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Long Trade on TRUMP

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02 Oct 2026 at 09:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on TRUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 109.85 TRUMP at 2.196$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2511 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1234 (3.31 %)

TRUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 09:15 → 12:40 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 2.1962$

Qty 109.8524 TRUMP

Size 241.2579$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 2.2511 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.03$

SL 2.1234 (-3.31%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.75

Status loss PnL -3.31% / -8$ MAE -9.96% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 02 Oct 15:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172195)
#5 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5616

Quality Score
0.736
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.19×ATR
4h near 0.07×ATR
1d clear 3.74×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.23
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 09:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 08:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4653
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.90

mature

+1

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 63.0%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 58.7%
1h 88.9%
4h 60.3%
24h 87.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 68.3% +0.07%
4h 41.3% +0.23%
24h 41.3% +2.47%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.166
Universe : 63 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 09:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3920
Score SMA
0.3681
Rank
#74 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0395
Rank Norm SMA
0.0161
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5143 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.30% · r3d: 2.43% · ema21_slope: -0.0217% · dist_ema21: -0.803%
Force Relative 25% 0.4044 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.17% · rs_3d: 0.78% · beta_24h: 1.533
Volume 20% 0.4166 rvol_20: 1.85× · zscore_50: -0.192 · trend: -39.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3554 ADX: 18.1 (weak) · Chop: 74.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.784% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.7358
Score SMA
0.5185
Rank
#5 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5616
Rank Norm SMA
0.4557
Calculé le
02/10/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7552 r1h: 1.961% · r4h: 3.866% · r1d: 6.16% · r3d: 6.22% · ema21_slope: 0.1459% · dist_ema21: 4.019%
Force Relative 25% 0.6866 rs_1h: 1.494% · rs_4h: 3.184% · rs_1d: 2.47% · rs_3d: 3.26% · beta_24h: 1.382
Volume 20% 0.7927 rvol_20: 3.03× · zscore_50: 0.948 · trend: 47.17%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6544 ADX: 18.5 (weak) · Chop: 32.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.374% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5809
Score SMA
0.4954
Rank
#15 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7131
Rank Norm SMA
0.3410
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6371 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.893% · r1d: 3.25% · r3d: 5.18% · ema21_slope: 0.0944% · dist_ema21: 3.386%
Force Relative 25% 0.5548 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.519% · rs_1d: 0.25% · rs_3d: 2.71% · beta_24h: 1.588
Volume 20% 0.3275 rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: -0.053 · trend: -11.55%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6021 ADX: 26.5 (trend) · Chop: 52.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9523 ATR%: 3.143% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.315% (0.0728)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.694% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.251% 1.0R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -4.262% 1.3R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -9.958% 3.0R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -9.958% 3.0R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -9.958% 3.0R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -9.958% 3.0R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -9.958% 3.0R 0.0× 576
72h +0.000% 0.0R -9.958% 3.0R 0.0× 864

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range strong balanced compression bull_high
49%
noisy_chop 33% mid — — 0.47 bull_high +13.92% -0.51 30/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 37% early — near 0.1ATR 0.32 bull_high +4.41% +0.45 02/10 04:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.51 bull_medium_confirmed +2.87% +0.40 02/10 08:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_medium_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.43 bull_low_confirmed +1.66% +0.30 02/10 08:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197677
 ↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.535 compression bull_high
49%
noisy_chop 33% mid 33b -0.1ATR — — 1.85 86% ↑ +0.29 above_value -0.46 — #105819 0.47 bull_high +13.92% -0.51
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:25
4h
#202462
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.700 normal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 37% early 8b 1.0ATR — near 0.1ATR 1.00 51% ↑ +0.57 value +2.81 — #107920 0.32 bull_high +4.41% +0.45
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 08:17
1h anchor
#202853
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.607 compression bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 43% late 26b 3.4ATR — — 3.03 92% ↑ +0.32 above_value +3.76 — #108148 0.51 bull_medium_confirmed +2.87% +0.40
02/10 08:00
upd 02/10 09:11
15m
#202778
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.614 volatile_reversal bull_medium_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 41% late 1b 2.7ATR — — 0.93 77% ↑ +0.67 value +2.81 — #107920 0.43 bull_low_confirmed +1.66% +0.30
02/10 08:45
upd 02/10 09:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 33b — 5.582×ATR p50 -0.096×ATR p2
4h ↓ down early 8b — 1.65×ATR p0 +0.96×ATR p59
1h ↑ up late 26b — 5.506×ATR p98 +3.356×ATR p100
15m ↓ down late 1b — 1.674×ATR p9 +2.681×ATR p95

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 2.12337502
  2. tp_price: 2.251105
  3. atr: 0.02912999
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T19:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 10
  2. total: 81
  3. score: 0.7487
  4. delta_2h: 0.113
  5. extension_atr: 2.94
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5633
  9. confidence: 0.938

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.1962 2.1234 2.2511 0.75 1.1271
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.1962
  • Stop Loss: 2.1234
  • Take Profit: 2.2511

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.1234 - 2.1962 = -0.0728

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.1962 - 2.2511 = -0.0549

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0549 / -0.0728 = 0.7541

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
241.2579 100 109.8524 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0728

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0728 = -109.89

Taille de position USD = -109.89 x 2.1962 = -241.34

Donc, tu peux acheter -109.89 avec un stoploss a 2.1234

Avec un position size USD de -241.34$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -109.89 x -0.0728 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -109.89 x -0.0549 = 6.03

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.03$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -109.89
  • Taille de position USD -241.34
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.03
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7541

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.03 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.31 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -3.31
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.9341 % 118.68 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.1962 2.1234 2.2511 0.75 1.1271
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.1962
  • Stop Loss: 2.1234
  • Take Profit: 2.2511

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.1234 - 2.1962 = -0.0728

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.1962 - 2.2511 = -0.0549

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0549 / -0.0728 = 0.7541

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.2511
            [entry_price] => 2.1962
            [stop_loss] => 2.11612
            [rr_ratio] => 0.69
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 16:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.2511
            [entry_price] => 2.1962
            [stop_loss] => 2.10884
            [rr_ratio] => 0.63
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.2511
            [entry_price] => 2.1962
            [stop_loss] => 2.10156
            [rr_ratio] => 0.58
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.2511
            [entry_price] => 2.1962
            [stop_loss] => 2.087
            [rr_ratio] => 0.5
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.315% (0.0728)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.694% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.251% 1.0R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -4.262% 1.3R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -9.958% 3.0R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -9.958% 3.0R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -9.958% 3.0R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -9.958% 3.0R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -9.958% 3.0R 0.0× 576
72h +0.000% 0.0R -9.958% 3.0R 0.0× 864

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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