Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 2508.53 SPX at 0.444$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4507 (1.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4411 (0.72 %)
Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 2508.53 SPX at 0.444$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4507 (1.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4411 (0.72 %)
Position
Entry 0.4443$
Qty 2508.529 SPX
Size 1114.5394$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4507 (+1.44%)
TP $ 16.05$
SL 0.4411 (-0.72%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5685
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.25×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.48×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.68×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 02/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 09:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.717911 15m : 0.736853 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 35.5% |
| 1h | 12.9% |
| 4h | 43.6% |
| 24h | 90.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 38.7% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 56.5% | -0.13% |
| 24h | 59.7% | +3.31% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3334 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.87% · r3d: 5.20% · ema21_slope: -0.6090% · dist_ema21: -4.667% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3761 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.34% · rs_3d: 3.54% · beta_24h: 1.886 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2366 | rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.438 · trend: -21.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4966 | ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 55.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.772% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5323 | r1h: -1.134% · r4h: -0.805% · r1d: 2.59% · r3d: 7.75% · ema21_slope: 0.1458% · dist_ema21: 0.544% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4784 | rs_1h: -0.833% · rs_4h: -1.039% · rs_1d: -0.52% · rs_3d: 4.95% · beta_24h: 1.762 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3166 | rvol_20: 1.05× · zscore_50: -0.153 · trend: -20.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5219 | ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 53.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.530% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5254 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.208% · r1d: 1.97% · r3d: 7.07% · ema21_slope: 0.2066% · dist_ema21: 2.244% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4647 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.582% · rs_1d: -1.03% · rs_3d: 4.59% · beta_24h: 1.971 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3165 | rvol_20: 1.21× · zscore_50: -0.108 · trend: -42.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5434 | ADX: 27.9 (trend) · Chop: 61.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8913 | ATR%: 3.326% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.263% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.223% | 0.3R | -1.263% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.223% | 0.3R | -7.684% | 10.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.223% | 0.3R | -7.684% | 10.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.223% | 0.3R | -7.684% | 10.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.223% | 0.3R | -7.684% | 10.7R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.767% | 2.5R | -7.684% | 10.7R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.966% | 5.5R | -7.684% | 10.7R | 0.5× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.73 | bull_high | +13.92% | -0.97 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.63 | bull_high | +4.41% | +0.55 | 02/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.59 | bull_medium_confirmed | +2.50% | -0.03 | 02/10 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.70 | range_low | +0.45% | -0.09 | 02/10 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197673
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.554 | compression | bull_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 27b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.68 | 55% | ↑ +0.44 | above_value | -1.16 | — | #105817 | 0.73 | bull_high | +13.92% | -0.97 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:25
|
|
4h
#202456
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.665 | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 20b 0.7ATR | — | near -0.5ATR | 1.21 | 53% | ↓ -0.29 | above_value | +0.30 | — | #107918 | 0.63 | bull_high | +4.41% | +0.55 |
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 08:17
|
|
1h
anchor #203234
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.704 | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 1b 0.4ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 1.05 | 57% | ↑ +0.18 | value | +0.74 | — | #108301 | 0.59 | bull_medium_confirmed | +2.50% | -0.03 |
02/10 09:00
upd 02/10 10:12
|
|
15m
#203471
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.611 | expansion | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 6b -1.3ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.48 | 48% | ↔ -0.05 | value | +0.74 | — | #108301 | 0.70 | range_low | +0.45% | -0.09 |
02/10 10:30
upd 02/10 10:47
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 27b | — | 5.412×ATR | p61 | -0.489×ATR | p33 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 20b | — | 3.749×ATR | p62 | +0.664×ATR | p43 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 0.58×ATR | p4 | +0.388×ATR | p28 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.094×ATR | p68 | -1.283×ATR | p72 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
86354
-0.00590626
85844
0.717911
85521.2
0.00534122
85978
0.736853
84318
0.0194968
85962
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0.2112
0.4842
0.7291
0.4481
0.4826
0.6413
0.1651
0.6604
0.7636
0.0433
0.0497
0.6667
-0.2461
0.5263
0.55
0.45
1
6
1
0.5776
0.6369
3.8865
0.6
0.7291
1.5547
0.5263
0.8005
0.3275
0.24
-0.2683
0.4039
0.5621
0.8579
0.7636
-2.4702
7.9785
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 09:00:00 | 0.45046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 09:45:00 | 0.45066 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 09:55:00 | 0.45423 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 10:20:00 | 0.44719 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 10:40:00 | 0.45265 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 11:15:00 | 0.45298 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 12:00:00 | 0.44586 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 13:00:00 | 0.45649 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 13:35:00 | 0.45613 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 14:30:00 | 0.4439 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 00:15:00 | 0.44322 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 01:15:00 | 0.4364 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 03:15:00 | 0.4407 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 04:45:00 | 0.45294 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 07:30:00 | 0.44808 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 08:30:00 | 0.46044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 10:15:00 | 0.44719 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 12:00:00 | 0.44586 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 13:00:00 | 0.45649 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 14:30:00 | 0.4439 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 0.4044 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 06:00:00 | 0.41803 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 16:00:00 | 0.45284 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 19:00:00 | 0.42972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 05:00:00 | 0.46239 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 15:00:00 | 0.42962 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 17:00:00 | 0.44727 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 01:00:00 | 0.4364 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 08:00:00 | 0.46044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 14:00:00 | 0.4439 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4443 | 0.4411 | 0.4507 | 2 | 0.3429 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4411 - 0.4443 = -0.0032
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4443 - 0.4507 = -0.0064
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0064 / -0.0032 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1114.5394 | 100 | 2508.529 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0032 = -2500
Taille de position USD = -2500 x 0.4443 = -1110.75
Donc, tu peux acheter -2500 avec un stoploss a 0.4411
Avec un position size USD de -1110.75$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2500 x -0.0032 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2500 x -0.0064 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.44 % | 16.05 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.72 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -0.72 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1996 % | 166.56 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4443 | 0.4411 | 0.4507 | 2 | 0.3429 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4411 - 0.4443 = -0.0032
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4443 - 0.4507 = -0.0064
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0064 / -0.0032 = 2
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(
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[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4507
[entry_price] => 0.4443
[stop_loss] => 0.44014
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4507
[entry_price] => 0.4443
[stop_loss] => 0.4395
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 14:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.263% | 1.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.223% | 0.3R | -1.263% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.223% | 0.3R | -7.684% | 10.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.223% | 0.3R | -7.684% | 10.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.223% | 0.3R | -7.684% | 10.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.223% | 0.3R | -7.684% | 10.7R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.767% | 2.5R | -7.684% | 10.7R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.966% | 5.5R | -7.684% | 10.7R | 0.5× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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