Long Trade on BCH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.43 BCH at 312.4$ per unit. Take profit: 326.3427 (4.46 %) & Stop Loss: 306.8229 (1.79 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 10:36:56
hyperliquid
BCH
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 10:36
→ 14:20
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 312.4$
Qty 1.4344 BCH
Size 448.1194$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 326.3427 (+4.46%)
TP $ 20$
SL 306.8229 (-1.79%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.79%
/ -8$
MAE -5.09%
MFE +0.86%
0.5R
expires
02 Oct 22:36
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 172231)
#59 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 10:00
score du 02/10/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4807
Quality Score
0.576
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#59 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#59 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 8.61×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.19×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.78×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 10:30
02/10 10:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4659
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
57.5%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 59.7% |
| 1h | 40.3% |
| 4h | 54.8% |
| 24h | 91.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 69.4% | +0.04% |
| 4h | 40.3% | +0.19% |
| 24h | 58.1% | +4.12% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.200
Universe :
62
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 10:31
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5004
Score SMA
0.5628
Rank
#50
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3553
Rank Norm SMA
0.3357
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6815 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.02% · r3d: -0.25% · ema21_slope: 2.0220% · dist_ema21: 5.944% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4882 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.45% · rs_3d: -1.91% · beta_24h: 1.233 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2355 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.173 · trend: -14.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8451 | ADX: 41.4 (trend) · Chop: 28.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.492% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.5757
Score SMA
0.4932
Rank
#59
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4807
Rank Norm SMA
0.3573
Calculé le
02/10/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5564 | r1h: -0.022% · r4h: -0.092% · r1d: 2.63% · r3d: 1.50% · ema21_slope: 0.1364% · dist_ema21: 1.074% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4880 | rs_1h: 0.279% · rs_4h: -0.326% · rs_1d: -0.48% · rs_3d: -1.30% · beta_24h: 1.245 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4712 | rvol_20: 1.60× · zscore_50: 0.425 · trend: 0.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6172 | ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 42.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.936% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4646
Score SMA
0.5095
Rank
#48
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4051
Rank Norm SMA
0.3761
Calculé le
02/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5593 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.174% · r1d: 2.14% · r3d: 0.78% · ema21_slope: -0.0858% · dist_ema21: 1.423% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4196 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.200% · rs_1d: -0.87% · rs_3d: -1.70% · beta_24h: 1.473 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1833 | rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.644 · trend: -48.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3685 | ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 69.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.129% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.785%
(5.5771)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.858% | 0.5R | -0.493% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.858% | 0.5R | -0.493% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.858% | 0.5R | -4.177% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.858% | 0.5R | -5.086% | 2.9R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.858% | 0.5R | -5.086% | 2.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.858% | 0.5R | -5.086% | 2.9R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.304% | 1.9R | -5.086% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.304% | 1.9R | -5.086% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.304% | 1.9R | -5.086% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1988 min
MAE in 248 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.65
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.97 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.49 | bull_high | +4.41% | -0.03 | 02/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.39 | bull_medium_confirmed | +2.50% | +0.07 | 02/10 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.73 | range_low | +0.62% | -0.03 | 02/10 10:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197552
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.670 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 8b 0.7ATR | — | — | 0.38 | 75% | ↑ +0.69 | above_value | +0.43 | — | #105781 | 0.65 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.97 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:19
|
|
4h
#202373
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.675 | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 4b 0.7ATR | — | — | 0.65 | 59% | ↑ +0.34 | value | +2.59 | — | #107881 | 0.49 | bull_high | +4.41% | -0.03 |
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 08:13
|
|
1h
anchor #203197
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.569 | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 12b 1.1ATR | — | — | 1.60 | 73% | ↔ -0.05 | value | +2.68 | — | #108263 | 0.39 | bull_medium_confirmed | +2.50% | +0.07 |
02/10 09:00
upd 02/10 10:10
|
|
15m
#203355
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.603 | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 1b -1.0ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 1.16 | 82% | ↑ +0.87 | value | +2.68 | — | #108263 | 0.73 | range_low | +0.62% | -0.03 |
02/10 10:15
upd 02/10 10:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.836×ATR | p6 | +0.689×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.146×ATR | p12 | +0.734×ATR | p42 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 4.153×ATR | p91 | +1.094×ATR | p67 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 0.756×ATR | p3 | -1.001×ATR | p59 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8025
- reason: up_bo width=2.30×ATR dur=49b phase=extending
- stop_price: 306.8229154
- tp_price: 326.3427115
- atr:
- score: 0.8025231002822
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T02:36:48.601656
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8025231002822
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0656
- obi_top10 : -0.0412
- micro_price : 313.28981481
- spread_pct : 0.003192
- mid_price : 313.285
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 317
- ask_wall_size : 2161.17
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0699
- obi_top5_std : 0.0029
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7268
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
310.6
- balance_zone_bottom:
303.65
- balance_zone_mid:
307.125
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790776800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790949600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3007
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
49
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8025
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790913600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
310.6
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7755
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
10
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.5959
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 3.020846 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
49
inside_close_ratio
0.7755
bars_since_breakout
10
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5959
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:36 | 312.40000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:47 | 312.40000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 10:59 | 312.40000000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7268ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.066
avg -0.070
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
-0.041
Microstructure
Mid Price
313.2850
Micro Price
313.2898
Spread
0.0032%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
317.0000
Size
2,161.17
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312.4 | 306.8229 | 326.3427 | 2.5 | 218.19 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 312.4
- Stop Loss: 306.8229
- Take Profit: 326.3427
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 306.8229 - 312.4 = -5.5771
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 312.4 - 326.3427 = -13.9427
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -13.9427 / -5.5771 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 448.1194 | 100 | 1.4344 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -5.5771
Taille de position = 8 / -5.5771 = -1.43
Taille de position USD = -1.43 x 312.4 = -446.73
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.43 avec un stoploss a 306.8229
Avec un position size USD de -446.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.43 x -5.5771 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.43 x -13.9427 = 19.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.94$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.43
- Taille de position USD -446.73
- Perte potentielle 7.98
- Gain potentiel 19.94
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.46 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.79 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9238 % | 107.76 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312.4 | 306.8229 | 326.3427 | 2.5 | 218.19 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 312.4
- Stop Loss: 306.8229
- Take Profit: 326.3427
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 306.8229 - 312.4 = -5.5771
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 312.4 - 326.3427 = -13.9427
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -13.9427 / -5.5771 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 326.3427
[entry_price] => 312.4
[stop_loss] => 306.26519
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 326.3427
[entry_price] => 312.4
[stop_loss] => 305.70748
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 326.3427
[entry_price] => 312.4
[stop_loss] => 305.14977
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 326.3427
[entry_price] => 312.4
[stop_loss] => 304.03435
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 18:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.785%
(5.5771)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.858% | 0.5R | -0.493% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.858% | 0.5R | -0.493% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.858% | 0.5R | -4.177% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.858% | 0.5R | -5.086% | 2.9R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.858% | 0.5R | -5.086% | 2.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.858% | 0.5R | -5.086% | 2.9R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.304% | 1.9R | -5.086% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.304% | 1.9R | -5.086% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.304% | 1.9R | -5.086% | 2.9R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1988 min
MAE in 248 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
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