 90% ↓ -0.69 above_value +6.28 inside #108116 0.27 bull_medium_confirmed +2.87% +0.55
02/10 08:00
upd 02/10 09:09
15m
#202748
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.430 compression bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 34% mid 3b 1.6ATR — — 6.73 96% ↑ +0.25 above_value +5.49 — #107888 0.41 bull_low_confirmed +1.66% +0.08
02/10 08:45
upd 02/10 09:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 16b — 5.366×ATR p71 +2.006×ATR p90
4h ↑ up mid 6b — 2.212×ATR p8 +1.149×ATR p64
1h ↓ down mid 6b — 0.971×ATR p2 +1.31×ATR p73
15m ↑ up mid 3b — 2.307×ATR p30 +1.55×ATR p76

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.76028059
  2. tp_price: 1.9291525
  3. atr: 0.04872776
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T19:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 81
  3. score: 0.8449
  4. delta_2h: 0.1015
  5. extension_atr: 0.93
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9086
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.8821 1.7603 1.9292 0.39 1.5438
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.8821
  • Stop Loss: 1.7603
  • Take Profit: 1.9292

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.7603 - 1.8821 = -0.1218

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.8821 - 1.9292 = -0.0471

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0471 / -0.1218 = 0.3867

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
123.5994 100 65.671 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1218

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1218 = -65.68

Taille de position USD = -65.68 x 1.8821 = -123.62

Donc, tu peux acheter -65.68 avec un stoploss a 1.7603

Avec un position size USD de -123.62$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -65.68 x -0.1218 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -65.68 x -0.0471 = 3.09

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.09$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -65.68
  • Taille de position USD -123.62
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.09
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3867

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.09 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.47 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.09 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.8821 1.7603 1.9292 0.39 1.5438
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.8821
  • Stop Loss: 1.7603
  • Take Profit: 1.9292

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.7603 - 1.8821 = -0.1218

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.8821 - 1.9292 = -0.0471

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0471 / -0.1218 = 0.3867

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.1257
            [stop_loss] => 1.7603
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.1866
            [stop_loss] => 1.7603
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.2475
            [stop_loss] => 1.7603
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.3084
            [stop_loss] => 1.7603
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.3693
            [stop_loss] => 1.7603
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.4302
            [stop_loss] => 1.7603
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.4911
            [stop_loss] => 1.7603
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.552
            [stop_loss] => 1.7603
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.6129
            [stop_loss] => 1.7603
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.6738
            [stop_loss] => 1.7603
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.7347
            [stop_loss] => 1.7603
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.472% (0.1218)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +5.871% 0.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +6.658% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +6.658% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +6.658% 1.0R -7.906% 1.2R 0.8× 72
8h +6.658% 1.0R -7.906% 1.2R 0.8× 96
12h +6.658% 1.0R -7.906% 1.2R 0.8× 144
24h +10.967% 1.7R -8.209% 1.3R 1.3× 288
48h +14.197% 2.2R -8.209% 1.3R 1.7× 576
72h +14.197% 2.2R -8.209% 1.3R 1.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 1424 min MAE in 1104 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.