02 Oct 2026 at 09:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SUPER (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 496.86 SUPER at 0.228$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2341 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2123 (7.05 %)

SUPER LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 09:15 → 12:35 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.2284$

Qty 496.8595 SUPER

Size 113.4927$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2341 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.83$

SL 0.2123 (-7.05%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.35

Status win PnL +2.50% / +2.83$ MAE -3.56% MFE +2.65% 0.4R expires 02 Oct 15:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172172)
#13 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9069

Quality Score
0.650
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#13 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.05 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#13 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.05 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.55×ATR
4h clear —
1d near -0.57×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.23
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 09:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

02/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

02/10 08:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4653
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.90

mature

+1

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 63.0%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 58.7%
1h 88.9%
4h 60.3%
24h 87.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 68.3% +0.07%
4h 41.3% +0.23%
24h 41.3% +2.47%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.166
Universe : 63 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 09:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.6495
Score SMA
0.6653
Rank
#13 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9069
Rank Norm SMA
0.8494
Calculé le
02/10/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8599 r1h: 1.230% · r4h: 0.855% · r1d: 15.84% · r3d: 14.94% · ema21_slope: 0.4796% · dist_ema21: 2.735%
Force Relative 25% 0.7603 rs_1h: 0.764% · rs_4h: 0.173% · rs_1d: 12.15% · rs_3d: 11.98% · beta_24h: 1.272
Volume 20% 0.1952 rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.419 · trend: -32.61%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7854 ADX: 46.3 (trend) · Chop: 50.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9991 ATR%: 3.003% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.7362
Score SMA
0.7286
Rank
#5 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9607
Rank Norm SMA
0.9488
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8045 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.893% · r1d: 14.59% · r3d: 14.56% · ema21_slope: 0.6261% · dist_ema21: 8.596%
Force Relative 25% 0.8615 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.519% · rs_1d: 11.58% · rs_3d: 12.09% · beta_24h: 1.507
Volume 20% 0.5014 rvol_20: 1.05× · zscore_50: 0.201 · trend: 144.04%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8225 ADX: 38.7 (trend) · Chop: 26.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5585 ATR%: 4.325% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.049% (0.0161)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.718% 0.1R -1.441% 0.2R 0.5× 12
2h +0.718% 0.1R -2.434% 0.4R 0.3× 24
4h +2.653% 0.4R -2.434% 0.4R 1.1× 48
6h ★ +2.653% 0.4R -3.564% 0.5R 0.7× 72
8h +2.653% 0.4R -3.564% 0.5R 0.7× 96
12h +7.824% 1.1R -3.564% 0.5R 2.2× 144
24h +14.483% 2.1R -3.564% 0.5R 4.1× 288
48h +23.161% 3.3R -3.564% 0.5R 6.5× 576
72h +23.161% 3.3R -3.564% 0.5R 6.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1339 min MAE in 324 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.68
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
64%
choppy 53% late — near -0.6ATR 0.64 bull_high +13.92% +1.00 30/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
noisy_chop 46% mid — — 0.49 bull_high +4.41% +0.89 02/10 04:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.30 bull_medium_confirmed +2.87% +0.73 02/10 08:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.33 bull_low +1.31% +0.10 02/10 08:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#200068
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.721 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
64%
choppy 53% late 7b 3.1ATR — near -0.6ATR 2.41 95% ↑ +0.72 above_value +4.79 — #106888 0.64 bull_high +13.92% +1.00
30/09 20:00
upd 02/10 02:18
4h
#202407
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.856 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
noisy_chop 46% mid 2b 1.8ATR — — 1.05 91% ↑ +0.89 value +3.96 — #107898 0.49 bull_high +4.41% +0.89
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 08:14
1h anchor
#202831
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.607 expansion_after_compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 40% early 2b 0.7ATR — — 0.21 75% ↓ -0.49 above_value +4.41 — #108126 0.30 bull_medium_confirmed +2.87% +0.73
02/10 08:00
upd 02/10 09:10
15m
#202680
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.656 compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 43% early 9b -0.3ATR — — 0.39 50% ↓ -0.48 value +3.96 — #107898 0.33 bull_low +1.31% +0.10
02/10 08:30
upd 02/10 08:46
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 7b — 4.123×ATR p66 +3.135×ATR p97
4h ↓ down mid 2b — 1.596×ATR p0 +1.819×ATR p75
1h ↓ down early 2b — 0.549×ATR p0 +0.685×ATR p37
15m ↓ down early 9b — 2.527×ATR p17 -0.264×ATR p13

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.21231887
  2. tp_price: 0.2341305
  3. atr: 0.00644045
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T19:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 7
  2. total: 81
  3. score: 0.7796
  4. delta_2h: 0.1188
  5. extension_atr: 0.75
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9053
  9. confidence: 0.975

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2284 0.2123 0.2341 0.35 0.158
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2284
  • Stop Loss: 0.2123
  • Take Profit: 0.2341

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2123 - 0.2284 = -0.0161

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2284 - 0.2341 = -0.0057

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0057 / -0.0161 = 0.354

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
113.4927 100 496.8595 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0161

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0161 = -496.89

Taille de position USD = -496.89 x 0.2284 = -113.49

Donc, tu peux acheter -496.89 avec un stoploss a 0.2123

Avec un position size USD de -113.49$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -496.89 x -0.0161 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -496.89 x -0.0057 = 2.83

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.83$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -496.89
  • Taille de position USD -113.49
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.83
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.354

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.83 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.05 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
2.83 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.4343 % 34.53 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2284 0.2123 0.2341 0.35 0.158
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2284
  • Stop Loss: 0.2123
  • Take Profit: 0.2341

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2123 - 0.2284 = -0.0161

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2284 - 0.2341 = -0.0057

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0057 / -0.0161 = 0.354

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.049% (0.0161)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.718% 0.1R -1.441% 0.2R 0.5× 12
2h +0.718% 0.1R -2.434% 0.4R 0.3× 24
4h +2.653% 0.4R -2.434% 0.4R 1.1× 48
6h ★ +2.653% 0.4R -3.564% 0.5R 0.7× 72
8h +2.653% 0.4R -3.564% 0.5R 0.7× 96
12h +7.824% 1.1R -3.564% 0.5R 2.2× 144
24h +14.483% 2.1R -3.564% 0.5R 4.1× 288
48h +23.161% 3.3R -3.564% 0.5R 6.5× 576
72h +23.161% 3.3R -3.564% 0.5R 6.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1339 min MAE in 324 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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