02 Oct 2026 at 09:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 3897.84 MON at 0.0345$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03532 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03241 (5.95 %)

MON LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 09:15 → 09:20 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 0.03446$

Qty 3897.8377 MON

Size 134.3117$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.03532 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.35$

SL 0.03241 (-5.95%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.42

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.35$ MAE -11.23% MFE +4.27% 0.7R expires 02 Oct 15:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172206)
#25 / 76
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7462

Quality Score
0.614
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#25 / 76
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#25 / 76
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.48×ATR
4h clear —
1d near -0.82×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.23
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
20.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 09:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

02/10 08:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4653
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.90

expansion

+1

Tactical bull

0.90

mature

+1

Micro bull

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 63.0%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 58.7%
1h 88.9%
4h 60.3%
24h 87.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 68.3% +0.07%
4h 41.3% +0.23%
24h 41.3% +2.47%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.166
Universe : 63 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 09:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8233
Score SMA
0.6324
Rank
#1 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.5230
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9770 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 5.80% · r3d: 18.09% · ema21_slope: 1.0171% · dist_ema21: 25.062%
Force Relative 25% 0.8772 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 4.33% · rs_3d: 16.44% · beta_24h: 1.163
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.15× · zscore_50: 4.208 · trend: 152.87%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7396 ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 36.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.112% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.6137
Score SMA
0.6088
Rank
#25 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7462
Rank Norm SMA
0.6749
Calculé le
02/10/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8075 r1h: 1.659% · r4h: 1.772% · r1d: 4.95% · r3d: 18.20% · ema21_slope: 0.1601% · dist_ema21: 2.826%
Force Relative 25% 0.7130 rs_1h: 1.192% · rs_4h: 1.090% · rs_1d: 1.25% · rs_3d: 15.24% · beta_24h: 1.449
Volume 20% 0.4154 rvol_20: 1.55× · zscore_50: 0.139 · trend: -21.13%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3932 ADX: 22.9 (weak) · Chop: 75.0 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.469% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6446
Score SMA
0.6279
Rank
#9 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9019
Rank Norm SMA
0.6456
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8133 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.280% · r1d: 2.95% · r3d: 17.11% · ema21_slope: 1.1537% · dist_ema21: 9.004%
Force Relative 25% 0.7443 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.094% · rs_1d: -0.05% · rs_3d: 14.64% · beta_24h: 2.765
Volume 20% 0.2497 rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.322 · trend: 3.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8062 ADX: 36.7 (trend) · Chop: 33.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.4365 ATR%: 4.691% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.949% (0.0021)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.987% 0.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.987% 0.7R -0.917% 0.2R 4.4× 24
4h +4.275% 0.7R -4.005% 0.7R 1.1× 48
6h ★ +4.275% 0.7R -11.228% 1.9R 0.4× 72
8h +4.275% 0.7R -11.228% 1.9R 0.4× 96
12h +4.275% 0.7R -11.228% 1.9R 0.4× 144
24h +4.275% 0.7R -11.228% 1.9R 0.4× 288
48h +4.275% 0.7R -11.228% 1.9R 0.4× 576
72h +4.275% 0.7R -11.228% 1.9R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 174 min MAE in 319 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.92
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
71%
noisy_chop 48% late — near -0.8ATR 0.58 bull_high +13.92% +0.99 30/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading expansion bull_high
70%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.50 bull_high +4.41% +0.95 02/10 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 33% mid — near -0.5ATR 0.52 bull_medium_confirmed +2.87% +0.20 02/10 08:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 40% mid — near -0.2ATR 0.48 bull_low_confirmed +1.66% +0.11 02/10 08:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197709
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.715 expansion bull_high_confirmed
71%
noisy_chop 48% late 16b 2.3ATR — near -0.8ATR 4.15 100% ↑ +0.82 above_value +5.42 — #105834 0.58 bull_high +13.92% +0.99
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
4h
#202498
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading 0.536 expansion bull_high
70%
noisy_chop 44% late 6b 1.6ATR — — 0.49 78% ↑ +0.47 above_value +7.41 inside #107932 0.50 bull_high +4.41% +0.95
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 08:19
1h anchor
#202865
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.584 compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 33% mid 7b 1.3ATR — near -0.5ATR 1.55 89% ↓ -0.42 above_value +7.77 — #108160 0.52 bull_medium_confirmed +2.87% +0.20
02/10 08:00
upd 02/10 09:11
15m
#202789
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.610 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 40% mid 3b 1.7ATR — near -0.2ATR 2.07 70% ↑ +0.53 above_value +7.41 — #107932 0.48 bull_low_confirmed +1.66% +0.11
02/10 08:45
upd 02/10 09:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 16b — 4.706×ATR p65 +2.331×ATR p96
4h ↑ up late 6b — 1.606×ATR p0 +1.626×ATR p82
1h ↑ up mid 7b — 2.071×ATR p20 +1.294×ATR p72
15m ↑ up mid 3b — 2.237×ATR p37 +1.684×ATR p80

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.03240558
  2. tp_price: 0.03531945
  3. atr: 0.00082097
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T19:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 8
  2. total: 81
  3. score: 0.7793
  4. delta_2h: 0.0521
  5. extension_atr: 0.87
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7295
  9. confidence: 0.963

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03446 0.03241 0.03532 0.42 0.01659
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03446
  • Stop Loss: 0.03241
  • Take Profit: 0.03532

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.03241 - 0.03446 = -0.00205

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03446 - 0.03532 = -0.00086

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00086 / -0.00205 = 0.4195

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
134.3117 100 3897.8377 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00205

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00205 = -3902.44

Taille de position USD = -3902.44 x 0.03446 = -134.48

Donc, tu peux acheter -3902.44 avec un stoploss a 0.03241

Avec un position size USD de -134.48$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3902.44 x -0.00205 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3902.44 x -0.00086 = 3.36

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.36$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -3902.44
  • Taille de position USD -134.48
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.36
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4195

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.35 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.95 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
3.35 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03446 0.03241 0.03532 0.42 0.01659
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03446
  • Stop Loss: 0.03241
  • Take Profit: 0.03532

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.03241 - 0.03446 = -0.00205

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03446 - 0.03532 = -0.00086

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00086 / -0.00205 = 0.4195

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03856
            [stop_loss] => 0.03241
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.039585
            [stop_loss] => 0.03241
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04061
            [stop_loss] => 0.03241
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.041635
            [stop_loss] => 0.03241
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04266
            [stop_loss] => 0.03241
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.043685
            [stop_loss] => 0.03241
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04471
            [stop_loss] => 0.03241
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.045735
            [stop_loss] => 0.03241
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04676
            [stop_loss] => 0.03241
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.047785
            [stop_loss] => 0.03241
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04881
            [stop_loss] => 0.03241
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.949% (0.0021)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.987% 0.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.987% 0.7R -0.917% 0.2R 4.4× 24
4h +4.275% 0.7R -4.005% 0.7R 1.1× 48
6h ★ +4.275% 0.7R -11.228% 1.9R 0.4× 72
8h +4.275% 0.7R -11.228% 1.9R 0.4× 96
12h +4.275% 0.7R -11.228% 1.9R 0.4× 144
24h +4.275% 0.7R -11.228% 1.9R 0.4× 288
48h +4.275% 0.7R -11.228% 1.9R 0.4× 576
72h +4.275% 0.7R -11.228% 1.9R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 174 min MAE in 319 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.