Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 33384.8 PUMP at 0.00607$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006668 (9.87 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005829 (3.95 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 33384.8 PUMP at 0.00607$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006668 (9.87 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005829 (3.95 %)
Position
Entry 0.006069$
Qty 33384.8016 PUMP
Size 202.6124$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006668 (+9.87%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.005829 (-3.95%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7206
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.14×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.36×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 32.3% |
| 1h | 40.3% |
| 4h | 54.8% |
| 24h | 91.9% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 32.3% | -0.19% |
| 4h | 40.3% | +0.19% |
| 24h | 58.1% | +4.12% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8911 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.77% · r3d: 18.14% · ema21_slope: 1.6028% · dist_ema21: 25.225% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8078 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.24% · rs_3d: 16.49% · beta_24h: 1.226 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5995 | rvol_20: 1.66× · zscore_50: 0.632 · trend: 78.59% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7902 | ADX: 36.4 (trend) · Chop: 39.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.915% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7405 | r1h: 1.896% · r4h: 4.815% · r1d: 8.31% · r3d: 6.36% · ema21_slope: 0.1496% · dist_ema21: 3.874% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7817 | rs_1h: 2.197% · rs_4h: 4.581% · rs_1d: 5.20% · rs_3d: 3.56% · beta_24h: 1.558 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6185 | rvol_20: 1.82× · zscore_50: 1.694 · trend: 20.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4859 | ADX: 13.5 (weak) · Chop: 53.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.917% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7071 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.498% · r1d: 2.50% · r3d: 3.51% · ema21_slope: 0.5832% · dist_ema21: 3.607% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5675 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.872% · rs_1d: -0.50% · rs_3d: 1.03% · beta_24h: 1.561 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3750 | rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: 0.270 · trend: 16.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5738 | ADX: 35.4 (trend) · Chop: 65.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1127 | ATR%: 5.662% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.450% | 0.4R | -1.961% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.549% | 0.4R | -1.961% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.241% | 0.6R | -7.217% | 1.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.241% | 0.6R | -16.049% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.241% | 0.6R | -16.049% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.241% | 0.6R | -16.049% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +7.102% | 1.8R | -16.049% | 4.1R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +8.535% | 2.2R | -16.049% | 4.1R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.292% | 3.1R | -16.049% | 4.1R | 0.8× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.28 | bull_high | +4.41% | +0.91 | 02/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.37 | bull_medium_confirmed | +2.50% | +0.25 | 02/10 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.39 | bull_low | +0.95% | +0.33 | 02/10 10:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197692
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.690 | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 15b 2.0ATR | — | — | 1.66 | 94% | ↑ +0.68 | above_value | +0.39 | inside | #105826 | 0.50 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
|
|
4h
#202477
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.584 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 5b 0.6ATR | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.93 | 89% | ↓ -0.27 | above_value | +0.54 | — | #107925 | 0.28 | bull_high | +4.41% | +0.91 |
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 08:18
|
|
1h
anchor #203241
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.703 | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 3b 1.3ATR | — | near -1.1ATR | 1.82 | 92% | ↔ +0.12 | above_value | +1.86 | inside | #108308 | 0.37 | bull_medium_confirmed | +2.50% | +0.25 |
02/10 09:00
upd 02/10 10:12
|
|
15m
#203320
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.533 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 6b 1.2ATR | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.54 | 39% | ↑ +0.35 | above_value | +1.86 | — | #108308 | 0.39 | bull_low | +0.95% | +0.33 |
02/10 10:00
upd 02/10 10:18
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 4.222×ATR | p65 | +2.021×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.333×ATR | p0 | +0.648×ATR | p39 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.993×ATR | p37 | +1.349×ATR | p70 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +1.238×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.005996
0.005697
0.0058465
1790809200
1790949600
1.7459
40
0.7699
1790946000
0.005996
0.675
1
0.4263
0
5
9
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:19 | 0.00606900 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:30 | 0.00606900 | 0% |
| 3 | 11:17 | 0.00600100 | -1.12% |
| 4 | 11:28 | 0.00600100 | -1.12% |
| 5 | 11:39 | 0.00599900 | -1.153% |
| 6 | 11:49 | 0.00599900 | -1.153% |
| 7 | 11:59 | 0.00599900 | -1.153% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006069 | 0.005829 | 0.006668 | 2.5 | 0.003355 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.005829 - 0.006069 = -0.00024
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006069 - 0.006668 = -0.000599
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000599 / -0.00024 = 2.4958
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 202.6124 | 100 | 33384.8016 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00024 = -33333.33
Taille de position USD = -33333.33 x 0.006069 = -202.3
Donc, tu peux acheter -33333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.005829
Avec un position size USD de -202.3$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -33333.33 x -0.00024 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -33333.33 x -0.000599 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.87 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.95 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -3.95 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.663 % | 117.92 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006069 | 0.005829 | 0.006668 | 2.5 | 0.003355 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.005829 - 0.006069 = -0.00024
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006069 - 0.006668 = -0.000599
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000599 / -0.00024 = 2.4958
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006668
[entry_price] => 0.006069
[stop_loss] => 0.005805
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006668
[entry_price] => 0.006069
[stop_loss] => 0.005781
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006668
[entry_price] => 0.006069
[stop_loss] => 0.005757
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006668
[entry_price] => 0.006069
[stop_loss] => 0.005709
[rr_ratio] => 1.66
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.450% | 0.4R | -1.961% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.549% | 0.4R | -1.961% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.241% | 0.6R | -7.217% | 1.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.241% | 0.6R | -16.049% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.241% | 0.6R | -16.049% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.241% | 0.6R | -16.049% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +7.102% | 1.8R | -16.049% | 4.1R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +8.535% | 2.2R | -16.049% | 4.1R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.292% | 3.1R | -16.049% | 4.1R | 0.8× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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